It’s time to provide an update based on what we’ve seen and what has happened this August, so here’s the first update to the Top 300 List, with comments on everyone in the top 150 and additional comments for each tier for the 150 remaining players.
As a reminder, these rankings are geared toward a 12-team redraft league, with PPR scoring, as that is typically the most popular fantasy football format.
I would recommend not paying super close attention to the specific ranks of each player, and honing in more on the respective tiers that they’re in. Each tier represents a grouping of players that I think could arguably perform at a similar level, and/or carry similar levels of risk. If Player X is ranked at #55 and Player Y is ranked at #65, but they’re in the same tier, it means that I personally like Player X better, but I think there’s a valid argument to be made for Player Y performing just as well.
Draft Philosophy
When looking at drafting in 2024, I have a couple of things that I cannot stress enough before you enter your draft rooms.
1. Come with a plan but be prepared to blow it up.
The second your draft starts, you have a zero percent chance of predicting exactly what will happen. It’s important to be prepared for all of your top options to be gone at one point or another. In those instances, you can make or break your team, depending on how you react. At the start of every round, you should evaluate who is off your board, gauge what your top tiers at each position look like, and be prepared with a couple of names from each position that you are confident drafting.
2. Know Your League
This can be looked at in a number of different ways. First and foremost, know your league mates’ tendencies. Are they homers, and do they draft all your local team’s players? Do they love rookies? The tendencies of your league mates will always provide you with opportunities if you know them in advance. Second is how active your league is. Are you going to be able to make trades if you go with the best player available and load up on a specific position? If so, then more doors are open to you each round; if not, then you need to be more strategic in the middle rounds. Finally, and the most obvious, know your scoring. There are so many new and innovative ways that fantasy football is scored, and any small scoring detail can turn into a significant advantage or disadvantage.
3. Rounds 1, 2, 5 and 9
These rounds have been instrumental in all of my drafts thus far. Rounds one and two set the tone and an overarching strategy for the rest of your draft. My strategy in these two rounds is either double-tapping the wide receiver position or going with one running back and one wide receiver. In the second round, specifically, if Marvin Harrison Jr. falls to you, you take him. Round five is one of the final premier player rounds in the draft. It is a great round to course correct before you head into the abyss of handcuffs, late-round quarterbacks, tight ends, and dart throws. What I mean by course correct is evaluating your roster and finding your most significant need. Is it a position you waited too long on (quarterback or tight end), or is it depth? Round five is where you can fix those things. Finally, round nine is full of potential league-winners, players with high ceilings at a value price. It’s a great round to get your guy and take some risk.
Read The Notes
I took the time to provide a writeup on each of the top 150 players, so if you’re going to argue (which is allowed and encouraged), at least try to get some idea of why I ranked the player where I did or what I generally feel about them. Take some time to read them, see where you agree or disagree, and jot down thoughts to bring to your drafts with you. For players that I don’t have notes on here, I provided 300 writeups in my original version of this column, so you can check that out to see my thoughts on each player: My Top 300 Overall from 8/15.
These rankings talk about what I generally project for a player, but these rankings are not projections. They include projections but also take into account performance risk, injury risk, team context, ceiling, and floor.
These rankings and write-ups will be updated one more time before the start of the season.
Now, let’s dive in!
Tier 1
1. Breece Hall (RB, NYJ) — Breece Hall is one of three elite workhorse running backs who can win with his legs or his hands. Draft him and never look back.
2. Ja’Marr Chase (WR, CIN) — Ja’Marr Chase has not yet had his WR1 overall season, which could change in 2024. As long as Joe Burrow can stay healthy in 2024, Chase has a clear path to dominating fantasy football. His slot usage is encouraging for full PPR leagues as well.
3. Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, DET) — Amon-Ra St. Brown is the safest wide receiver in fantasy football right now. He is a target magnet with incredible after-the-catch ability. Add to that that he has a quarterback who takes care of the football and has no new competition for targets and he is a smash play who could compete to be WR1 overall in 2024.
4. CeeDee Lamb (WR, DAL) — CeeDee Lamb is still in a contract dispute. Whether he holds out or just misses practice time to get his body ready for the season there is some elevated soft tissue injury risk here that removes him from my top two. We need him back ASAP.
5. Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF) — Probably one of if not the best fantasy football skill players of all time. CMC will try to do it again in 2024 after scoring 100 more points than any other player at the position in 2023. The age cliff may be looming but the risk is minimal compared to the payoff if he continues to ball out.
