Playoff fantasy football comes in many forms, just like its better-known regular season counterpart. Some are bestball, others require set lineups. A few, like NFL.com’s Playoff Challenge, use multipliers that double, triple, or quadruple the fantasy point totals for players whose teams advance through the playoffs.
NFL.com allows fantasy football managers to swap players out after every round of the playoffs, a nice wrinkle that offers flexibility for fantasy enthusiasts. Other platforms lock rosters for the duration of the playoffs once the first Saturday game of Wild Card Weekend kicks off.
BabyBowl 2021, a charity tournament benefitting the March of Dimes and Ashlie’s Embrace, employs a “One And Done” approach. This means any player can be used only once all season (or in this instance, once for the entire duration of the playoffs). Choosing quality players from teams that are most likely to bow out early is a key strategy in this style of tournament.
While players from teams with first-round byes a bit more heavily in multiplier leagues, our rankings assume a PPR scoring system in a more traditional format, with no round multipliers. Our battle-tested strategy for more generic playoff fantasy football leagues: stockpile players from teams that are most likely to play multiple games. With this in mind, we placed the fourteen playoff teams into tiers to help us identify which teams to target.
Tier 1: Super Bowl Favorites
1. Green Bay Packers – Vegas lists the Packers as the favorites to win the whole thing, and we agree: it’s a tall order for any team to go into Green Bay and win in January. The next closest thing to a cold weather team on the NFC side of the bracket is the Philadelphia Eagles, who would have to beat Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in Tampa to earn their shot.
2. Kansas City Chiefs – Everyone knows that the Chiefs go as Patrick Mahomes goes, but the defense isn’t getting the credit it deserves. After Week 5, Kansas City was allowing 32.6 points per game. They’ve allowed just 16.8 points per contest in the 12 games since. As winners of nine of their last ten games, we see the Chiefs as the team most likely to hoist the Lamar Hunt trophy for the third consecutive season.
Tier 2: Likely to Play Two or More Games
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Earlier this season, the Buccaneers traveled to Philadelphia and rolled the Eagles during the first half of a Thursday night game. An Eagles team that had yet to find its identity then asserted itself in the second half and made it a ballgame, pulling to within six points with five minutes and change left. That Buccaneers team featured both Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin, neither of whom will be suiting up this Sunday. Tampa Bay should win, but it’ll be closer than many think; a first round scare that should serve as motivation to propel the Bucs to the NFC Championship Game.
4. Cincinnati Bengals – While the Bengals offense has been a fixture in highlight reels this season, their defense has flown under the radar, by comparison. We expect the Bengals to roll the Las Vegas Raiders this weekend, thereby cementing the likelihood of Cincinnati as a team that will play multiple post-season games. Don’t be surprised when they get past the Titans and find themselves in the AFC Championship Game.
5. Buffalo Bills – The Bills righted the ship after a midseason lull, closing out the regular season with four straight wins. Buffalo draws the New England Patriots in a rubber match out of the gate; the two teams split the season series and square off against each other for the third time in seven weeks. The Bills will face the Chiefs in what should be (but won’t be) the AFC Championship Game.
6. Los Angeles Rams – It’s hard to envision a scenario in which the Rams, winners of five of their last six games, drop a high-stakes game to the Cardinals, a team that has dropped four of its last five. The running game is a bit of a mess due to a myriad of injuries, but the Cardinals don’t have an answer for Cooper Kupp. The Rams should waltz into the second round of the playoffs, but don’t expect them to dance beyond that.
Tier 3: Could Potentially Play Two Games
- Dallas Cowboys – The Dallas Cowboys are currently three-point favorites at home against the San Francisco 49ers, meaning they’d essentially be a pick ’em at a neutral site. Dak Prescott hasn’t been sharp down the stretch, but his exceptional performance in a tune-up game against the Philadelphia Eagles’ JV squad in Week 18 offers reason for optimism. The Cowboys’ defense has been a revelation this year; their performance against the likes of Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Elijah Mitchell in the red zone will determine whether or not the team lives to play another game.
