Jaguars at Texans
Game Info
Kickoff: Sunday, September 15th at 1:00 pm EST
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Betting Odds: HOU -8.5 via Oddsshark
Network: CBS
Sleeper Spotlight: Chris Conley
Jacksonville Jaguars
Quarterbacks
- Gardner Minshew (Sit)
Former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles was signed in the off-season but his season was derailed in the first quarter when he suffered a broken left collarbone. Foles delivered a dime, dropping a gorgeous deep pass into the corner of the endzone for a D.J. Chark touchdown but the news is Foles is out indefinitely. Sixth-round draft pick Gardner Minshew took over early in the first and looked solid in his debut. Minshew, a former Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year, played calm under center and showed command of the offense, with impressive read progression and completions at all depths of the field. Minshew was 5-for-5 on passes 10+ yards, including a gorgeous 69-yard strike, also to Chark. I am not ready to recommend you start him against Texans defense that surrendered just 107 passing yards the last time these two teams met but pay close attention to what the youngster does this weekend.
Running Backs
- Leonard Fournette (Start/RB2)
Leonard Fournette has a tough matchup this weekend, and I wouldn’t expect more than a solid 60-70 yards rushing, with hopes of a touchdown to salvage the day. Even that will be tough, as the Texans have only allowed three scores on the ground in their last five. Fournette has not had a 100-yard rushing day since Week 14 of 2017 and with a young play-caller under center, Sunday may not be the next. Start him if you have to, but if you have a better option, don’t be afraid to play them instead.
Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
- Dede Westbrook (Start/Flex)
- DJ Chark (Start/Flex)
- Chris Conley (Sleeper)
- Marquise Lee (Sit)
- James O’Shaughnessy (Sit)
- Geoff Swaim (Sit)
Heading into the season I believed Dede Westbrook would be the clear number one receiver but Chark had the big day. However, I still believe that is ultimately how the roles will play out, with Chark serving as the deep threat and making big plays. Minshew wasn’t afraid to fire it up to Chark but he did only have four targets on the day to Westbrook’s six. Both have flex value this weekend, in leagues that start three wideouts or in a flex role. More puzzling is the role Chris Conley carved out on Sunday. He leads the team with seven targets and was on the field for 76% of plays. It looks like the Jags will go with three wides as the base, moving away from playing a fullback, who only picked up eight snaps on the day. Conley may be the surprise receiver owners target. Marquise Lee was limited coming back from injury and it’s easy to see how crowded this could become in a hurry. Westbrook and Chark are the plays this week, just wait and see on the rest.
At the tight end, James O’Shaughnessy led the team in targets but he is limited as a receiver and doesn’t have any value to fantasy owners. Geoff Swaim was on my list of sleepers in the preseason but without Foles, he may be napping all year. Avoid the position for now.
Houston Texans
Quarterbacks
- Deshaun Watson (Start/QB2)
It cannot be overstated just how good Deshaun Watson is. Watson led an incredible comeback in a fashion that fans have become accustomed to. However, they have also gotten used to watching Watson run from pressure due to a line that struggles to block. Houston gave up six sacks in Week 1 and the acquisition of tackle Laremy Tunsil did nothing to slow the pass rush down. The team should improve the pass pro moving forward, but the Jags defense has historically given Watson fits, including 11 career sacks, with his best performance being 234 yards passing and one passing TD in a meaningless game late last season. I wouldn’t call you weird if you sat him this week.
Running Backs
- Duke Johnson (Start/RB2)
- Carlos Hyde (Sit)
Fantasy owners have to be encouraged with the Week 1 usage for Duke Johnson. Johnson was on the field for 42 of 67 snaps, and all third down plays. He produced solid RB2 numbers on his 14 total opportunities (carries plus targets), for 90 total yards. Expect these numbers to remain consistent and steadily improve as he gets worked into the offense and Watson begins to trust him. Johnson is a solid RB2 start in PPR leagues this week. I’d sit Carlos Hyde this week against a historically tough Jacksonville rush defense. Hyde was ultra-efficient in Week 1 but played less than 40% of the time and received just 10 carries. Expect this usage to be the norm and he won’t have value until the bye week gauntlet begins.