6. Garrett Wilson (WR, NYJ) — The Garrett Wilson breakout has arrived. Aaron Rodgers looks to be clicking with Wilson at camp. As the only player to ever earn 300 targets in his first two seasons, Wilson could compete to not only be the WR1 in fantasy football but he could lead the NFL in receiving yards and receptions this year as well.
7. Tyreek Hill (WR, MIA) — I know having Hill at WR5 is egregious to some fantasy managers. The truth is Hill is 30 years old and he now competes with a healthy Jaylen Waddle and a healthy DeVon Achane. WR5 is not a slight, its just variance.
8. Bijan Robinson (RB, ATL) — Bijan Robinson may be in something of a 60/40 split but he still should have an increased opportunity inside the five-yard line while also being used in the passing game much more aggressively.
9. Justin Jefferson (WR, MIN) — Justin Jefferson knows his quarterback for the 2024 NFL season. Sam Darnold doesn’t help Jefferson but it definitely doesn’t kill him either as he was able to post elite production with the carousel of quarterbacks for the Vikings last season. Enjoy the dip in cost and draft him confidently.
Tier 2
10. Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR, ARI) — Marvin Harrison Jr. is a unique talent. He comes into Arizona and should immediately command 150 targets. Going in the second round, that’s an auto pick.
11. A.J. Brown (WR, PHI) — AJ Brown should benefit from new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. He is a lock to be a WR1 this season and you may struggle to find a more exciting player at the position.
12. Saquon Barkley (RB, PHI) — Saquon Barkley has had a bit of a rollercoaster career but he should feast with the Eagles in 2024. Expect 5+ of Jalen Hurts’ tush-push touchdowns to lean Saquon’s way outside of his normal do-it-all play style. This is a year that Saquon could produce another elite fantasy season.
13. Travis Etienne Jr. (RB, JAC) — Travis Etienne jumps a couple of spots in my update. He still only has to share the backfield with Tank Bigsby and you can expect him to dominate touches. More scoring opportunities and sole ownership of passing down reps bode well for the Clemson alum.
14. Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET) — Jahmyr Gibbs looks to be on track to be ready for Week One but he will still share snaps with David Montgomery. The hope is that he sees the majority of the timeshare but the reality is it’s going to be closer to 50/50. The second round is fine for Gibbs in full PPR.
15. Isiah Pacheco (RB, KC) — I am expecting a breakout season for Pacheco this season. Even with the added pass catchers for Kansas City, Pacheco looks like he is going to be more involved on passing downs and gets the benefit of being on one of the best offenses in the NFL.
16. Puka Nacua (WR, LAR) — Puka Nacua did see a small drop in my projections but because he is at a tier break he didn’t fall below the next wide receiver. I am not overly concerned about the injury but Cooper Kupp looks to be back to full health and we could see a 1a/1b situation in Los Angeles.
Tier 3
17. Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, IND) — Michael Pittman should once again dominate targets for the Colts this season. The question is how run-heavy will the Colts be with Richardson at quarterback and a healthy Jonathan Taylor?
18. Drake London (WR, ATL) — Drake London could be headed for his best season as a pro. Kirk Cousins should have his top target in London, a versatile route runner who is incredible in contested catch situations.
19. Brandon Aiyuk (WR, SF) — Brandon Aiyuk is still stuck in limbo. It makes him hard to rank. What you need to know is if he gets traded to the Steelers or the Commanders his value drops slightly.
20. Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND) — Jonathan Taylor is a do-it-all running back. The concern is he has a lot of tread on the tires and he will get vultured at the goalline by Anthony Richardson. His rushing efficiency keeps him as an RB1 but you may be shouting at the TV more than you would like this season.
21. Malik Nabers (WR, NYG) — Malik Nabers is only this high because we are looking through the lens of full PPR. He may flirt with the 1,000-yard mark but Daniel Jones does look worse than ever so far and while it may just be rust, Nabers managers could be in for a volume-led but frustrating season.
22. Jaylen Waddle (WR, MIA) — Jaylen Waddle should return to glory this year if he can stay healthy. The one thing he won’t be able to shake though is that Tyreek Hill will always be the number one option as long as he is a Dolphin.
23. Nico Collins (WR, HOU) — Nico Collins is my favorite to lead the Texans in targets this season. He is a bonafide superstar who was finally able to show it with CJ Stroud passing him the ball. Collins can win at every level of the field and profiles as a true alpha. In most cases, you can add him as your WR2 and that is an incredible value.
24. Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL) — A healthy Lamar Jackson is the most exciting player in fantasy football. Year two in the Monken system should bring back elite production once again.
25. Sam LaPorta (TE, DET) — Sam LaPorta could be the closest thing we have seen to Travis Kelce in a long time. The rookie phenom played a majority of snaps from Week One on. Not only that but he is the primary red zone threat for a potent offense on the rise in Detroit.
26. Josh Allen (QB, BUF) — For NFL purposes Josh Allen may have a growing pains type of season but when it comes to fantasy football he is a top-three option without question and he retains a safe floor with his rushing ability.
27. Trey McBride (TE, ARI) —If LaPorta is the next Kelce, McBride is the next George Kittle. A violent and versatile playmaker and now at worst the number-two option for a fully healthy Kyler Murray. The concerns with Marvin Harrison Jr. aren’t that alarming as they both populate different areas of the field.
28. Mike Evans (WR, TB) — Mike Evans should once again hit the 1,000-yard mark while accruing double-digit touchdowns along the way
29. Patrick Mahomes II (QB, KC) — Mahomes will go down as the best to ever sling it and somehow he gets slept on in fantasy football. Likely the safest week-to-week option at the position.
30. Chris Olave (WR, NO) — Chris Olave needs a new quarterback. Until he gets one he will be stuck in the WR2 wasteland that his talent far surpasses.
31. DJ Moore (WR, CHI) — DJ Moore should be Caleb Williams’ favorite target in 2024. Still, he will have to compete with both Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze for targets which limits his ceiling.
32. DK Metcalf (WR, SEA) — Metcalf could be playing the Rome Odunze role in the Seahawks’ new offense and that is an exciting thought. Still one of the league’s best athletes, we should see another strong season from the Seahawks’ top option, even while he shares targets with JSN and Tyler Lockett.
33. Anthony Richardson (QB, IND) — If Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry super twinned into one player it would be Anthony Richardson. In a limited sample, he produced the most fantasy points per dropback last season. His health and ability to be a passer in the league are questions but the return is worth the risk.
34. Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL) — If McBride is the – I’m kidding. Kyle Pitts has been waiting for the quarterback to help elevate his play. He has spent most of his early career learning the ins and outs of the wide receiver position along with his role as the top tight end on the team. Kirk Cousins and an improved offensive scheme bode well for the Pitts breakout we have all prayed for.
Tier 4
35. Alvin Kamara (RB, NO) — Alvin Kamara has shown signs of slowing down but luckily for him the Saints continue to force-feed him the ball. He should be able to get to RB1 territory on volume alone.
36. Cooper Kupp (WR, LAR) — Cooper Kupp has been Matthew Stafford’s top option in camp the last few weeks. The concern with Kupp is the age cliff and his health. If he can fend those two off he has a chance to surprise and keep pace or even outproduce Puka Nacua this season.
37. Derrick Henry (RB, BAL) — Derrick Henry continues to be the outlier of all outliers. Even with question marks around the Ravens offensive line, Henry should be able to fall into the endzone 10+ times in 2024. He is the perfect thunder to Lamar Jackson’s lightning and teams will be trying to guess which is coming on every single snap.
38. Jalen Hurts (QB, PHI) — Hurts could land anywhere in this tier and I wouldn’t fight you too much. The reason he lands at QB5 for me is the loss of rushing touchdowns I am projecting in 2024. Saquon Barkley is an enormous step up inside the five-yard line from years past. Drives stalling at the one-yard line doesn’t seem as likely.
39. Kyren Williams (RB, LAR) — Kyren Williams was the RB2 in PPG last season. There are plenty of questions around if he can stay healthy all season. The play when it comes to Kyren may be just to make sure you also draft Blake Corum and ensure that you lock down the Rams backfield for the 2024 season.
40. Travis Kelce (TE, KC) — Travis Kelce may have started to lose a step but he is still Travis Kelce. As Mahomes’ top target, he has an incredibly high floor and you can draft him with confidence.
41. Dalton Kincaid (TE, BUF) — Kincaid has a real shot to lead the Bills in targets in 2024. The Bills offense may take a step back but in full PPR leagues, and there is a case for Kincaid to be ahead of Kelce and even Pitts.
42. DeVonta Smith (WR, PHI) — DeVonta Smith will have a hard time escaping the WR2 range while sharing the field with AJ Brown and that is not changing anytime soon. He is one of the most talented players in the NFL and would be an immediate WR1 if Brown were to miss any time.
