Buy and Sell: Week 11

Buy and Sell for Fantasy Football in Week 11

Kyle McCarthy
Trade Talk 8 Hours Ago

Week 10 was a fun one if you liked points and dominant running back performances. Three of the top 10 team points scored in a game this season came in Week 10, with the Lions and Seahawks dropping 44 points, and the Rams scoring 42. Oddly enough, two games finished with a final score of 44-22 this week (ARI @ SEA, DET @ WSH) and 10-7 (LV @ DEN, PHI @ GB). It’s also the second time this season that Washington has lost by a 44-22 margin (Week 7 at Dallas).

As for the running backs, three of the four highest-scoring PPR games this season came in Week 10 as well, with Jonathan Taylor erupting for 49.6 PPR points, De’Von Achane scoring 40.5, and Jahmyr Gibbs with 38.2.

As we head into Week 11, trade deadlines are nearing in many fantasy leagues, so the time to make a deal for that late-season push is approaching. With that, let’s evaluate a handful of players to buy and sell.

 

BUY

TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE)

RB4: 14 Carries, 147 Yards, 2 TDs | 2 Targets, 1 Reception, 3 Yards

The Henderson breakout game finally happened. It felt like we were building to this sort of game, especially after we caught a glimpse of his talent last week with him playing 75% of the snaps and looking more confident than he has in previous games. The rookie’s game-breaking speed and dynamism were on display against Tampa Bay, breaking off two explosive touchdowns, a 55-yarder to open the second half, and then a 69-yarder to ice the game at the end. Those were the ninth and 17th-longest rushing plays of the 2025 NFL season.

This is part of the reason why Henderson was gassed up during draft season, and it was a theme of Week 10 across the league. These backs that can consistently create these breakaway runs are true difference makers. Both touchdowns were super impressive, but the 55-yarder stood out. He found a seam up the middle and used his speed to erase defenders’ angles and pull away. The second rounder out of Ohio State hit 22.01 mph on that run, fifth fastest of any ball carrier this season, per Next Gen Stats. That kind of big-play ability is what makes him a potential league-winner type in fantasy. Incorporating the receiving upside that he’s flashed in previous games and in college is what will complete his overall fantasy profile. Plus, New England has the fourth-easiest rest of season schedule according to Rotoiz’s Strength of Schedule streaming app.

Upcoming schedule: vs. NYJ, at CIN, vs. NYG, BYE, vs. NE

 

Luther Burden III (WR – CHI)

WR40: 3 Targets, 3 Receptions, 51 Yards

Burden missed Chicago’s Week 9 thriller against the Bengals due to a concussion, but he returned in Week 10 and had his highest snap and route shares of the season. His 50% snap share was easily the highest, with his previous high being 29.8% back in Week 3, and his 46.3% route share was his highest since Week 6 (39.4%). While it’s a small sample size, the rookie out of Missouri has been one of the most efficient wide receivers in the league on a per-route basis.

Out of 133 WRs with at least 75 routes this season, Burden’s 2.78 yards per route run ranks fifth, and his 0.56 fantasy points per route run ranks eighth, per Fantasy Points Data Suite. D.J. Moore left Week 10 against the Giants early, and while he returned, there are questions about his health as he’s been a mainstay on the injury report in recent weeks. Plus, veteran Olamide Zaccheaus has struggled with drops of late. Head coach Ben Johnson said earlier this week that more opportunities are coming for Burden. The second-rounder was an early breakout player in the SEC with elite athleticism and has already flashed at the NFL level. With inside and outside versatility addition to a great play calling head coach, Burden has big upside in the second half of the season. It will be interesting to see how Chicago’s offense evolves as they have trended run-heavy after their Week 5 bye, but quarterback Caleb Williams has been playing well recently, and they have a handful of dynamic pass catchers.

Upcoming schedule: at MIN, at PIT, at PHI, at GB, vs. CLE

 

Cade Otton (TE – TB)

TE6: 12 Targets, 9 Receptions, 82 Yards

Otton has stepped up in the absence of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Both Evans and Godwin have been out in three games for Tampa Bay (Weeks 6, 8, and 10), and the 26-year-old has produced right alongside star rookie Emeka Egbuka, catching 18 of 23 targets for 173 yards, compared to Egbuka with 11 catches on 26 targets for 174 yards and a touchdown. Otton historically hasn’t been a target earner as he’s played a lot of snaps with great players like Evans and Godwin, but has always run a high number of routes. He flashed the ability to level up last season when they both missed games last season, and that’s continued into this year.

