The summer is here, meaning it’s time for best ball drafts before we turn the page to our season-long leagues. It’s a great way to get acclimated with the current fantasy football landscape, earn some draft reps, and have fun. The beach, pool, or just a nice walk in the neighborhood is better when you’re drafting a best ball team. For those not aware, the crux of a best ball league is you draft and forget. No lineups, waivers, or trades. The platform you play on picks your best lineup for you each week. Sounds like a plan to me.
Every couple of weeks leading up to August, we’ll do a quick check-in on Underdog’s ADP (average draft position) to see which players may be coming at a bargain and which ones may be getting picked a little higher than I’d prefer. Let’s get the negativity out of the way and start with a few overvalued players. All ADPs are courtesy of 4for4.com as of 7/8/26.
Let’s get the negativity out of the way and jump into the one overvalued player we’ll touch on.
Quinshon Judkins, Running Back, Cleveland Browns
Current Underdog ADP: 54.6 (Overvalued)
Judkins is a smooth runner with the football and a fun watch, but there are a few too many risks when it comes to drafting him around the 54th overall pick. First, he’s coming off a serious injury, as he dislocated his ankle and fractured his fibula in Week 16 last season. To be fair, it was reported that Judkins looked explosive during OTAs, but Running Backs like Tony Pollard and Isiah Pacheco have had similar injuries and didn’t have the same juice when they returned. The Browns offense also comes with plenty of questions, starting at the quarterback position. Judkins could potentially be playing alongside the worst quarterback situation in the NFL, whether it’s Deshaun Watson or Shedeur Sanders under center. They’re also in the bottom three for implied points per game heading into 2026, according to Graham Barfield of Fantasy Points. Investing in Judkins means you’re investing in a likely bad offense.
Another concern when it comes to Judkins is the player behind him on the depth chart, Running Back Dylan Sampson, who’s also heading into his second year. Sampson is a quality pass catcher who ranked second in yards per route run among all rookie running backs since FantasyPoints.com began accumulating such data, according to Ryan Heath of FantasyPoints. Sampson should have plenty of involvement in the passing game, which hurts Judkins’ ceiling for fantasy. Jaguars Running Back Bayshul Tuten gets drafted in a similar range and projects to have more passing game participation in a better offense. He’s a solid alternate Running Back option in the fifth round.
Brian Thomas Jr., Wide Receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars
Current Underdog ADP: 61.1 (Undervalued)
The third-year receiver out of LSU is being drafted at one of the biggest discounts compared to last year. After he exploded as a rookie in 2024, BTJ skyrocketed into the first round of 2025 fantasy drafts, but a wildly disappointing sophomore campaign has caused Thomas Jr.’s ADP to fall all the way into the sixth round. The 23-year-old’s 2025 season was tainted with ankle, shoulder, and wrist injuries. During OTAs, Thomas Jr was quoted as saying “it doesn’t hurt to run”, indicating that he’s much healthier going into 2026. Head coach Liam Coen commended Thomas Jr. on his performance during OTAs and made a point to mention the chemistry he’s been building with quarterback Trevor Lawrence.
BTJ does have plenty of target competition between Parker Washington and Jakobi Meyers, not to mention Travis Hunter, who will undoubtedly play some offense. The Jaguars also appear to be following the newer trend in the NFL to employ heavier personnel with multiple Tight Ends on the field, potentially being detrimental to Thomas Jr.’s snap counts. Those concerns, however, are being somewhat baked into his mid-round ADP. At a sixth-round value, you’re not relying on him to be your WR1. You can go heavy at Running Back and snag BTJ as your second WR, for example, and now you have a player who literally showed us he has a first-round ceiling, but you’re getting him in the mid-rounds. Even in a disastrous 2025 season, he still led the Jaguars with 1,254 air yards, according to Justin Carlucci of Fantasy Life.
John Shipley, Jaguars beat writer for Sports Illustrated, named BTJ as the MVP of the offseason program. I don’t want to jump to too many conclusions based on an offseason MVP award, but Shipley did note that BTJ “looks as good as he ever has in practice”. With health improvements and the positive offseason buzz surrounding BTJ, I’m buying the discount.
Tyler Shough, Quarterback, New Orleans Saints
Current Underdog ADP: 122.4 (Undervalued)
Shough finished his rookie season last year on a high note as the QB8 in fantasy points per game from Week 10 on. The 26-year-old is paired with a promising young play caller/head coach in Kellen Moore, and the front office invested a first-round pick in WR Jordyn Tyson to bolster the supporting cast around Shough. When removing first reads, designed throws, and checkdowns, he topped the league last year in adjusted net yards per attempt with 10.94. Their first-round picks in 2024 and 2025 were spent on the offensive line (Taliese Fuaga and Kelvin Banks), fortifying the protection in front of Shough. He has a legit WR1 in Chris Olave and a workhorse Running Back in Travis Etienne. The former Louisville Cardinal can get it done on the ground too, having averaged over 23 rushing yards in the eight full games he played as a rookie. Shough has plenty of things going for him as a late-round quarterback option. It won’t be surprising if he easily beats out his 11th-round ADP when the season comes to an end, making him a nice value and a guy whose ADP I could see climbing a bit as we move closer to the heart of draft season.
Featured image by Ethan Kaplan (@djfreddie10.bsky.social on Blue Sky and @EthanMKaplanImages on Instagram)