43. Davante Adams (WR, LV) — The fall for Davante Adams is coming, whether it be due to age or another season with no one to get him the ball. Adams is one of my biggest bust candidates in 2024.
44. George Pickens (WR, PIT) — George Pickens may move up some if he can escape the Brandon Aiyuk sweepstakes unscathed. If Aiyuk does land in Pittsburgh, Pickens would plummet outside the top-30 wide receivers.
45. Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR, SF) — Deebo Samuel may stand to gain the most if Aiyuk were to get traded even if it may elevate his risk of injury. A rare talent on a premier offense in the NFL, Samuel is a little too pricey for me in drafts but he has the ceiling to hit if a few things go his way.
46. De’Von Achane (RB, MIA) — De’Von Achane is a test for fantasy managers on how they manage risk. The risk is insanely high for a player like Achane but similar to a few others in the top-50 overall, the potential boom is worth it.
47. Rashee Rice (WR, KC) — Rashee Rice is one of the biggest risers in this update of my rankings. With a suspension still looming but now further off in the distance, Rice may provide fantasy rosters with a huge value early only to abandon them come the fantasy playoffs.
48. Tee Higgins (WR, CIN) — Tee Higgins needs to stay healthy to get to the next level but the disgruntled pass catcher is still far behind Chase in talent and priority for Joe Burrow’s targets.
Tier 5
49. Josh Jacobs (RB, GB) — Josh Jacobs has been a volume hog in his career and that looks to be the case in Green Bay as well. He could see increased efficiency with a better offense in 2024 and if he does he could flirt with RB1 production.
50. D’Andre Swift (RB, CHI) — D’Andre Swift moved up a few spots in my rankings. Caleb Williams looks to be the real deal and the Bears may lean on Swift in the run game and on passing downs. One of my favorite values in drafts right now is Swift.
51. Kenneth Walker III (RB, SEA) — Kenneth Walker has climbed some in my rankings as well. He could be one of the primary benefactors of the Seahawks’ new scheme. Rumors out of camp are that they have started to lean on Walker in the passing game more than in years past and that could unlock a new ceiling.
52. Kyler Murray (QB, ARI) — Kyler Murray has the upside of every player in the group ahead of him. The question here is health. He also has two superstar weapons in Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride.
53. C.J. Stroud (QB, HOU) — Stroud could be a top 3-5 NFL quarterback. His limitation in fantasy football is the zero he gives you with his legs. If he starts throwing 600 times a year he can be elevated into the next tier.
54. Amari Cooper (WR, CLE) — Amari Cooper is looking for a contract solution but he is going to lead the Browns in targets once again and provide a strong ceiling and floor even if Deshuan Watson misses time.
55. Tank Dell (WR, HOU) — Tank Dell looks to be fully recovered from his brutal leg injury last season. Still, he will compete regularly with Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs for targets. He has the ability to flirt with WR2 numbers and the occasional blowup week, but his floor is scary low, even if you look past his injury concerns.
56. Rachaad White (RB, TB) — Rachaad White was atrocious on the ground last season. His passing down work should keep him near the top of the position but don’t be surprised if Bucky Irving eats into his snaps as early as Week One.
57. Keenan Allen (WR, CHI) — Keenan Allen had one of the best seasons of his career last year and now joins the Chicago Bears. He may not be the top target anymore but he should still garner a lot of attention from rookie Caleb Williams. He is a high-floor, low-ceiling option at wide receiver.
58. Joe Mixon (RB, HOU) — Joe Mixon is inevitably going to rush for double-digit touchdowns on 250+ touches all while posting sub 4.0 yards per carry efficiency metrics. The question with Mixon on the new look Texans will be health.
59. Jordan Love (QB, GB) — Jordan Love was a revelation at the end of the season in 2023. In 2024, he returns a strong offense and could contend to lead the league in passing yards.
60. Zay Flowers (WR, BAL) — Zay Flowers has some development to take the next step in the NFL but he should be the second target in a Lamar Jackson-led offense. The Ravens may lean heavily on the run game and top option Mark Andrews but Flowers has shown flashes that a breakout could be in the cards.
61. Joe Burrow (QB, CIN) — Joe Burrow is CJ Stroud with a bunch of weird injuries. Love the talent and as long as he is healthy he should be a special weapon with Chase and Higgins. He doesn’t look to be adding a consistent run aspect to his game and thats why he falls in my ranks.
