FantasyDraft Week 16: Quarterbacks, Wide Receivers, Tight Ends
I will be breaking down the Sunday main slate only. QB List is excited to be partnering with FantasyDraft, featuring advice articles every week through the entirety of the 2019 season. Signup and play for free at FantasyDraft.
Cash Game Options:
Mitch Trubisky, CHI ($11,200) vs KC
Trubisky has been playing well of late. He has been the QB5 over the last four games and is a home underdog to the Chiefs. Trubisky has been running more of late. He has logged 7>4>10>4 rushing attempts over the last four games and ran four or more times only once before that. The Chiefs defense hasn’t been great against opposing quarterbacks either. They are 21st in points allowed to the position. It doesn’t feel great trusting Trubisky but he comes in cheap if you are looking to pay down at the position.
Russell Wilson, SEA ($14,100) vs ARI
Wilson comes in sandwiched between Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes in salary. He is facing a Cardinals defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. They have also allowed the most passing touchdowns, passer rating, and completion percentage to opposing teams. The Cardinals are 28th in the league in pressure rate over the last five weeks and are 26th for the whole season. Wilson has the number one completion percentage in the league when given a clean pocket. Wilson gives us a nice rushing boost on a weekly basis as he is top-five at quarterback in both rushing attempts and yards. We know the Seahawks are one of the run-heaviest teams in the league but Wilson should be able to be highly efficient on his opportunities.
Matt Ryan, ATL ($11,600) vs JAX
Ryan and the Falcons are facing a Jacksonville team that has lost by 20 or more points in five of their last six games. They rank only 21st in pass defense DVOA but are fourth in sack percentage on the year. He just got back his tight end and starting running back from injuries. The Falcons attempt the most passes per game in the league and they have the fifth-highest team total on the slate. Rostering Ryan at a reasonable price of $11.6 allows us to stack him with Julio Jones who is the second-most expensive receiver this week. Ryan shouldn’t have crazy ownership either with the likes of Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes on this slate.
Cash Game Options:
Anthony Miller, CHI ($8,900) vs KC
The matchup isn’t great for the Bears receivers as the Chiefs have allowed the second-fewest PPR points to wide receivers this season. The reason we like Miller this week is the opportunity he has been getting on recently. He has nine or more targets in four of his last five games, which includes three double-digit efforts. That has led Miller to be the WR8 in PPR formats over that time span. He is priced around the WR40 this week as they refuse to price him up based on his recent opportunity. Putting Miller in our lineup allows us to pay up for a top-tier running back or receiver that we like.
Danny Amendola, DET ($9,800) at DEN
David Blough has been the starting quarterback for the last three games for the Lions. Over that time, Amendola leads the Lions in targets with 29, nine more than Kenny Golladay. The Lions also put starting receiver Marvin Jones on IR last week and that led to Amendola playing a season-high 86% of the snaps a week ago. Denver only ranks 14th in pass defense DVOA and are 15th in sack rate. Amendola also gets the benefit of avoiding Chris Harris‘ shadow coverage as he will likely cover Golladay throughout the game. Amendola also comes in at a reasonable price that allows us to fit in higher-end pieces elsewhere in our lineup.
Jarvis Landry, CLE ($10,900) vs BAL
Landry hung eight receptions for 167 yards on the Ravens in week four. Over the last six games, Landry has 56 targets to Odell Beckham’s 54. Landry has a much better matchup than Beckham does on the outside. This week sets up well for Landry as the Ravens have allowed fellow slot receivers Jamison Crowder, Julien Edelman, Tyler Boyd, Tyler Lockett, and Cole Beasley to post at or above expectations over their last seven games. Landry is also quietly top-10 at receiver in targets, yards after the catch, and red-zone receptions. We expect the Ravens to be able to put up points on the Browns, thus forcing them to have to throw more often in the second half. Landry has shown a ceiling a few times this season where he has three top-seven performances.
Michael Gallup, DAL ($10,400) vs PHI
Gallup and the other Cowboys receivers weren’t asked to do much in last week’s stomping of the Rams. Amari Cooper, Gallup, and Randall Cobb had seven combined targets in that game. Gallup gets the Eagles this week who have allowed the fourth-most points to opposing wide receivers. The Cowboys also have a healthy 24.5 team total, and the Eagles have allowed the third-lowest yards per carry on the season. Gallup is top-15 at receiver in both yards per reception and yards per target. He is the boom or bust type of player I like taking chances on in tournaments and I think he makes sense being stacked with Dak Prescott and possibly Cooper as well who only costs $12,500.
Cash Game Option:
Austin Hooper, CAR ($8,400) vs JAX
This will now be Hooper’s third game back from injury and he has logged 65% and 82% of the snaps the last two weeks. He also has six targets in each of the last two games, which has been second on the team in both games. The Falcons put starting receiver Calvin Ridley on IR last week, thus securing Hooper as the clear second target in this offense. Hooper is priced $5k or more below the top couple of tight ends even though he is third in points per game at the position. The Falcons have a nice team total at 26.25 and makes for a solid cash game option this week.
Mike Gesicki, MIA ($7,000) vs CIN
This is a matchup pinning two bad defenses against each other. Gesicki has six or more targets in six of his last seven games and is second on the Dolphins in targets this season. He has been a top-five tight end in three of those seven games. The other four games he has been outside of the top-20 at the position. Gesicki is very boom or bust as you can tell and that makes him a worthwhile tournament option. He comes in very cheap and is an easy fit if you are stacking this game.
Dallas Goedert, PHI ($8,000) at DAL
It is no secret how decimated the Eagles are at the wide receiver position. That has led Goedert to register six or more targets in five straight games. He has five red-zone targets over that time as well. This game has the fourth-highest total on the slate and both offenses should be in a position to attack the weaknesses of the opposing defense. The Cowboys’ zone defense is susceptible to tight ends and they are allowing top-10 fantasy numbers to the position. Goedert is kind of in the middle price range at the position and that should suppress his ownership and makes him a solid tournament option.