Opportunity Report: Week 11

Why Volume?

Having a pulse on the distribution of volume in the NFL plays a huge role in winning your fantasy leagues. The Opportunity Report is designed so you can see the players getting the best opportunities to produce on the field. After all, you can’t score fantasy points if your fantasy players are not getting opportunities to touch the ball on the field.

Reading the Opportunity Report

Color	What Does It Mean?	Category Name
The player is highlighted in blue	The player is measuring 3 standard deviations above the average players at his position.	I call this the “Elite” category.
The player is highlighted in green	The player is measuring 2 standard deviations above average players at his position.	I call this the “Exceptional” category.
The player highlighted in yellow	The player is measuring 1 standard deviation above average players at his position.	I call this the “Above Average” category.

The only players included in my data set each week are players that received at least 20% of the most targets or implied touches at the position. For example, the running backs included in the data set are players that amassed at least 20% of the implied touches (rushing attempts + targets) of the top running back performer in that category. This is to eliminate the players at each position that are not fantasy-relevant and dial in the true top performers.

The statistics analyzed in each skill position table are the volume statistics that correlate most closely to PPR fantasy points over the last three years. To read more about these stats and what others you should be focusing on to help you score more fantasy points check out my Fantasy 101:What Stats Matter article.

Running Back

Week 10: RB Volume Leaders

NAME	TEAM	SNAPS	SNAP %	IMPLIED TOUCHES	TOUCHES	rATT	GZ rATT	TGT	FPTS
Dalvin Cook	MIN	59	80.8	34	34	30	0	4	15.2
James Robinson	JAX	53	82.8	28	25	23	0	5	13.2
Josh Jacobs	LV	43	59.7	25	25	21	1	4	29.6
Ronald Jones II	TB	47	58.8	25	24	23	2	2	24.8
Kalen Ballage	LAC	46	73	24	23	18	1	6	15.2
J.D. McKissic	WAS	62	70.5	23	15	8	1	15	17.9
Kareem Hunt	CLE	38	58.5	23	22	19	0	4	16.2
Salvon Ahmed	MIA	44	75.9	22	22	21	1	1	16
Damien Harris	NE	32	55.2	22	22	22	0	0	12.1
D’Andre Swift	DET	43	72.9	21	21	16	0	5	25.9
Derrick Henry	TEN	38	58.5	21	20	19	1	2	11.9
Jerick McKinnon	SF	44	62	21	19	18	1	3	5.6
Wayne Gallman	NYG	42	59.2	20	19	18	3	2	19
Nick Chubb	CLE	28	43.1	20	19	19	0	1	18.6
Miles Sanders	PHI	48	71.6	20	17	15	0	5	13.5
Aaron Jones	GB	41	63.1	19	18	13	0	6	14.5
Nyheim Hines	IND	39	55.7	18	17	12	1	6	28.5
Antonio Gibson	WAS	33	37.5	17	17	13	2	4	22.5
Devontae Booker	LV	26	36.1	17	17	16	0	1	21.3
Kenyan Drake	ARI	38	52.1	17	17	16	0	1	9.9
Alvin Kamara	NO	39	66.1	16	15	8	2	8	34.8
Giovani Bernard	CIN	44	67.7	15	12	8	0	7	8.7
James Conner	PIT	64	87.7	15	15	13	0	2	6.8
Duke Johnson	HOU	54	94.7	15	14	14	0	1	5.4
Alex Collins	SEA	32	47.8	13	12	11	0	2	11.7
Melvin Gordon III	DEN	40	56.3	13	11	11	0	2	4.6
Jamaal Williams	GB	31	47.7	12	11	8	0	4	8.5
Mike Davis	CAR	25	52.1	12	11	7	1	5	8.4
Rex Burkhead	NE	20	34.5	11	10	6	0	5	22.6
Chase Edmonds	ARI	36	49.3	11	11	8	0	3	10.7
Leonard Fournette	TB	29	36.2	11	10	8	1	3	5
Cam Akers	LAR	18	25.7	10	10	10	1	0	3.8
Gus Edwards	BAL	15	22.7	9	8	7	0	2	8.3
Latavius Murray	NO	24	40.7	9	9	9	0	0	5.7
Jonathan Taylor	IND	17	24.3	9	9	7	1	2	5.7
Jordan Wilkins	IND	14	20	9	8	8	1	1	2.8
Zack Moss	BUF	39	53.4	9	8	7	0	2	2.7
Devin Singletary	BUF	34	46.6	9	5	4	0	5	2
Malcolm Brown	LAR	29	41.4	8	8	6	1	2	19.1
Darrell Henderson Jr.	LAR	23	32.9	8	8	7	1	1	10.3
D’Onta Foreman	TEN	9	13.8	8	8	7	0	1	9.3
Samaje Perine	CIN	16	24.6	8	8	7	0	1	6.5
Alfred Morris	NYG	15	21.1	8	8	8	0	0	3.4
Mark Ingram II	BAL	17	25.8	7	7	5	0	2	4.9
J.K. Dobbins	BAL	29	43.9	7	6	5	0	2	2.4
Joshua Kelley	LAC	17	27	7	7	7	1	0	2.1
WEEK 10 AVG RB	NFL	23	34.5	9.8	9.2	8	0	2	8.2