62. Mark Andrews (TE, BAL) — Mark Andrews is perpetually underrated. The top target in the Ravens’ offense is a great value in drafts as he should flirt with another year of premier production at the position.
63. Caleb Williams (QB, CHI) — Caleb Williams enters the league as one of the best prospects in recent memory. He also joins a Bears offense that is the best it has ever been. If he can adapt quickly to the NFL game, he could post historic rookie numbers in 2024.
64. Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, NE) — Rhamondre Stevenson should dominate touches out of the backfield for the Patriots in the early season. He can make an impact on the ground and through the air, If he can stay healthy he should be reminiscent of what we saw from Najee Harris in 2023.
Tier 6
65. Christian Kirk (WR, JAC) — Christian Kirk has a lot of new faces that will fight for targets with the Jaguars but he should still be one of Trevor Lawrence’s favorite targets. The concern for Kirk is health and whether he or Evan Engram has the edge for the short and intermediate areas of the field.
66. Diontae Johnson (WR, CAR) — Diontae Johnson is an elite route runner who will lead the Panthers in targets. The issue is Bryce Young has a long way to go before we can call him a reliable passer and of course the ongoing concerns around Johnson’s health.
67. Terry McLaurin (WR, WAS) — Terry McLaurin will take some time to adjust to his rookie quarterback and may find himself in a very run-heavy offense in 2024.
68. Stefon Diggs (WR, HOU) — Diggs is the third-best pass catcher on the Texans at this point in his career. He will have a role and contend with Tank Dell for targets but the glory days do seem to be behind him.
69. James Cook (RB, BUF) — James Cook’s main drawback is his usage in scoring situations. On an offense that will have to rediscover itself in the post-Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis era, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see regression for Cook.
70. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA) — JSN was able to earn almost 100 targets in his rookie campaign even with Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf already on the roster and a wrist injury that slowed his start to the season. I expect him to secure the WR2 role in 2024 and potentially hit upwards of 125 targets.
71. Dak Prescott (QB, DAL) — Dak Prescott needs a new contract and so does his number-one wide receiver. There may be some rust in the early stretch and he NEEDS CeeDee Lamb to be on the field to even be in the QB1 conversations. His acquisition cost makes him a fine play for redraft leagues though.
72. Aaron Jones (RB, MIN) — Aaron Jones is now on an offense that is slowly falling apart with the loss of JJ McCarthy for the entire season, Jordan Addison’s injury and looming suspension, and of course TJ Hockernson’s return from a torn ACL. The volume should be there but the 29-year-old back may have to be used strategically if he is going to suit up for 17 games.
73. David Montgomery (RB, DET) — David Montgomery was on pace to be the RB8 according to his PPG numbers. He has one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. I love the value for Montgomery and he could be the hero for all Zero RB truthers in 2024.
74. James Conner (RB, ARI) — James Conner should dominate in the first six to eight weeks of the NFL season for the Cardinals backfield. Trey Benson will take some time as he learns how to adjust to the NFL game. Similiar to Kyren Williams but much cheaper, I don’t mind drafting both AZ backs at their current draft cost.
75. Chase Brown (RB, CIN) — Chase Brown might be one of the sneakiest values in fantasy football. Zack Moss poses a small threat to volume but Chase has the athleticism to break out. He has a three-down skill set and should be the favorite to lead the backfield early.
76. Christian Watson (WR, GB) — Christian Watson could be what everyone hopes George Pickens is if he could stay healthy. That is a big IF though and the Packers have plenty of other options in the meantime. When healthy, he should be the top option but don’t be surprised if he is rotated in and out more than the standard X receiver.
Tier 7
77. Austin Ekeler (RB, WAS) — Ekeler is someone I am only targeting in FULL PPR leagues. He should be able to remain relevant with his target volume alone. I do expect Brian Robinson to be a major thorn in his side and potentially even jump him before we get to Week One.
78. Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, WAS) — I wish Brian Robinson was slightly better at everything. That being said he is a popular breakout candidate for 2024. I am almost completely there, the only concern I have for Robinson this year is how he will navigate his ball security concerns.
79. Evan Engram (TE, JAC) — Evan Engram eclipsed 100 receptions last season. He has a fair shot to do it again even with the additions for the Jaguars on offense. At the very least, his early season should be on par with the best in the league.
80. Najee Harris (RB, PIT) — Najee Harris should lead the Steelers in touches out of the backfield. Jaylen Warren is dealing with injury concerns right now and even if that isn’t going to carry into the season, Harris should be leaned on in his final year under contract. The Steelers’ offensive line has looked bad in the preseason so the hope is that they can get healthy and on the same page before we get too far into the season.