Wide Receivers
- DeAndre Hopkins (Start/WR1)
- Will Fuller (Sit)
- Kenny Stills (Sit)
- Jordan Akins (Sit)
- Darren Fells (Sit)
DeAndre Hopkins is essentially matchup proof, finishing as a WR2 or better in 77% of his games since the start of 2018. Hopkins has either caught a TD or gained 100 yards receiving in each of the teams last four matchups against the Jags. Start him with confidence, even against Jalen Ramsey. The rest of the Texans pass catchers this weekend are bad matchups. Will Fuller is the ultimate boom or bust play but he’s never managed to pop the cork on the Jags. Kenny Stills, a late addition to the team this preseason, did catch a huge touchdown on Monday but saw just three targets. Both players are better left on your bench this week. Lastly, the tight end situation in Houston leaves much to be desired. Both Jordan Akins and Darren Fells saw plenty of time in Week 1 but predicting the occasional touchdown grab is a fool’s errand. Nothing to see here.
–Marc Salazar (@DingWog)
12 team ppr .5
In my flex
John Brown or Jamison Crowder
Sam Darnold just contracted Mono and will miss week 2. Your decision has been made haha.
Brown for sure!
I see that you recommend sitting Robby. Would it be wise to start John Brown or Valdez-Scantling over him?
John Brown for me
John Ross or Mark Andrews at the flex position? 12 team ppr
That’s a really interesting decision. I would normally always want the wide receiver, but I’m still a little hesitant to trust Ross, and Andrews has an excellent matchup against the Cardinals. I think I like Andrews, but it’s close.
Marvin Jones or DK Metcalf for my WR2?
I would lean Marvin Jones. I don’t expect Lockett to only get 2 targets a week, so he could get more work at Metcalf’s expense.
I know it’s unconventional, but I have Devonta Freeman in my flex. With his performance last week, should I bench him for Mark Andrews? I already have Kittle at TE and don’t really think I should ever bench him. I also have Lat Murray on the bench and Mike Williams (since he’s questionable I put Allen Robinson in there).
By the way, I’m in a 12-man .5PPR
I think you’ve got to stick with Freeman for another week. Home against the Eagles should be a lot better than on the road against the Vikings. I’ll be more worried if he throws up a dud this week.
Having trouble deciding between Delanie Walker or Darren Waller for the TE spot this week. 8 man PPR league
I’d go with Delanie, let’s see what Waller can do one more time
who should i start as my flex? 12 team 1PPR. john brown, christian kirk, dante pettis, or chris thompson? thanks in advance!
I’d go Thompson – Brown – Kirk – Pettis in that order.
12 team/ .25ppr
Montgomery or A Robinson in my flex? Who will the bears lean on more?
That’s tough. I can’t trust Montgomery until they decide to give him the ball.
I’ve got John Ross III and Marquise Brown. Debating on starting one of them over Will Fuller in my flex spot. But also feeling a bit weary of my WR2 Josh Gordon. Thoughts?
Can you trade me one of them? HA! I’d go John Ross over Will Fuller.
Hockenson or Waller? And
Tyrell Williams or DJ Moore?
1pt PPR
Hock and DJ for me
Definitely Waller over Hockenson for me. The game environment should be a lot better for throwing against the Chiefs. I see the Lions really slowing down and establishing the run against the Chargers, who also play at a slow pace.
The other one is more of a toss-up. I think Moore is a better player and play normally but Thursday night games can get ugly. Williams has a great matchup and should have plenty of chances for volume against the Chiefs. Williams feels safer especially with Cam not looking great throwing the ball in week 1
Tyler Boyd or DJ Moore for my WR2?
Aaron Jones or Marlon Mack for my Flex? Other two RBs are David Johnson and Chris Carons.
10 man PPR league.
DJ and Mack
Who do I play?
.5ppr
10 team league
3 wrs + 2rbs + 1 flex
*Boyd/Keenan Allen/Diggs/DJ Moore
*Bell/Sony Michelle/D. Williams/D. Johnson
*Engram/Mark Andrews
D. Johnson
Bell (if healthy watch for that)
Allen
Diggs
Boyd
Sony — I do not think we need to overreact to week 1! He still got the bulk of the carries
Latavius Murray, Curtis Samuel, or Ronald Jones for Flex?