Week 10 Highlighted Players (PPR Points): Duke Johnson (5.4), Jerrick McKinnon (5.6)

Above Average PPR Performance Week 10 Hit Rate: 0% scored above 8.2 PPR points, the average for the position in Week 10.

As an Antonio Gibson truther, I think it’s time we address the elephant in the room, J.D. McKissic. McKissic was once a nuisance to Gibson’s managers as they split work. However, now that Alex Smith has taken over in Washington, McKissic is getting targeted like he is the team’s WR1. In the three games with Smith at QB, McKissic has averaged 12 targets and 15 PPR points per game. That’s compared to his four targets and 8 PPR points per game in the six games without Smith. Whether you are a Gibson manager or not, McKissic needs to be owned and in your lineups as long as Smith remains the Football Team’s quarterback.

With Joe Mixon out with an injury since Week 7, Giovani Bernard has been the bell cow back in Cincinnati. In the Bengals’ three games since Mixon has been out, Bernard has had two RB1 performances of 20+ PPR points and a lackluster RB3 performance against Pittsburgh last week. Although he was unable to capitalize, his opportunities were there in Week 10. Bernard was targeted, an exceptional rating (+2 standard deviations), seven times. Unfortunately, Bernard was unable to score so his fantasy production hovered around average for the position. He did not see any attempts within the green zone. Bernard should maintain similar volume as long as Mixon remains out (he did not practice this week) and you can expect a better fantasy point return against the Washington defense.

Other Week 10 Opportunity Standouts: Alvin Kamara, Kalen Ballage, Aaron Jones, Nyheim Hines, James Robinson, Miles Sanders, D’Andre Swift, Devin Singletary, Mike Davis, Rex Burkhead

