FantasyDraft Week 11: Quarterbacks, Wide Receivers, Tight Ends
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Cash Game Options:
Lamar Jackson, BAL ($13,900) vs HOU
Jackson is the most expensive quarterback on the slate, but he’s worth paying up for in a matchup with the defensively challenged Texans. Houston has given up top-12 fantasy results to 7 of 9 quarterbacks they have faced so far. There is value at other positions making it easy to fit him into our lineups. Jackson leads his position in all rushing categories, which makes his floor very high. Jackson is on pace to have the best fantasy season ever so there isn’t a lot I need to say to convince you to play him. He is also easy to stack within tournaments because the target tree in Baltimore is very narrow.
Kyle Allen, CAR ($10,500) vs ATL
The Falcons did look great against Drew Brees and that Saints offense. However, we have a larger sample of them being a horrible defense. 17 of the last 23 quarterbacks they have faced have been in the top13 in fantasy. The Falcons defense has been generous, to say the least, surrendering at least 27 in six of their nine games this season. They are also second to last in pressure percentage, meaning the rookie will have plenty of time to find receivers down the field. He should be your guy if you plan on paying down at quarterback this week.
Jameis Winston, TB ($11,800) vs NO
Winston has thrown for over 300 yards in six of his last seven games, and his willingness to throw the ball downfield makes him an exciting, if highly variant, fantasy quarterback. The Buccaneers’ defense is not good, meaning Winston needs to throw the ball early and often. He has 40 or more pass attempts in five of his last six games. He’s always capable of having a game where he self destructs thanks to turnovers, but his high volume of throwing is what we want in tournaments. The nice thing about Winston is he is an easy quarterback to stack with. Receivers Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have over 80 targets each and no other player has over 30.
Cash Game Options:
Tyler Boyd, CIN ($10,200) at OAK
It was nice to see Boyd lead the team in targets with Ryan Finley under center. He has averaged 10 targets per game this season and has a top-notch matchup this week against the Raiders. The Raiders are bottom-five in yards per target allowed and fantasy points per target allowed. Combine those poor stats with an injury to their slot corner Lamarcus Joyner last week Boyd is a high floor play in week 11. I also believe that it would be a plus for Boyd if A.J. Green comes back this week as defenses will surely allocate their attention to him.
Deebo Samuel, SF ($7,800) vs ARI
The 49ers may be without WR1 Emmanuel Sanders and star tight end George Kittle this week. With Sanders leaving early and Kittle missing last week, Samuel parlayed a career-high 11 targets into eight receptions and 112 yards. The 49ers have the second-highest implied team total on the week and their defense should be able to suffocate Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense. Samuel will be the top target on a team that should score a lot. His price is also dirt cheap and will allow us to fit in top options all around our lineup.
Marquise Brown, BAL ($10,100) vs HOU
The Texans are 28th against receivers in PPR leagues, allowing 41.5 PPR points per game to the position. They have a lot of injuries in the secondary and struggle to generate pressure on the quarterback (bottom-four in pressure percentage). This should mean that Lamar Jackson will have time to target Brown down the field multiple times. Brown isn’t safe for cash games as Jackson averages only 28 attempts per game. He makes sense in game-stacks or as a one-off with a solid price on this slate.
Terry McLaurin, WAS ($10,600) vs NYJ
Over the last three games, the Jets have allowed six different receivers to post 15.7 PPR points per game or more in that time. The Jets perimeter cornerbacks are among the worst in the league and that is where McLaurin primarily plays. It is a concern that Dwayne Haskins is in at quarterback, he hasn’t looked great in his limited play. However, they did play together at Ohio State and he should have time to throw the ball this week (Jets bottom-10 in sacks and pressure percentage). McLaurin has led the team in targets in four of the last five games. McLaurin has a good price this week and may go overlooked in lineups because of his team environment and quarterback play.
Cash Game Options:
Ross Dwelley, SP ($5,500) vs ARI
I am usually a proponent of paying down at tight end in cash games. Dwelley had seven targets last week in a game that George Kittle missed. He is expected to miss this week as well. His price is extremely attractive and is one of the cheap options we can use to pay up for the likes of Lamar Jackson, Michael Thomas, and Christian McCaffrey. This is also the premier matchup for tight ends as Arizona is dead last in PPR points allowed to tight ends on the season.
Darren Waller, OAK ($10,600) vs CIN
Waller has tied for the team lead in targets in seven of the last eight Raiders games. He hasn’t produced big numbers as of late and that’s why I think he should go relatively under-owned compared to some other options this week. The Bengals are actually fourth in points allowed to tight ends but that is because teams can decimate them on the ground. We saw what Mark Andrews and the Ravens tight ends did against them last week. They put up a combined 12 receptions, 151 yards, two touchdowns on 14 targets. Being the top target in this offense, he should be very efficient even if his targets are slightly down this week.
Greg Olsen, CAR ($7,700) vs ATL
The Falcons have trouble stopping everyone including tight ends. The Falcons are in the bottom-10 in the league in pressure percentage, sacks, and QB hits meaning Kyle Allen should be able to do what he wants this week. Olsen has 24 targets over the last four games. The Panthers have the third-highest team total and this game is tied for the highest implied game total this week. Olsen should be efficient with his targets against this poor defense and I like his price a few thousand below the elite options.