Buy and Sell: Week 13

Buy and Sell for Fantasy Football in Week 13!

Kyle McCarthy
Trade Talk 2 Weeks Ago

Week 12 delivered with one of the most entertaining slates of the season. Three games went to overtime (NYG @ DET, IND @ KC, JAX @ ARI), the most of any week this season. There have been five overtime games in the past two weeks after five total in the first 10 weeks. Dallas had the largest comeback victory of the season so far, coming all the way back after trailing 21-0 to stun the Eagles 24-21, their largest comeback in franchise history. It was also tied for the second-biggest blown lead in the Eagles’ franchise history.

Of those 10 overtime games, the Cowboys, Giants, Colts, Falcons, and Jaguars are the only teams to appear in two apiece. The Giants should have beaten the Lions with a Jameis Winston masterclass, but were outdone by an unreal performance by Jahmyr Gibbs, who had the second-most rushing yards in a game this season (219) and tied for the eighth-most receptions in a game (11) to go with three touchdowns. The only other player in NFL history with 200+ rushing yards and 10+ receptions in a game was LaDainian Tomlinson in Week 13 of the 2002 season, according to Stathead.

With the fantasy playoffs just two weeks away, let’s dive into a few players and performances that we are buying and selling.

BUY

Christian Watson (WR – GB)

WR34: 7 Targets, 5 Receptions, 49 Receiving Yards

Watson looks like the WR to own in Green Bay moving forward. There was plenty of skepticism about what sort of impact Watson would have in 2025 after tearing his ACL in Week 18 of last season. But he’s looked healthy and explosive since he returned in Week 8 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 26-year-old leads the team in receiving yards since then, totaling 17 receptions for 283 yards and two touchdowns on 24 targets, averaging 11.5 PPR points per game. The usage looks very promising for Watson and bodes well for his rest of season outlook.

Since Week 8, his 20.8% explosive catch rate and 472 air yards both rank the ninth-highest among wide receivers, per FTN Fantasy. Watson has always been a great stylistic fit with quarterback Jordan Love, who loves to sling it deep when given the opportunity. Love has been one of the most accurate downfield throwers in the league this season, with his 67.1% catchable ball rate on throws of 15 or more air yards ranking sixth best among quarterbacks with at least 25 attempts, per Fantasy Points Data Suite. Plus, he has still earned a few targets per game in the short area of the field to get him the ball on the move, and use his explosiveness that way. Watson has led the Packers in routes in each of the past three weeks, and I buy him having a strong rest of the season as an upside WR2.

Upcoming schedule: at DET, vs. CHI, at DEN, at CHI, vs. BAL

 

Colston Loveland (TE – CHI)

TE3: 5 Targets, 4 Receptions, 49 Receiving Yards, 1 TD

Loveland continues to look the part. His movement skills are rare to see at the tight end position, and he just looks like an obvious matchup nightmare for opposing defensive coordinators to figure out how to deal with. The 10th overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft has steadily seen his playing time increase, and he’s run at least 50% of the team’s routes in every game since Week 7. In that span, Loveland has recorded 24 receptions for 325 yards and three touchdowns on 29 targets.

Out of 35 TEs with at least 75 routes run in that span, Loveland ranks: second in yards per route run (2.23), ninth in receptions, 15th in targets per route run (20%), third in yards per target (11.17), and fourth in total PPR points (73.4). The targets are still a tad inconsistent in a Bears offense with multiple talented pass catchers and lean towards the run, but the numbers are backing up how great he looks on the field. Head coach Ben Johnson is using him in exciting ways as well. In this same span, he’s been split out wide 27.6% of the time, only trailing Raiders superstar Brock Bowers (29.7%). He is just one yard off of Rome Odunze (325 yards) for the team lead, and his arrow is firmly pointed up as a potential top 10 TE for the rest of the season.

Upcoming schedule: at PHI, at GB, at CLE, vs. GB, at SF

 

Brenton Strange (TE – JAX)

TE4: 5 Targets, 5 Receptions, 93 Receiving Yards

Is Strange the glue to the Jaguars’ offense? Not actually, but he has proven to be a very good player in his third NFL season. In four of the five full games Strange has played this season, the 24-year-old has 21 receptions for 268 yards on 23 targets, per Josh Norris on X. Out of 51 TEs with at least 100 routes this season, those per-game numbers would rank: 10th in targets per game (5.75), third in receptions per game (5.25), and second in yards per game (64.5). He’s established a great connection with Trevor Lawrence and is a beast after the catch with high-end athletic traits (9.09 RAS score). His 0.24 missed tackles forced per reception is fifth best among TEs (minimum 100 routes), per Fantasy Points Data Suite.

