Sit/Start Week 11: Reviewing All the Fantasy Relevant Players In Every Single Game

Texans@Ravens

 

Game Info

Kickoff: Sunday, November 17 at 1:00 pm EST

Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Betting Odds: BAL -4, 49.5 Total via Oddsshark

Network: CBS

Sleeper Spotlight: Darren Fells

 

Houston Texans

 

Quarterback: 

• Deshaun Watson (start, high-QB1)

 

Through nine games, Watson is the QB2 in points per game. Watson has been a top-12 quarterback in 6 of 9 starts with five of them being top-four results. Watson is buoyed by a strong rushing floor, has at least 32 rushing yards in each of his last four games, and is third at the position in yards and touchdowns on the season. The Ravens are in the bottom half of the league in pressure percentage and sack but are fifth in the league in QB hits. The Texans offensive line has improved their play recently. After allowing 18 sacks in the first four games, they have allowed seven total sacks in the last five games. The Ravens have gotten healthier in their secondary and now boast one of the top units in the league. I am still trusting Watson as a strong QB1 thanks to his immense floor/ceiling combo.

 

Running Backs:

• Carlos Hyde (start, low-RB2/flex)
• Duke Johnson (sit, flex/bench)

 

Hyde and Johnson are in a true time-share. They each play around 40-60% of the snaps each week and the leader in snaps usually depends on game script. Hyde is a touchdown or bust guy, with one or less target in 8 of 9 games to start this season. Johnson has 10 or fewer touches in 7 of 9 games. The Ravens don’t have great linebackers, leading to a ranking of 28 in rush defense DVOA. They may be without space-eater Michael Pierce along the line as well. Hyde has 19 or more touches in 4 of his last 5 games. He is a low-end RB2 for me this week. Johnson just doesn’t have the volume to be trusted. He is a desperation flex play.

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends

• DeAndre Hopkins (start, high-WR1)
• Will Fuller (sit, WR3/flex)
• Kenny Stills (start, bench)
• Darren Fells (sit, TE2)

 

I am expecting Fuller back this week against the Ravens and that will make the three-wide set Hopkins, Fuller, and Stills. Hopkins has 14 more targets than the next player for the Texans in the last two games. He is averaging 12 targets a game over the last four and we are counting on his elite usage and talent in this tough matchup. The Ravens are loaded in the secondary with Marlon Humphrey, Jimmy Smith, Marcus Peters, Earl Thomas, Brandon Carr all playing significant snaps. Stills did nothing with Fuller out, posting 74 scoreless yards on nine targets in those two games. Neither him or Fuller can be relied on as ancillary pieces in this offense in a tough matchup. Fells has tied Hopkins for the most red-zone targets on the team and is more of a touchdown-dependant TE2 this week. 

 

Baltimore Ravens

 

Quarterback:

• Lamar Jackson (start, high-QB1)

 

Jackson comes into week 11 as the number one quarterback in points per game. Jackson has been a top-10 quarterback in 8 of 9 games. Houston has given up top-12 results to 7 of 9 quarterbacks faced. He leads the position in every major rushing category (carries, touchdowns, yards). He also leads the entire league in yards per carry at 6.6 and is 11th in the league in rushing yards. The Texans have several defensive backs injured and it remains to be seen if they will be back for this game. They are already bottom-four in the league in pressure percentage and bottom-half of the league in sacks and QB hits, and that was with superstar J.J. Watt playing 8 of 9 games before his injury. Jackson will be able to do what he wants against this defense and is a top-quarterback option this week.

 

Running Backs:

• Mark Ingram (start, high-RB2)
• Gus Edwards (sit, bench)

 

Ingram has played less than half of the offensive snaps in three of the last four games. He is tied for fourth in the league in rushing touchdowns and has a healthy 5.0 yards per carry on the season. He had a season-low nine touches last week thanks to the Ravens running a season-low 46 offensive plays. He has been very touchdown-dependant with two or fewer catches in 8 of 9 games this year and 15 or fewer carries in 7 of 9. The Ravens offensive line is sixth in adjusted line yards and I am fine with Ingram as an RB2 this week. Edwards is second in line in touches and is a strong bench stash in this elite rushing offense. 

 

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends:

• Marquise Brown (start, low-WR2/3)
• Mark Andrews (start, high-TE1)

 

Brown only ran 10 routes and played 39% of the snaps in week 10. He parlayed that into four receptions, 80 yards, and one touchdown. The Texans have been burned but speedy receivers all year. They have given up 73 yards and/or a touchdown to the likes of T.Y. Hilton, Tyrell Williams, Calvin Ridley, Tyreek Hill, Chris Conley, D.J. Chark who all play similarly to Brown. Andrews’s usage is also concerning as of late. He has run 20 or fewer routes in each of the last three games. Last week he turned that into six receptions, 53 yards, two touchdowns, and eight targets. He is a favorite target of Jackson, leading the team in targets in 5 of the last 6 games. Andrews is becoming more boom or bust as of late but not many tight ends can match his upside weekly. 

–Kevin Taylor (@ktbeast918)