Now with Week 10 behind us, we move on to Week 11. The Patriots, Jets, and Ravens are now back from their bye week and we will look to see what matchups we prefer moving into this week. But first, a review of how we did last week to keep us honest.
A mixed result as the Giants and Titans performed very well, but the Broncos and a spicier pick of the Falcons did not. Atlanta was a bold pick and that did not pan out. Let’s move on and see if we can find more stable games to stream for this coming slate.
There are a lot of good teams that didn’t quite clear the threshold to be highlighted here, but I will list them at the end as considerations so make sure you check them out to see if they’re in your league. So with this week getting rough fast, I will broaden the parameters to prepare more options than usual for your consideration. As always, we’re looking for teams rostered around 50% or lower rostered before moving past that rule to look elsewhere down at the bottom of this article.
Please note that there is a good chance better teams are out there in your league than these four, but we cannot assume they’re out there for every league. Stay active and monitor the league home page, there is also a chance someone will drop a defense after the waivers clear for this week as well.
Washington Commanders
Opponent: @ Houston Texans
ESPN % Rostered: 18%
Yahoo % Rostered: 7%
Coming off their heroic upset in Philadelphia, we’re targeting the Washington Commanders for their game in Houston next week. They took on the undefeated team on the road and came away with a sack and 4 turnovers in addition to ending the game with a defensive touchdown to seal the victory for them. We want that energy going against a Texans team that is allowing opposing defenses about 9 points in each of their last four games since their bye week. In that same four-game stretch, David Mills has been sacked 11 times and thrown at least one interception in every single one of those games. The Commanders boast a league-high quarterback knock-down rate heading into this matchup to add to the 7 turnovers generated in their last three games. Good to hear going against Dameon Pierce who just fumbled the ball last week against the Giants.
The @Commanders end the game with a TD! #WASvsPHI pic.twitter.com/bEqjHPo4OI
— NFL (@NFL) November 15, 2022
Cincinnati Bengals
Opponent: @ Pittsburgh Steelers
ESPN % Rostered: 35%
Yahoo % Rostered: 29%
The Bengals travel to Pittsburgh looking for revenge after their bye week. They should now be at a point this season where their offensive line is performing much better than their previous game in Week 1, which showed zero cohesion against the Steelers. Pittsburgh has been giving up the 3rd-most fantasy points to opposing defenses this season and Cincinnati has that extra week to rest and prepare for this game. The Bengals had registered a sack in every game this season until their last one. They have also had 5 turnovers generated in their last two games played. The Steelers have allowed Kenny Pickett to get sacked 6 times in each of their last two games and have turned the ball over 5 times in their last three games. This Bengals team is tied for the second-fewest passing touchdowns allowed and the eighth-fewest passing yards against.
Green Bay Packers
Opponent: vs Tennessee Titans
ESPN % Rostered: 52%
Yahoo % Rostered: 42%
This one I guess is fudging the line on ESPN leagues, but this Packers team is on a 4 game interception streak, having 6 over those last four games mentioned. It’s been an up-and-down season for the Green Bay defense, and they will play their next game at home to a Titans offense that has seen its quarterbacks sacked 9 times and turned the ball over 4 times over their last four games played. This Tennessee team is last in the league in passing yards on the season and the Packers defense has the fifth-fewest passing yards allowed by them. They rank top ten in both air yards downfield per pass and yards allowed after the catch. Green Bay has the third-highest blitz rate and is top ten in overall quarterback pressure on the season. It’s of note that the Titans starting center is starting the week as a non-participant in practice as he begins the concussion protocol.
RUDY! RUDY! RUDY!
Ford's second INT of the half 💪 #DALvsGB | #GoPackGo
📺 FOX pic.twitter.com/neSSVXF325
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) November 13, 2022
Kansas City Chiefs
Opponent: @ Los Angeles Chargers
ESPN % Rostered: 24%
Yahoo % Rostered: 57%
If I’m going to fudge one against ESPN, it’s fair that I now fudge one more this time against Yahoo. It actually favors ESPN and other leagues that track yards allowed, as they have not been quite as up-and-coming lately in settings that do not track that statistic, such as Yahoo. I’m going to be honest, this is a bit of a risky recommendation, as the Chargers have consistently allowed a high floor to opposing fantasy defenses, but also a low ceiling. Great if you only need to get by, but not so great if you need to swing for the fences. The Chargers over their last three games have given up 6 sacks and 5 turnovers. This should help a Chiefs defense that has been light on generating turnovers themselves of late. However, to their credit they have been getting after the quarterback, registering 13 sacks in their last three games. They are one of the stronger teams in defending the run as they have given up the fifth-fewest rushing yards on the season.
Since this is a bit of a rough week for recommendations, let me throw some additional categories in here for you to check your waivers to find.
Caveat Emptor – Both of these teams have high upside fantasy defenses on the year, and are roughly available in 70% of both ESPN and Yahoo. However they have potentially dangerous matchups.
Minnesota Vikings – This defense has been on a tear recently, including on the road at Buffalo of all places where they posted double-digit fantasy points. They now face a Dallas Cowboys team that is top 10 in offensive points against defenses in fantasy.
New York Jets – A top 10 defense that now travels to the Patriots. Something about facing Belichick on the road coming off a bye week does scare me a little bit.
Bargain bin – These are shaky defenses that have great-looking matchups if you need to roll the dice in much deeper leagues.
Las Vegas Raiders – Heading to face a Denver team that has given up the 6th-most fantasy points to opposing defenses, including a previous matchup between these two division rivals in which the Raiders came away with double-digit fantasy points.
Los Angeles Rams – They’re playing a Saints team that has given up double-digit fantasy points in 3 of their last 4 games. But it is in the Superdome.
Houston Texans – They are hosting a Commanders team that gets sacked multiple times, always throws an interception, and is top 5 in points allowed to opposing D/STs.
These teams did not meet the consideration threshold for the main highlight section, but you should check to see if they’re available in your league:
San Francisco 49ers – ESPN: 79% Y!: 92%
New England Patriots – ESPN: 71% Y!: 82%
Baltimore Ravens – ESPN: 60% Y!: 69%
New Orleans Saints – ESPN: 88% Y!: 63%
Denver Broncos – ESPN: 50% Y!: 56%
Hit me up with some feedback @MikeoftheFF on Twitter
Photos by Zach Bolinger & Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire | Design by Michael Packard (@designsbypack on Twitter @ IG)