Strange hasn’t shown strong target-earning ability in his career, but he runs a route on nearly every dropback and has leveled up a bit in an expanded role. It will be interesting to see how it all shakes out with Brian Thomas Jr. expected to return in Week 13. The sample size is still quite small, so there is still quite a bit to figure out with Strange, but he’s shown a lot of good things so far to go with the athleticism and ball-in-hand ability that is worth betting on at the TE position.

Upcoming schedule: at TEN, vs. IND, vs. NYJ, at DEN, at IND

 

SELL

Hunter Henry (TE – CIN)

TE1: 10 Targets, 7 Receptions, 115 Receiving Yards, 1 TD

Henry has been a reliable veteran for the Patriots for a few seasons and has had a good 10-year career. He just posted his career high in receiving yards against the Bengals, which says more about the state of the 2025 Bengals defense than Henry finding a new gear in his age-30 season. The veteran certainly has a good connection with Drake Maye in the red zone, and there is a clear trust level between the two, but this is an outlier performance. The Bengals’ defense has been abysmal against opposing tight ends, allowing 6.91 catches, 87.5 receiving yards, and 1.18 touchdowns per game this season, good for 15.9 points per game, per Pro Football Reference.

For perspective, the next closest team is the Jaguars, who allow 10.8 PPR points per game. The difference between the Bengals and Jaguars is nearly the same as the difference between the Jaguars and the Texans, who rank 28th with 5.6 points allowed per game. Henry hadn’t had a double-digit fantasy performance since he did it in back-to-back weeks in Weeks 3 and 4. He is still the same low-floor, touchdown-dependent option that could be worth selling if there are any takers. He is the TE5 in total PPR points, partly because New England hasn’t had a bye yet, but I would take the under on that end-of-season finish.

Upcoming schedule: vs. NYG, BYE, vs. BUF, at BAL, at NYJ

 

Darnell Mooney (WR – ATL)

WR16: 3 Targets, 3 Receptions, 74 Receiving Yards, 1 TD

Mooney salvaged his fantasy day with a 49-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter after not doing much in the first three quarters. It was positive to see this kind of performance from Mooney with Drake London sidelined, and while the team is hopeful that he can play in Week 13, he is likely to be held out for another week to get him right for the final few games. So Mooney could have a decent runway of opportunity without a target hog like London, but I am betting against Kirk Cousins and this Atlanta passing attack mostly.

Mooney still didn’t really separate as the clear top target in Week 12 against the Saints, finishing behind Kyle Pitts in targets (five)and tying with Charlie Woerner, Dylan Dummond, and David Sills V for second on the team. The targets didn’t consolidate on Mooney as some had hoped, and relying on deep bombs from Cousins at this stage of his career feels fragile. The former Chicago Bear has reportedly been playing through a broken collarbone for a lot of the season, which likely plays a part in his poor numbers this season, and he could be finally getting healthy. But with London likely back soon, I’d look to move him with his value elevated after a productive day.

Upcoming schedule: at NYJ, vs. SEA, at TB, at ARI, vs. LAR

 

Jakobi Meyers (WR – JAX)

WR20: 6 Targets, 4 Receptions, 50 Receiving Yards, 1 TD

Since being traded to Jacksonville at the deadline, Meyers has settled in as well as you could have hoped for a mid-season acquisition. Meyers leads the Jaguars with 12 catches for 155 receiving yards and a touchdown on 14 targets since his first game in Week 10. Meyers and Parker Washington have nearly identical PPR points in that time (33.5 for Meyers, 34 for Washington). With Brenton Strange returning in Week 12 and Brian Thomas Jr. expected to return in Week 13, how the targets will be distributed will be interesting to see in the future weeks.

Washington looks like a good player and should keep his role as the primary slot guy, leaving Meyers and Thomas as the two boundary receivers. Thomas showed a ton of promise with a historically good rookie season, and now that he has had a chance to recover from multiple injuries this season, there is still hope for a strong rest of season finish for the second-year wideout. And there are only so many mouths to feed in Jacksonville. Meyers is an established veteran with a reliable track record, but he lacks the upside we want in fantasy late in the season.

Upcoming schedule: at TEN, vs. IND, vs. NYJ, at DEN, at IND

 

 

 

Photo by Melissa Tamez, Cliff Welch | Adapted by Parker McDonald (@CarbonFoxGFX on Twitter/X)