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Tennessee Titans – The Titans dominated inferior competition this season, going 8-2 against teams who missed the playoffs. A 4-3 record against playoff teams is far from terrible, but Tennessee had to survive a scare from the lowly Houston Texans in order to secure a first-round bye. The Titans are one of the more beatable top seeds in recent memory.
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San Francisco 49ers – The Cowboys should beat the 49ers, but that doesn’t mean they will: the 49ers match up well against the Cowboys and should give the NFC East Champions all they can handle. If the 49ers earn a meeting with the Packers in Green Bay next week, it wouldn’t be a surprise. However, life after Lambeau Field would be a shocker.
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New England Patriots – The Patriots have leveraged a cold-weather advantage during the playoffs many times in recent years. However, they get no edge over the Buffalo Bills in that department. The Patriots are obviously a well-coached team, but the Bills offer more talent on both sides of the ball. A near-flawless game from a rookie quarterback might be necessary for the Patriots to advance.
Tier 4: Unlikely to Play Two Games
- Arizona Cardinals – Much like certain cool kids in middle school, the Cardinals peaked way too early this season. A lot would have to go right for the Cardinals to upset the Rams at SoFi Stadium. However, while Los Angeles is stacked on both sides of the ball, their lack of chemistry and continuity could open the door for Kyler Murray and friends.
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Philadelphia Eagles – Philadelphia came within a touchdown of coming back to defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers earlier this season, but that was before the Eagles looked in the mirror and realized they’re a team that does best when pounding the football on the ground. While the Buccaneers are heavy favorites, we expect the Eagles to make it a game. A victory would be a tall order, however.
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Las Vegas Raiders – The Raiders stumbled out of their Week 8 bye and lost five of their next six games. Amazingly, they rattled off four straight wins to punch their playoff tickets. Hats off to this team for enduring a constant circus of distractions, from the firing of Jon Gruden to the release of Henry Ruggs. Unfortunately, the Bengals’ potent offense and underrated defense should prove to be too much for the Raiders.
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Pittsburgh Steelers – The Steelers face long odds to advance beyond the first week of the playoffs. Ben Roethlisberger has not played inspiring football, and their narrow 16-13 overtime victory over a Lamar Jackson-less Baltimore Ravens team was their first road win since October. The Steelers need to show up the Chiefs in hostile Arrowhead Stadium to advance beyond Round 1. Nope. Don’t see that happening.
QUARTERBACKS
QB | RANKINGS | |||
Name | Team | Position | Drew DeLuca | Adam Sloate |
Patrick Mahomes II | KC | QB | 1 | 2 |