Wide Receiver

Week 10: WR Volume Leaders

NAME	TEAM	SNAPS	SNAP %	ROUTES RUN	TARGETS	TARGET SHARE	AIR YARDS	AIR YARD MS	WOPR	FPTS
Brandon Aiyuk	SF	68	95.8	42	14	0.36	85	0.37	0.8	19.7
Cole Beasley	BUF	58	79.5	41	13	0.28	94	0.26	0.59	27.9
JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT	61	83.6	45	13	0.28	85	0.2	0.56	22.7
Davante Adams	GB	53	81.5	31	12	0.36	70	0.34	0.78	18.6
DeAndre Hopkins	ARI	70	95.9	39	12	0.38	114	0.55	0.95	25.7
Stefon Diggs	BUF	69	94.5	50	11	0.23	78	0.21	0.5	25.3
Diontae Johnson	PIT	63	86.3	43	11	0.24	116	0.27	0.55	23.6
Mike Evans	TB	64	80	39	11	0.29	96	0.3	0.64	19.7
Josh Reynolds	LAR	56	80	37	10	0.28	101	0.36	0.67	17.4
Marvin Jones Jr.	DET	51	86.4	31	10	0.31	110	0.5	0.82	23.6
Justin Jefferson	MIN	0	0	35	10	0.31	117	0.4	0.75	21.5
K.J. Hamler	DEN	62	87.3	45	10	0.22	75	0.19	0.47	9
Chase Claypool	PIT	44	60.3	29	10	0.22	178	0.41	0.62	21.3
Terry McLaurin	WAS	86	97.7	57	9	0.17	68	0.21	0.4	17.2
Tyler Lockett	SEA	58	86.6	45	9	0.26	156	0.43	0.68	11.6
Tee Higgins	CIN	55	84.6	37	9	0.24	104	0.3	0.57	22.5
Allen Robinson II	CHI	0	0	34	9	0.33	82	0.35	0.75	10.3
John Brown	BUF	54	74	36	8	0.17	113	0.31	0.47	13.2
Jerry Jeudy	DEN	61	85.9	46	8	0.18	135	0.34	0.5	10.8
Will Fuller V	HOU	55	96.5	34	8	0.29	76	0.42	0.72	8.8
Tyler Boyd	CIN	52	80	37	8	0.21	64	0.19	0.45	10.1
Brandin Cooks	HOU	55	96.5	34	8	0.29	43	0.24	0.6	9.9
Chris Conley	JAX	55	85.9	34	8	0.24	41	0.19	0.49	8.3
Antonio Brown	TB	39	48.8	26	8	0.21	75	0.23	0.48	13.6
Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	57	81.4	38	8	0.22	54	0.28	0.53	19.2
Jalen Reagor	PHI	59	88.1	38	7	0.19	96	0.28	0.49	8.7
D.J. Moore	CAR	43	89.6	31	7	0.25	114	0.58	0.78	19.6
Darius Slayton	NYG	45	63.4	26	7	0.25	88	0.37	0.63	14.3
Keelan Cole Sr.	JAX	52	81.2	34	7	0.21	32	0.15	0.41	15.7
Jakobi Meyers	NE	57	98.3	17	7	0.41	51	0.48	0.95	15.86
Anthony Miller	CHI	0	0	22	7	0.26	90	0.39	0.66	4.8
DeVante Parker	MIA	53	91.4	25	7	0.29	88	0.33	0.67	5.1
Willie Snead IV	BAL	45	68.2	31	7	0.21	73	0.28	0.51	23.4
Keenan Allen	LAC	55	87.3	33	7	0.22	46	0.2	0.47	12.9
Cooper Kupp	LAR	37	52.9	30	7	0.19	60	0.22	0.44	10
Michael Thomas	NO	46	78	26	7	0.3	59	0.61	0.89	4.7
Adam Thielen	MIN	0	0	37	7	0.22	66	0.22	0.48	20.3
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	GB	60	92.3	35	6	0.18	95	0.46	0.6	24.9
Chris Godwin	TB	72	90	38	6	0.16	45	0.14	0.33	15.2
Sterling Shepard	NYG	58	81.7	31	6	0.21	40	0.17	0.44	10.7
Marquise Brown	BAL	62	93.9	39	6	0.18	106	0.41	0.55	3.4
Robert Woods	LAR	56	80	35	6	0.17	14	0.05	0.29	8.6
Robby Anderson	CAR	35	72.9	25	6	0.21	64	0.33	0.55	6.1
Steven Sims Jr.	WAS	40	45.5	31	6	0.11	31	0.1	0.24	9.6
Corey Davis	TEN	40	61.5	22	6	0.22	62	0.34	0.57	11.7
Greg Ward	PHI	42	62.7	23	6	0.17	8	0.02	0.27	8.9
Christian Kirk	ARI	54	74	33	6	0.19	23	0.11	0.36	6.7
Tim Patrick	DEN	42	59.2	28	6	0.13	61	0.15	0.31	10.1
Jalen Guyton	LAC	44	69.8	28	6	0.19	34	0.15	0.39	6.4
DaeSean Hamilton	DEN	31	43.7	22	6	0.13	57	0.14	0.3	11.3
Isaiah Wright	WAS	29	33	20	6	0.11	27	0.08	0.23	11.9
Cam Sims	WAS	83	94.3	55	5	0.09	55	0.17	0.26	9.4
Richie James Jr.	SF	69	97.2	39	5	0.13	63	0.28	0.39	3.6
A.J. Green	CIN	54	83.1	35	5	0.13	89	0.26	0.38	0
Travis Fulgham	PHI	59	88.1	34	5	0.14	75	0.22	0.36	1.8
DJ Chark Jr.	JAX	56	87.5	37	5	0.15	63	0.29	0.42	9.6
T.Y. Hilton	IND	47	67.1	33	5	0.14	44	0.23	0.37	8
Jarvis Landry	CLE	38	58.5	18	5	0.26	55	0.33	0.63	5.9
Mike Williams	LAC	48	76.2	29	5	0.16	96	0.42	0.53	5.8
Curtis Samuel	CAR	34	70.8	25	5	0.18	20	0.1	0.34	4.2
Larry Fitzgerald	ARI	66	90.4	37	5	0.16	31	0.15	0.34	3.3
Golden Tate	NYG	27	38	17	5	0.18	59	0.25	0.44	6.4
Jakeem Grant Sr.	MIA	44	75.9	20	5	0.21	66	0.25	0.49	14.3
Kendrick Bourne	SF	41	57.7	29	5	0.13	15	0.07	0.24	6.6
Zach Pascal	IND	47	67.1	32	5	0.14	15	0.08	0.26	7.3
Randall Cobb	HOU	32	56.1	19	5	0.18	41	0.23	0.43	7.1
DK Metcalf	SEA	64	95.5	49	4	0.11	77	0.21	0.32	4.8
A.J. Brown	TEN	49	75.4	26	4	0.15	43	0.23	0.39	3.1
Henry Ruggs III	LV	45	62.5	23	4	0.18	61	0.28	0.47	6.1
Rashard Higgins	CLE	38	58.5	17	4	0.21	64	0.39	0.59	7.8
Freddie Swain	SEA	25	37.3	20	4	0.11	33	0.09	0.23	6.7
Auden Tate	CIN	12	18.5	11	4	0.11	24	0.07	0.21	4.4
Nelson Agholor	LV	43	59.7	21	4	0.18	45	0.21	0.42	1.8
Deonte Harris	NO	21	35.6	15	4	0.17	-3	-0.03	0.24	4.4
Marvin Hall	DET	38	64.4	22	3	0.09	55	0.25	0.32	14.1
Gabriel Davis	BUF	37	50.7	25	3	0.06	32	0.09	0.16	0
David Moore	SEA	41	61.2	30	3	0.09	5	0.01	0.14	3.8
Devin Duvernay	BAL	36	54.5	27	3	0.09	16	0.06	0.18	7.5
Danny Amendola	DET	23	39	18	3	0.09	-8	-0.04	0.11	4
Week 10 AVG WR	NFL	38	56.3	26	5	0.16	50	0.19	0.38	8.7