81. Chris Godwin (WR, TB) — Chris Godwin is getting some post-hype sleeper talk this offseason as his slot usage looks to be on the rise. If he does in fact get that usage he could end up being a strong value. That being said I would bet on Mike Evans continuing to lead the way.
82. Jayden Reed (WR, GB) — Jayden Reed is an exciting player. The concerns with Reed are his usage in two-wide sets and of course the touchdown regression you can expect if he doesn’t see an increased snap percentage.
83. Jayden Daniels (QB, WAS) — Daniels needs to provide Justin Fields-esque numbers in his rookie year to find success in fantasy football but he has the skill set to do it. He should start immediately and can run his way into fringe QB1 production.
84. Jared Goff (QB, DET) — Jared Goff has a surprisingly high floor for a player who isn’t rushing for 500+ yards. He returns all of his key pass catchers in 2024 and has one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. If you wait at quarterback he is a great option in round nine or ten.
85. Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAC) — Trevor Lawrence is one of the more difficult to rank players at the position. He welcomes new pass catchers in Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis which should improve his touchdown luck from last season. Still, he needs to protect the football if he wants to jump into the next tier.
86. Tyjae Spears (RB, TEN) — Tyjae Spears looks to be in a 50/50 timeshare with Tony Pollard for the Titans. The ceiling is capped for now but he is one of the players who stands to gain the most if his backfield mate were to miss time.
87. Ladd McConkey (WR, LAC) — Ladd McConkey could lead the Chargers in targets this year. His draft cost is reasonable but there are still reasons for concern when it comes to his health and his inability to surpass 1,000 receiving yards in college.
88. Zamir White (RB, LV) — Zamir White is the heir apparent to Josh Jacobs in Las Vegas. He should enter the season as the favorite to lead the team on early downs. Don’t be surprised if both Alexander Mattison and Dylan Laube eat into those touches by Week Four.
89. Rome Odunze (WR, CHI) — Rome Odunze may already be the most talented wide receiver on the Bears roster. He will have to earn that role though as he sits behind two of the best veteran pass catchers in the entire NFL, DJ Moore and Keenan Allen.
90. Brock Purdy (QB, SF) — Brock Purdy is surrounded by elite weapons and has the accuracy that will help cut down on turnovers. The question with Purdy is if he will have Brandon Aiyuk in 2024.
91. Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, JAC) — Brian Thomas Jr. provides a much-needed red zone threat for the Jaguars. A DK Metcalf-light type of prospect Thomas may have some growing pains but he should produce some highlight reel catches along the way.
92. Javonte Williams (RB, DEN) — Javonte Williams discourse has been all over the place this offseason. The Broncos look to be headed towards a timeshare that will be led by Williams. The Broncos’ offense is underwhelming and will be led by a rookie quarterback in 2024. The ceiling is lower than I would hope for a player of William’s caliber but the talent is still there if he can put the torn ACL behind him fully.
93. Justin Herbert (QB, LAC) — Justin Herbert is going to be the primary signal caller in a new run-heavy scheme for the Chargers. He has limited options and his projected leading receiver Ladd McConkey never surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in college. There are worse options but the risk with Herbert is higher than it has been in recent seasons.
94. Calvin Ridley (WR, TEN) — Calvin Ridley joins the Titans in 2024 where he will catch passes from Will Levis alongside DeAndre Hopkins and Tyler Boyd. It may be a murky situation to navigate week in and week out on who will be the top target earner and it is one I would prefer to avoid.
95. George Kittle (TE, SF) — George Kittle quietly had one of the better seasons of his career last season. If Aiyuk gets traded he would jump Evan Engram and potentially Mark Andrews.
Tier 8
96. Dontayvion Wicks (WR, GB) — Dontayvion Wicks is a last-round pick who could end the season as one of the top two options in a Jordan Love-led offense. That is a screaming value and a player I am drafting everywhere.
97. David Njoku (TE, CLE) — David Njoku finally broke out last season. The concerns with Deshuan Watson’s shoulder are not ideal, but he should be the number two target on the offense once again in 2024.
98. Pat Freiermuth (TE, PIT) — Pat Freiermuth’s only knock in his career has been health. Heading into 2024 there are questions about who will be leading the way for the Steelers but Muth would benefit if Fields led the way as he frequently targeted Cole Kmet in the red zone.
