Is DeVonta Smith a WR1 if AJ Brown is Traded? – Fantasy Football Dynasty Buys and Sells 5/11/2026

“We're having a FIRE... sale” - Tobias Fünke

Welcome back for another installment of Dynasty Buys and Sells, ladies and gentlemen. As I said in the previous installment I’ll generally keep this article short and sweet with around four total players, but I’m not going to force two of each when the moves aren’t there to make. But unlike the last one, I’ve got more sells than buys.  Some may even call it a…


BUY: Brian Thomas Jr, WR, Jacksonville

Considering Brian Thomas Jr. a buy is heavily influenced by the ole “risk vs reward” conundrum. BTJ has been left for dead by the fantasy community, as seen by being drafted last among Jags receivers in offseason redraft mocks. Early in the season, he simply didn’t look like himself. But after getting healthy down the stretch, he started showing his immense upside by making some incredible catches like this.

Thomas finished 13th in yards per reception, totaled 23 deep targets, tied for fifth-most with multiple receivers despite playing in two fewer games than the rest of that grouping. His yards per catch were virtually identical from the previous season, 14.73 in 2025 to 14.74 in 2025. With Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, and Travis Hunter in tow,  BTJ is more of a volatile WR2 with tremendous upside in an ever-improving Jacksonville offense under Liam Coen. Will BTJ become the perennial top 10 receiver he looked capable of becoming in his rookie season? Probably not. But if we can heal from the hurt of being burned by BTJ last season and adjust our expectations, there’s value to be had, matey.


SELL: DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia

The will-he-or-won’t-he saga of A.J. Brown getting traded has yet to come to fruition, but most of our Magic 8 balls seem to keep coming up as “signs point to yes”. Naturally, with the team’s WR1 potentially heading out the door, the team’s WR2 will become a WR1. Right? Isn’t that how that works?

DeVonta Smith is a solid WR2, but his ceiling is closer to the mid-teens than single digits. He has a grand total of one point-per-game finish inside the top 20, finishing as the WR15 when he was “the guy” in 2022. And last season? Smith had more games with under double-digit fantasy points than over (10 to 7). Although the expectation is that new offensive coordinator Sean Mannion wants to open up the pass game, he’s heading over from Green Bay, an offense that spreads the ball around like Nutella on an Uncrustable (don’t judge me). Brown very well may not get traded. Philadelphia added two capable pass catchers via the draft, rookie receiver Makai Lemon (whom Howie traded up to get) and tight end Eli Stowers in the second round. And honestly, I believe there’s a better chance Lemon is the bigger benefactor if a trade does go down and is more likely to become the WR1 for the Iggles. Smith’s still a reliable WR2, but he’s being valued as if he’s a surefire WR1 if/when Brown gets traded. Could it happen? Sure. But there are multiple ways that path could go sideways, and Smith’s value will never be higher than it is right now.


SELL: JK Dobbins, RB, Denver

The Broncos’ running back room value has snip-snapped back and forth multiple times this offseason, and JK Dobbins appeared to be the winner when he resigned in Denver. But our (not so) good friend Sean Payton had other ideas. After drafting RJ Harvey in the 2nd round last offseason and resigning Dobbins over the offseason, the Broncos added Jonah Coleman in the fourth round of this year’s draft. The rookie profiles as an every-down back and has the most well-rounded skillset of the trio, but somehow more has been said about how this kills Coleman’s fantasy value. I’ve heard next to nothing about how it craters Dobbins’. I liked Dobbins as a solid RB3/FLEX in 2026 before the draft. He’s an unreal talent who may have been cursed by Danhausen, considering the multitude of injuries he’s dealt with over his career. But in a three-headed committee, pushing 27, and still a slight shimmer of hype with his explosive and efficient performance in 2025, I’m ridding any roster I have of Dobbins, for pennies on the dollar if I have to.


SELL: Oronde Gadsden, TE, Los Angeles Chargers

I’ve come full circle this offseason on Oronde Gadsden, and it’s only May. I started the offseason considering the sophomore tight end a target, considering his proven stretch of production and the entire offense imploding, along with the offensive line and Justin Herbert‘s hand. But Gadsden may be the only offensive player on the Chargers who doesn’t benefit from Mike McDaniel becoming the OC. As pointed out by my good friend and extremely dapper Brett Ford, McDaniel wants a tight end that is a capable blocker, a skill Gadsden is improving, but certainly not a strength. The Chargers signed Charlie Kolar from Baltimore earlier this offseason and added David Njoku on Monday, May 11th. Kolar is an elite blocking tight end in the run and pass game, and Njoku is also a strong pass blocker. Don’t get me wrong, Gadsden will be involved in the offense, but he’ll be sharing snaps with both Kolar and Njoku, lowering both his floor and ceiling. I’m not saying you MUST be looking to move on from Gadsden, but he’s a much bigger risk to bust than he was six months ago.


That’s it for this go round, but keep an eye out all offseason. On top of all the incredible work you’ll see from the team at football.pitcherlist.com, I’ll be doing this series all offseason, with bi-weekly releases starting right meow. Helping you make the dynasty moves bring home that ‘chip.

See ya on another time.

 

 

Photo by Nic Antaya, Evan Siegle | Adapted by Parker McDonald (@CarbonFoxGFX on Twitter/X)