Aaron Rodgers | GB | QB | 2 | 1 |
Josh Allen | BUF | QB | 3 | 3 |
Joe Burrow | CIN | QB | 4 | 5 |
Tom Brady | TB | QB | 5 | 4 |
Dak Prescott | DAL | QB | 6 | 6 |
Matthew Stafford | LAR | QB | 7 | 8 |
Kyler Murray | ARI | QB | 8 | 7 |
Jimmy Garoppolo | SF | QB | 9 | 12 |
Derek Carr | LV | QB | 10 | 9 |
Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB | 11 | 11 |
Ryan Tannehill | TEN | QB | 12 | 10 |
Mac Jones | NE | QB | 13 | 14 |
Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | QB | 14 | 13 |
Trey Lance | SF | QB | 15 | 15 |
Marcus Mariota | LV | QB | 16 | 16 |
RUNNING BACKS
RB | RANKINGS | |||
Name | Team | Position | Drew DeLuca | Adam Sloate |
Joe Mixon | CIN | RB | 1 | 2 |
Derrick Henry | TEN | RB | 2 | 1 |
Aaron Jones | GB | RB | 3 | 3 |
Devin Singletary | BUF | RB | 4 | 8 |
Leonard Fournette | TB | RB | 5 | 7 |
Ezekiel Elliott | DAL | RB | 6 | 5 |
Elijah Mitchell | SF | RB | 7 | 6 |
Najee Harris | PIT | RB | 8 | 4 |
James Conner | ARI | RB | 9 | 10 |
Josh Jacobs | LV | RB | 10 | 9 |
Damien Harris | NE | RB | 11 | |
Sony Michel | LAR | RB | 12 | |
Darrel Williams | KC | RB | 13 | |
AJ Dillon | GB | RB | 14 | |
Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | RB | 15 | |
Tony Pollard | DAL | RB | 16 | |
Chase Edmonds | ARI | RB | 17 | |
Miles Sanders | PHI | RB | 18 | |
Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | RB | 19 | |
Ke’Shawn Vaughn | TB | RB | 20 | |
Boston Scott | PHI | RB | 21 | |
Ronald Jones II | TB | RB | 22 | |
Jordan Howard | PHI | RB | 23 | |
Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | RB | 24 | |
Jerick McKinnon | KC | RB | 25 | |
Zack Moss | BUF | RB | 26 | |
D’Onta Foreman | TEN | RB | 27 | |
Samaje Perine | CIN | RB | 28 | |
Giovani Bernard | TB | RB | 29 | |
Benny Snell Jr. | PIT | RB | 30 | |
Le’Veon Bell | TB | RB | 31 | |
Jeff Wilson Jr. | SF | RB | 32 | |
Brandon Bolden | NE | RB | 33 | |
Dontrell Hilliard | TEN | RB | 34 | |
Eno Benjamin | ARI | RB | 35 | |
Jalen Richard | LV | RB | 36 | |
Anthony McFarland Jr. | PIT | RB | 37 | |
Derrick Gore | KC | RB | 38 | |
Kyle Juszczyk | SF | RB | 39 | |
Trey Sermon | SF | RB | 40 | |
Kalen Ballage | PIT | RB | 41 | |
Matt Breida | BUF | RB | 42 | |
JaMycal Hasty | SF | RB | 43 | |
Chris Evans | CIN | RB | 44 | |
Corey Clement | DAL | RB | 45 | |
Peyton Barber | LV | RB | 46 |
WIDE RECEIVERS
WR | RANKINGS | |||
Name | Team | Position | Drew DeLuca | Adam Sloate |
Davante Adams | GB | WR | 1 | 1 |
Cooper Kupp | LAR | WR | 2 | 2 |
Tyreek Hill | KC | WR | 3 | 3 |
Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | WR | 4 | 4 |
Deebo Samuel | SF | WR | 5 | 5 |
Stefon Diggs | BUF | WR | 6 | 6 |
Mike Evans | TB | WR | 7 | 7 |
A.J. Brown | TEN | WR | 8 | 9 |
CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | 9 | 8 |
Tee Higgins | CIN | WR | 10 | 10 |
Amari Cooper | DAL | WR | 11 | 11 |
Diontae Johnson | PIT | WR | 12 | 13 |
Odell Beckham Jr. | LAR | WR | 13 | 14 |
Hunter Renfrow | LV | WR | 14 | 12 |
Brandon Aiyuk | SF | WR | 15 | 15 |
Allen Lazard | GB | WR | 16 | 16 |
Tyler Boyd | CIN | WR | 17 | 18 |
Mecole Hardman | KC | WR | 18 | 21 |
Christian Kirk | ARI | WR | 19 | 19 |
Julio Jones | TEN | WR | 20 | 20 |