99. Raheem Mostert (RB, MIA) — 45% of Raheem Mostert’s fantasy points last season came from touchdowns. Now he shares touches with 2nd-year phenom DeVon Achane and rookie Jaylen Wright. Regression is almost guaranteed.
100. Hollywood Brown (WR, KC) — Hollywood Brown’s value may plummet if Rashee Rice does play the whole season in 2024. Until we do get that clarity he is a nice stash with a limited ceiling with Rice and Kelce healthy.
101. Brock Bowers (TE, LV) — Brock Bowers is one of the best tight-end prospects to come out in a long time. While I wish he was anywhere but Las Vegas, the Raiders may need to rely on him this season as their current options at quarterback aren’t likely to be hitting Davante Adams with consistency this year.
102. Jaylen Warren (RB, PIT) — Jaylen Warren could be headed toward a Tyler Allgeier-like role this season. The offense will be a bit of a struggle and he will have to deal with an offensive line in flux but Warren is a decent option in full PPR leagues.
103. Tony Pollard (RB, TEN) — Pollard started to return to form in the second half of last season but now will be on a worse offense with a very similarly talented player, Tyjae Spears, as a backfield mate. He may be the less exciting of the two options but is a decent bench player who you can trust in a pinch.
104. Tua Tagovailoa (QB, MIA) — Tua Tagovailoa gets Tyreek Hill and a relatively healthy Jaylen Waddle. If the whole offense stays healthy this ranking could end up being laughable but history has told us that expecting health for any of the Dolphins pass catchers and Tua himself is a bit of a fool’s errand.
105. Jake Ferguson (TE, DAL) — Jake Ferguson is a relatively unspectacular player but he is the second option on a Dak Prescott-led offense. While he might not hit the same marks as last season he is a perfect example of how deep the tight end position is this year.
106. DeAndre Hopkins (WR, TEN) — DeAndre Hopkins is currently injured but he also may be near the end of his career. On an offense led by Will Levis, there are better options in most cases. Hopkins is a flex-level player with a rock-bottom floor.
107. Kirk Cousins (QB, ATL) — Kirk Cousins was flirting with MVP numbers before his Achilles tear last season. There have been some concerns about him returning to full health by Week One. That being said if he does get to full health he has an incredible supporting cast in a fresh offense that should fight to win the NFC South.
108. Jordan Addison (WR, MIN) — Jordan Addison was a player that was already on my bust list before he got in trouble off the field and was injured during training camp. A major touchdown regression candidate who goes from Kirk Cousins to Sam Darnold, Addison is a strong avoid who may drop even further in my ranks come the final update.
109. Xavier Worthy (WR, KC) — Xavier Worthy is a name to keep an eye on before the next update. His small frame and limited route tree make me wonder if he can be more than a deep threat at the NFL level. The one thing in his favor is he is tied to Patrick Mahomes and there is a vacancy at the wide receiver position for the Chiefs.
110. Dalton Schultz (TE, HOU) — Dalton Schultz is a boring but reliable option for tight end in 2024. Tied to CJ Stroud and an offense on the rise, Schultz may not see tons of volume but he should give you a safe floor week to week.
111. Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI) — Dallas Goedert never quite jumped into the elite tier of tight ends. There is limited volume available for him in the current edition of the Eagles offense. He has a limited ceiling and can be mostly overlooked in your 12-team redraft leagues.
112. Matthew Stafford (QB, LAR) — Matthew Stafford the Wide Receiver King Maker! Stafford brings no rushing value and is seemingly all banged up but he is the definition of an old-school gunslinger. He should eclipse the 4,000-yard passing mark if he plays all season.
113. Jonathon Brooks (RB, CAR) — Jonathon Brooks is an IR candidate for your rosters but if you are like me the waiver watch list is full right after the draft. Brooks could be an elite option in the fantasy playoffs for RB-needy rosters.
Tier 10
114. Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN) — It is probably safe to move on from Courtland Sutton in fantasy football. With a rookie quarterback in a poor offense, he offers very little upside.
115. Jakobi Meyers (WR, LV) — Jakobi Meyers is probably underrated as an NFL player but when it comes to fantasy he is a low-ceiling option that now has to compete with not only Davante Adams but Brock Bowers as well for targets.
116. Zach Charbonnet (RB, SEA) — Zach Charbonnet is a player stuck on his own team right now. He is one of my favorite handcuffs in all of fantasy football but until we see how the new offense shakes out, he may not be much more than that. I am drafting him often but for him to pay off to his highest potential he would need Walker to miss time.