.5 PPR league
Thanks!
This is tough, between Latavius and Samuel for me. If you want safe I’d go Latavius.
Please help! Josh Gordan vs Miami or Evans vs Carolina? Who do I start
Evans
Josh Gordan, Mike Evans, or John Brown. Need two, one for WR2 and the Other for FLEX.
Gordon and Evans
Looking for advice – 14 team PPR league
2 WRs + 2 RB + 1 Flex
D Adams/J Edelman/M Gallup/J Ross
*J White/D Williams/C Thompson/M Breida
note my current starters – should I make changes? I’m mostly torn between playing Gallup, Breida or Thompson
that didn’t post right, but my starters are currently Adams, Edelman, Gallup, White and Williams
I’d leave it as is
Room for 3 WR- Stephon Diggs, Tyrell Williams, Larry Fitzgerald and Marquis Brown. Who sits?
Sit Brown
14 team non ppr stuck with Jameis as my QB, only other QBs on the wire are Keenum, Mariota, Minshew…. it’s a mess. Please help!
I think you gotta roll with Winston then
I would stick with Jameis a little longer. The best option out of all of those with most upside by far. He is known for having horrible weeks but also top-five weeks.
1pt ppr. need a RB and a Flex: Damien Williams, Marlon Mack, Holleywood Brown. which 2 would you start?
Both RBs
Lamar Jackson or Tom Brady (I’m leaning towards Brady, but the pats never do too hot against miami at miami)
(12 team PPR)
Pretty even, think I lean Lamar
Would this still be useful for a ten team, PPR ?
Thanks
Yes, still valuable. Rosters are just deeper so some of the fringe guys might be sitting in your league.
12 Team Standard – Flex Chris Thompson or Latavius Murray?
In a standard league, it is Murray for me. This game has a big total and should be fantasy friendly all around, giving Murray a nice chance at a TD. Not getting Thompson’s receptions takes away a lot of his value.
Looking for RB2 in 10 Team Standard – Duke Johnson Jr, Devin Singletary, Malcolm Brown or Ronald Jones II
All pretty close, but bc standard I may go with Brown for TD upside
Have a difficult FLEX decision to make in a 12 team full-PPR. Chris Thompson, Christian Kirk, Curtis Samuel, or TJ Hockenson? My gut says Thompson, but it’s a tough one.
Between Kirk or Thompson
Probably Thompson for me as well, Kirk would be 2nd choice. Redskins should need to throw a lot, falling behind the Cowboys.
Austin Hooper (vs Eagles) or Darren Waller (vs Chiefs) this week?
Forgot to include – 10 teams, half ppr
Waller
12 team .5 ppr flex
Pick 2
MVS
AJ Brown
Terry McLaurin
Robby Anderson
Mecole Hardman
Mark Andrew’s
(If im lucky I can flex Mixon in for one of these but not sure if he will even be worth playing through injury)
Ok, I’ve got only one questions… Carson Wentz or Dak Prescott? 10 team full PPR.
wentz
Pick 1 RB and 1 flex
Devonta Freeman, Chris Thompson
John Brown, John Ross, Terry McClaurin
Freeman and John Brown
8 team league so stacked options…
Sit Evans for: Tyrell Williams, Lockett, Larry Fitz?
Was strongly considering Tyrell just because it should be a shootout and he’s guaranteed the volume against a weak secondary.
12 team PPR
I have to pick one, who to start: James Crowder vs DJ Moore vs Cooper Kupp?
thanks
aaron jones or d freeman this week? RB2, full PPR thanks
freeman
Start Baker Mayfield or Derek Carr? 10 team Half PPR
Carr has a much higher ceiling this week
10 team, full PPR:
QB: Carson Wentz or Lamar Jackson? (I know, I have it rough)
RB: Singletary, Duke Johnson, Damien Williams (I’m leaning Damien Williams)
Flex: Josh Gordon or one of the RBs above? (I’m leaning Singletary)
12 team, Full PPR
who to flex Aaron Jones, Allen Robinson, Devin Singletary or Michael Gallup
Full point PPR need a flex:
John Brown or Chris Thompson. Or, do I trust Mixon?
Thanks!