Van Jefferson | LAR | WR | 21 | 24 |
Cole Beasley | BUF | WR | 22 | 25 |
DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | 23 | 17 |
Gabriel Davis | BUF | WR | 24 | 22 |
Chase Claypool | PIT | WR | 25 | 23 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling | GB | WR | 26 | 26 |
Cedrick Wilson Jr. | DAL | WR | 27 | 27 |
Jakobi Meyers | NE | WR | 28 | 28 |
A.J. Green | ARI | WR | 29 | 29 |
Byron Pringle | KC | WR | 30 | |
Kendrick Bourne | NE | WR | 31 | 30 |
Nelson Agholor | NE | WR | 32 | |
Randall Cobb | GB | WR | 33 | |
Emmanuel Sanders | BUF | WR | 34 | |
Zay Jones | LV | WR | 35 | |
Breshad Perriman | TB | WR | 36 | |
Rondale Moore | ARI | WR | 37 | |
Bryan Edwards | LV | WR | 38 | |
Jalen Reagor | PHI | WR | 39 | |
DeSean Jackson | LV | WR | 40 | |
Demarcus Robinson | KC | WR | 41 | |
Anthony Miller | PIT | WR | 42 | |
Cyril Grayson Jr. | TB | WR | 43 | |
James Washington | PIT | WR | 44 | |
Isaiah McKenzie | BUF | WR | 45 | |
Tyler Johnson | TB | WR | 46 | |
Antoine Wesley | ARI | WR | 47 | |
Quez Watkins | PHI | WR | 48 | |
Jauan Jennings | SF | WR | 49 | |
Scotty Miller | TB | WR | 50 | |
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | TEN | WR | 51 | |
Ray-Ray McCloud | PIT | WR | 52 | |
Josh Gordon | KC | WR | 53 | |
N’Keal Harry | NE | WR | 54 | |
Amari Rodgers | GB | WR | 55 | |
Equanimeous St. Brown | GB | WR | 56 | |
Ben Skowronek | LAR | WR | 57 | |
Noah Brown | DAL | WR | 58 | |
Chester Rogers | TEN | WR | 59 | |
Greg Ward | PHI | WR | 60 |
TIGHT ENDS
TE | RANKINGS | |||
Name | Team | Position | Drew DeLuca | Adam Sloate |
Travis Kelce | KC | TE | 1 | 1 |
Rob Gronkowski | TB | TE | 2 | 3 |
George Kittle | SF | TE | 3 | 2 |
Dalton Schultz | DAL | TE | 4 | 4 |
Dawson Knox | BUF | TE | 5 | 5 |
Dallas Goedert | PHI | TE | 6 | 6 |
Zach Ertz | ARI | TE | 7 | 8 |
Tyler Higbee | LAR | TE | 8 | 9 |
Darren Waller | LV | TE | 9 | 7 |
Pat Freiermuth | PIT | TE | 10 | 11 |
Hunter Henry | NE | TE | 11 | 10 |
Josiah Deguara | GB | TE | 12 | 12 |
C.J. Uzomah | CIN | TE | 13 | 13 |
Anthony Firkser | TEN | TE | 14 | 14 |
Cameron Brate | TB | TE | 15 | 15 |
Foster Moreau | LV | TE | 16 | 16 |
O.J. Howard | TB | TE | 17 | 17 |
Marcedes Lewis | GB | TE | 18 | 18 |
Blake Jarwin | DAL | TE | 19 | 19 |
Jonnu Smith | NE | TE | 20 | 20 |
Tyree Jackson | PHI | TE | 21 | 21 |
Geoff Swaim | TEN | TE | 22 | 22 |
Eric Ebron | PIT | TE | 23 | 23 |
MyCole Pruitt | TEN | TE | 24 | 24 |
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
- Kansas City Chiefs KC
- Green Bay Packers GB
- Buffalo Bills BUF
- Los Angeles Rams LAR
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
- Dallas Cowboys DAL
- Cincinnati Bengals CIN
- New England Patriots NE
- San Francisco 49ers SF
- Tennessee Titans TEN
- Arizona Cardinals ARI
- Philadelphia Eagles PHI
- Las Vegas Raiders LV
- Pittsburgh Steelers PIT
KICKERS
- Harrison Butker KC
- Ryan Succop TB
- Tyler Bass BUF
- Matt Gay LAR
- Mason Crosby GB
- Evan McPherson CIN
- Greg Zuerlein DAL
- Robbie Gould SF
- Randy Bullock TEN
- Nick Folk NE
- Matt Prater ARI
- Daniel Carlson LV
- Jake Elliott PHI
- Chris Boswell PIT
Images by Icon Sportswire | Adapted by Justin Paradis (@justparadesigns on Twitter)