Week 10 Highlighted Players (PPR Points): John Brown (13.2), Mike Williams (5.8)

Above Average PPR Performance Week 10 Hit Rate: 50% scored above 8.7 PPR points, the average for the position in Week 10.

Another week down and another week that Brandon Aiyuk pops off the Opportunity Report charts. Aiyuk, the versatile receiver from Arizona State, has been featured in this report before. In Week 10, Aiyuk was targeted a season-high 14 times, including one red-zone target and another target in the green zone which he converted into a touchdown. This is the second game in a row that Aiyuk has commanded double-digit targets in the 49ers’ offense. As San Francisco enters their bye week it is expected that Deebo Samuel should return in Week 12. Thus far when comparing Aiyuk’s splits with and without Samuel in the lineup, he has been much more productive. He averages four more targets ( 9 v. 5) and five more PPR points per game without Deebo. Even with Samuel returning, Aiyuk should be a WR3 with upside, especially if we don’t see a step back in his volume.

Last week I talked up John Brown as a receiver to watch after his good outing against the Seattle Seahawks defense in Week 9. Brown saw decent volume and put up WR3 numbers against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10, but Cole Beasley had the best opportunity numbers in football last week. The 13 targets Beasley earned certainly helped. That was a season-high number of targets which helped him net his second WR1 and 20+ PPR point week. Beasley has been relatively consistent this season. Maybe surprising to some, he is the WR2 in that Buffalo offense, not John Brown. He’s only owned in 51% of Yahoo leagues and maybe a solid plug-in and play going forward.

Other Week 10 Opportunity Standouts: Davante Adams, Dionte Johnson, DeAndre Hopkins, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Josh Reynolds, Terry McLaurin, Tyler Lockett, Marvin Jones, Justin Jefferson, K.J. Hamler