Continuing with those three games, Otton has posted a 31% targets per route run, 2.34 yards per route run, and a 20.3% first read target share. Out of 45 tight ends with at least 100 routes on the season, those marks would rank: first, third, and ninth. Otton has averaged 11.8 PPR points per game in that span, a solid mark that could improve if his touchdown luck starts to swing in his favor. The Bucs TE1 has yet to find the end zone this season, and it’s the longest span of his career without a touchdown. Otton has just one red zone target all season after tying Evans for the team lead with 15 last season. He also should have had a 22-yard touchdown against the Saints, but he was unfortunately ruled just short. We’ll see if that corrects and how Otton’s usage without the team’s top two wideouts trends over the rest of the season, but his stock is on the rise, and there is more meat on the bone here for Otton to have a nice finish to the season.

Upcoming schedule: at BUF, at LAR, vs. ARI, vs. NO, vs. ATL

 

SELL

Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI)

WR23: 12 Targets, 3 Receptions, 33 Yards, 1 TD

Harrison has shown flashes of improvement and has looked more fluid at times in his sophomore season compared to his rookie year, but overall, the 23-year-old has remained largely the same player. His targets per route run and yards per route run are nearly identical in his first two years: 22% TPRR as a rookie to 19% this season, and 1.65 YPRR to 1.63, per SumerSports. The number four overall pick in the 2024 draft has benefited from Jacoby Brissett stepping in as quarterback, but he struggled in Week 10 against a stout Seattle secondary.

Out of 101 games when a wide receiver recorded at least 10 targets this season, Harrison’s 25% catch rate was the lowest. He also owned the 10th-lowest catchable ball rate at 58.3%, per Fantasy Points Data Suite. It’s great to see Harrison earning more targets, with 22 over the past two games, and this is still a young, talented player who can certainly continue to get better. However, star tight end Trey McBride still gets the majority of the layup targets to use his elite YAC ability, with Harrison’s targets generally being more low-percentage looks. If fantasy managers can capitalize on this two-game stretch and the two touchdowns, I’d be looking to sell high if possible.

Upcoming schedule: vs. SF, vs. JAX, at TB, vs. LAR, at HOU

 

Rachaad White (RB – TB)

RB27: 10 Carries, 38 Yards | 5 Targets, 5 Receptions, 16 Yards

White has had a full runway as Tampa Bay’s RB1, with Bucky Irving‘s timeline to return unknown. He has been running better than in previous years, with his 50.57% success rate surprisingly ranking second-highest out of running backs with at least 50 carries this season, per SumerSports. However, the 26-year-old has started to lose hold as Tampa Bay’s lead back, with Sean Tucker eating into his touches in recent weeks.

Over the past two weeks, White has logged 23 carries to Tucker’s 21, although Tucker has outgained him 95 to 73 on the ground. White is still valuable as a pass catcher, and he gapped Tucker in that department, running 66.7% of the routes compared to Tucker at 20% in Week 10. But White has never excelled as a pure running back, and it’s in Tampa Bay’s best interest to split up the responsibilities in Irving’s absence. White is still the preferred fantasy back between the two, but it’s more of a question now with the volume trending away from White and how explosive Tucker has looked at times in his career. Tucker was dynamic in limited snaps last season, including an unreal 192-yard, two-touchdown performance in Week 6.

Upcoming schedule: at BUF, at LAR, vs. ARI, vs. NO, vs. ATL

 

Jordan Mason (RB – MIN)

RB44: 4 Carries, 25 Yards | 1 Target, 1 Reception, 6 Yards

Mason has seemingly lost his role as Minnesota’s lead back with Aaron Jones returning in Week 8 from his early-season hamstring injury. When Mason was first acquired by the Vikings, the expectation was for him and Jones to be in close to a 50/50 split, with Mason handling a lot of the early down and goal line work, with Jones working between the 20s and on pass downs. In Weeks 8 and 9, it was almost a dead-even split, with Mason at 51 snaps to Jones at 50, both handling 14 carries, and Jones running 28 routes to Mason’s 11, as expected. But the usage flipped in Week 10.

Jones dominated the backfield against the Ravens, playing 72.1% of the snaps, handling 64% of carries, and 64% routes. Those were the highest of the season for the 30-year-old, while Mason was buried. Mason played just 23% of snaps and had only five touches, suggesting that head coach Kevin O’Connell is shifting back towards using Jones as the clear lead back with Mason serving in a complementary role. Mason’s struggles in pass protection don’t do him any favors as well. Things could change, but it’s not a great sign for Mason, who needs things to break his way in the first place to return real fantasy value as a back who doesn’t catch passes and won’t generate the breakaway runs. Plus, the struggles of J.J. McCarthy create some skepticism about how functional the Vikings offense will be moving forward.

Upcoming schedule: vs. CHI, at GB, at SEA, vs. WSH, at DAL

 

 

 

Photo by Melissa Tamez, Cliff Welch | Adapted by Parker McDonald (@CarbonFoxGFX on Twitter/X)