Lions@Bears
Game Info
Kickoff: Sunday, November 10th at 1:00 pm EST
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Betting Odds: CHI -2.5, 42.5 Total via Oddsshark
Network: CBS
Sleeper Spotlight: Danny Amendola
Detroit Lions
Quarterbacks:
- Matthew Stafford (Sit)
Matthew Stafford now has three consecutive weeks of elite fantasy production, averaging 370 yards per game to go along with 10 touchdowns. Unfortunately, his string of decent opponents comes to an end as the Lions face the Bears this week. While the Bears have been susceptible to the run since losing Akiem Hicks, they’ve continued to keep opposing quarterbacks under check. For the season the Bears have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. I have Stafford just outside the top-12 quarterbacks this week.
Running Backs:
- Ty Johnson (Sit)
- J.D. McKissic (Sit)
- Paul Perkins (Sit)
With Tra Carson placed on IR following one start and a hamstring injury, we saw Ty Johnson play on 62% of the offensive snaps. While I’m not looking to start him this week, it was encouraging that Johnson also saw three targets in Week 9. Moving forward, I don’t expect J.D. McKissic to just disappear and if anything, his role as the third-down back was only more solidified by a solid Week 9 game. McKissic saw four targets against the Raiders, catching three of them for 40 yards and a touchdown. He also contributed 32 yards on four carries. Paul Perkins saw just three snaps in Week 9 and would only see an uptick in work if a Johnson injury were to occur.
Wide Receivers and Tight Ends:
- Kenny Golladay (Start/WR2)
- Marvin Jones (Start/Flex)
- Danny Amendola (Sit)
- T.J. Hockenson (Start/TE1)
Week 10 presents a difficult matchup for Kenny Golladay, who has put up over 100 yards each of the last two weeks and found the endzone thrice in that time. Golladay remains startable, but I’d temper expectations slightly as he’ll likely see a lot of Kyle Fuller this week. I’m always surprised when I go to look at the Lions’ target share numbers and see Marvin Jones leading the team. Jones has seen a 22% target share over the last four games and on a heavy passing team, that type of workload makes him flex worthy week-to-week. Danny Amendola has seen just one less target than Golladay over the last four games but has been hit or miss making him tough to trust for fantasy purposes. If you’re desperate because of the bye week, Amendola should at least see five targets in this game. The position that the Bears have struggled against the most in the passing game has been tight ends, as they’ve allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. This makes T.J. Hockenson a back-end TE1 this week. Over the Lions last four games, Hockenson has seen 19 targets. Hopefully, this is the week Hockenson finds the end zone again.
Chicago Bears
Quarterbacks:
- Mitchell Trubisky (Sit)
Bears’ HC Matt Nagy confirmed on Monday that Mitch Trubisky would continue to be their starting quarterback in Week 10. This is just the most “meh” news of all time. In his six games started, Trubisky has just five touchdown passes and set a new low by going 10/21 in Week 9 against the Eagles, throwing for 125 yards. Trubisky’s a sit and unfortunately, him starting gives a sedative to most of the pass game options.
Running Backs:
- David Montgomery (Start/RB1)
- Tarik Cohen (Start/Flex)
If there’s any bright spot to this offense, it’s David Montgomery. Over the last two weeks, we’ve seen Montgomery find the end zone three times and he managed to eclipse 100 yards in Week 8 against the Chargers. The Lions have allowed the most fantasy points per game to running backs this year making Montgomery a must start for me this week. Tarik Cohen’s usage is dependent on the game script. While he always has a floor of 4-5 targets a game, his ceiling comes when the Bears are in a negative game script where Cohen sees 10+ targets. Vegas has the Bears favored in this game, meaning we’re looking at a floor game for Cohen. To me, that puts him in consideration to be started in a flex spot.
Wide Receivers and Tight Ends:
- Allen Robinson (Start/WR2)
- Taylor Gabriel (Sit)
- Anthony Miller (Sit)
- Trey Burton (Sit)
Allen Robinson had one of the most disappointing performances of Week 9 when he caught just one of his five targets against a porous Eagles secondary. Coming into the game, he had seen at least seven targets and had at least four receptions in every game this year. Robinson’s 26% target share is tied for the fifth-highest rate in the league, but it’s impossible to not day-dream of what could’ve been if he received that type of target share from a competent quarterback. Regardless of my day-dreams, Robinson remains a WR2. Taylor Gabriel has seen just 11 targets over the last three weeks and has yet to sniff the end zone following his incredible three-touchdown game in Week 3. Gabriel remains a sit moving forward. Those of us that were intrigued by Anthony Miller’s 16 targets over his Week 5 and 7 games have to face reality as he’s seen just four targets since. Miller saw just 18 offensive snaps in Week 9, his lowest since Week 1. Miller can be ignored until his workload increases. Trey Burton has seen just nine targets over his last four games, which makes him a sit.
-Rich Holman
I’m faced with a must-win against the top team this week (non-PPR, no flex, start 3WR) – would I be crazy to start Jacobs over Saquon and gamble on a higher ceiling? My other RB is Cook.
Yes, you must start cook and barkley
I’m having a hard time deciding on my flex and QB this week.
For the flex It’s between
Chris Carson, Darren Waller, Allen Robinson or John brown.
QB is either Stafford or Josh Allen
You mentioned Curtis Samuel, Larry Fitz, and Brieda all as starters.
I’m in a 12 team PPR league with 2 flex spots. If you had to choose 2, who would you roll with?