Tight End

Week 10: TE Volume Leaders

NAME	TEAM	SNAPS	SNAP %	ROUTES RUN	TARGETS	TARGET SHARE	RZ TARGETS	AIR YARDS	AIR YARD MS	WOPR	FPTS
Mark Andrews	BAL	50	75.8	33	9	0.26	1	48	0.19	0.53	13.1
Noah Fant	DEN	60	84.5	39	7	0.16	1	29	0.07	0.28	4.8
Logan Thomas	WAS	87	98.9	57	6	0.11	1	74	0.23	0.33	10.6
Dallas Goedert	PHI	62	92.5	34	6	0.17	0	59	0.17	0.37	7.3
Tyler Higbee	LAR	59	84.3	21	6	0.17	0	76	0.27	0.44	9
Eric Ebron	PIT	62	84.9	39	6	0.13	1	40	0.09	0.26	5.8
Hunter Henry	LAC	59	93.7	25	6	0.19	1	63	0.28	0.47	13
Jonnu Smith	TEN	47	72.3	23	6	0.22	3	54	0.3	0.54	9.5
Jordan Reed	SF	31	43.7	22	6	0.15	0	45	0.2	0.37	11.2
Darren Waller	LV	64	88.9	23	5	0.23	1	79	0.36	0.59	6.7
Mike Gesicki	MIA	28	48.3	17	5	0.21	0	79	0.3	0.52	6
Richard Rodgers	PHI	21	31.3	11	5	0.14	0	58	0.17	0.33	10
Kyle Rudolph	MIN	0	0	29	5	0.16	1	30	0.1	0.31	8.3
Greg Olsen	SEA	48	71.6	34	4	0.11	0	39	0.11	0.25	5.3
Robert Tonyan	GB	40	61.5	25	4	0.12	0	48	0.23	0.34	6.3
Tyler Eifert	JAX	40	62.5	28	4	0.12	1	30	0.14	0.27	3.5
T.J. Hockenson	DET	39	66.1	21	4	0.12	0	29	0.13	0.28	3.3
Mo Alie-Cox	IND	46	65.7	24	4	0.11	1	12	0.06	0.21	4.9
Dan Arnold	ARI	35	47.9	19	4	0.12	0	17	0.08	0.24	7.4
Rob Gronkowski	TB	65	81.2	31	3	0.08	1	68	0.21	0.27	13.1
Evan Engram	NYG	49	69	28	3	0.11	1	23	0.1	0.23	3.5
Gerald Everett	LAR	43	61.4	17	3	0.08	1	23	0.08	0.18	4.7
Dawson Knox	BUF	51	69.9	28	3	0.06	0	2	0.01	0.1	3.6
Trey Burton	IND	37	52.9	19	3	0.08	1	16	0.08	0.18	5.4
Anthony Firkser	TEN	22	33.8	15	3	0.11	0	22	0.12	0.25	1.5
Cole Kmet	CHI	0	0	18	3	0.11	0	24	0.1	0.24	1.7
Cameron Brate	TB	29	36.2	13	3	0.08	1	19	0.06	0.16	12.1
Jesse James	DET	32	54.2	10	3	0.09	0	18	0.08	0.2	2.9
Troy Fumagalli	DEN	12	16.9	7	3	0.07	2	26	0.07	0.15	3.2
Drew Sample	CIN	57	87.7	32	2	0.05	0	9	0.03	0.1	1.9
Austin Hooper	CLE	55	84.6	18	2	0.11	0	23	0.14	0.26	2.1
Jared Cook	NO	21	35.6	18	2	0.09	0	26	0.27	0.32	0
Ross Dwelley	SF	37	52.1	18	2	0.05	0	17	0.07	0.13	3.2
Tyler Conklin	MIN	0	0	24	2	0.06	0	9	0.03	0.12	3.1
Jimmy Graham	CHI	0	0	15	2	0.07	2	22	0.1	0.18	0
Will Dissly	SEA	24	35.8	6	2	0.06	0	23	0.06	0.13	2.6
Pharaoh Brown	HOU	18	31.6	9	2	0.07	1	17	0.09	0.17	10.1
Kaden Smith	NYG	41	57.7	9	2	0.07	0	2	0.01	0.11	3.2
Durham Smythe	MIA	39	67.2	8	2	0.08	1	-1	0	0.12	8.9
Week 10 AVG TE	NFL	36	53.3	19	3	0.1	1	27	0.11	0.23	5.1

Week 10 Highlighted Players (PPR Points): Donald Parham Jr. (2.3)

Above Average PPR Performance Week 10 Hit Rate: 0% scored above 5.1 PPR points, the average for the position in Week 10.

The tight end position has been relatively ugly this season. There are the haves and the have-nots and they do not typically switch designations. Logan Thomas has been a player that we have had our eye on all season here at QB List. Thomas has unreal physical traits and athletic measurables. Since Week 7, when Alex Smith took over for the injured Kyle Allen, Thomas has started to see a very slight increase in targets. Last week against Detroit, Thomas saw a red zone target as well, which is highly correlated to PPR fantasy points. This is;t to say run out a grab Thomas in all leagues, but he may be someone to monitor, especially in keeper and dynasty leagues.

Other Week 10 Opportunity Standouts: Mark Andrews, Noah Fant, Dallas Goedert, Tyler Higbee, Eric Ebron, Hunter Henry, Jonnu Smith, Jordan Reed, Darren Waller

Did you see something in the numbers that I didn’t mention? Help out your fellow QBL readers by posting about it in the comments or @ me on Twitter @KennyQBL.

Stats provided by fantasydata.com, PFF.com, Rotoviz.com

Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire| Feature Graphic Designed by James Peterson (Follow @jhp_design714 on Instagram & Twitter)

Opportunity Report: Week 11

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