117. Tyler Allgeier (RB, ATL) — Tyler Allgeier looks to be in line for around 40% of the snaps this season. He could flirt with flex value in full PPR leagues assuming the Falcons offense is fully healthy. If Bijan were to miss time he could even be in the top-15 running back conversation.
118. Deshaun Watson (QB, CLE) — Deshaun Watson may yet fall further if his shoulder continues to be an issue. Proving to be one of the worst deals in NFL history, Watson needs to get healthy if he wants to contribute to any fantasy rosters in 2024.
119. Jerome Ford (RB, CLE) — Jerome Ford is the favorite to lead the Browns backfield in the early season. There are concerns around Deshaun Watson’s health though and Ford may be an 8-12 fantasy points per game option at his ceiling.
120. Curtis Samuel (WR, BUF) — Curtis Samuel alongside Khalil Shakir should find himself behind just Dalton Kincaid for the Bills in targets this season. The Bills are likely to take a step back this year but Samuel could stand to benefit in their new-look offense.
121. Gus Edwards (RB, LAC) — The Chargers have all but told us they are going to run the ball every single snap on offense. Whether it be Edwards or Dobbins there is value to be had. Edwards is the favorite to lead the room right now and if he does he could see his value exceed even the top-30 backs this year.
122. Tyler Lockett (WR, SEA) — Tyler Lockett has started to slow down. In 2024 you can expect to see him fall behind both DK Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in targets.
123. Isaiah Likely (TE, BAL) — Isaiah Likely was on pace to be the TE1 overall in his final five games without Mark Andrews. There have been talks of him being used in a more versatile role this season during camp and if he were to get an extended run this TE15 rank is far too low.
124. Baker Mayfield (QB, TB) — Baker Mayfield revived his career with Dave Canales last season but we may see regression this season with his departure. Baker is a better NFL player than he is a fantasy football player.
125. Khalil Shakir (WR, BUF) — Khalil Shakir has a chance to break out this year without Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis in his way. While I don’t think he leads the team in targets, Shakir is a playmaker who should set career highs across the board in 2024.
126. Trey Benson (RB, ARI) — Trey Benson has been slowly growing on me. His last time on the field he displayed better vision than he showed in college. It may have been a preseason hype moment but there are little moments to get excited about with Benson. If he can string those together he should provide late-season league winner potential or RB2 potential, even if James Conner stays healthy.
127. Joshua Palmer (WR, LAC) — Joshua Palmer is the most senior pass catcher for the Chargers heading into 2024. He looks to be locked into the WR2 role for this team.
128. Geno Smith (QB, SEA) — The Seahawks have some exciting changes happening in their coaching staff. The only question is if Geno will be able to support the new offensive system. He has all the weapons to do so but he probably lands closer to last year than he does during his breakout season.
129. Devin Singletary (RB, NYG) — Devin Singletary is the definition of “MEH” at the running back position but if he is truly handed the reigns to the Giants backfield, he could get enough volume to be a solid bye week fill-in for your teams. I am keeping a close eye on Eric Gray though as a post-hype sleeper in 2024.
130. Cole Kmet (TE, CHI) — Cole Kmet is a complete tight end and the Bears paid him like one this offseason. That being said he is at best the fourth or fifth option in the new-look Bears offense.
131. Bucky Irving (RB, TB) — Bucky Irving is climbing my rankings fast. We could see him be the favorite on early downs for the Buccaneers this year. He is going late enough in drafts that it costs you nothing to make the gamble. He is one player I have tabbed as a potential breakout in the latest rounds of drafts this year.
132. Jameson Williams (WR, DET) — It’s a make-or-break year for Jameson Williams. While I lean towards the latter he could carve out a nice role if he can focus on football and stay healthy.
133. Aaron Rodgers (QB, NYJ) — Aaron Rodgers may be better in fantasy football for Garrett Wilson than he is as a player on your roster. We saw signs of the fall before his injury and now he has to come back from a brutal Achilles tear last season.
Tier 11
134. Ezekiel Elliott (RB, DAL) — The Cowboys seem like they are very close to imploding with the current contract disputes the team is navigating. Zeke will share the backfield with Rico Dowdle this season and should be the favorite at the goalline. Let’s be honest, he is a desperation play at best but if you punt RB and need someone who can help you in the height of bye weeks Zeke’s fall-into-the-endzone potential could get you the 6-10 points you need to get by.
135. Keon Coleman (WR, BUF) — Keon Coleman needs to improve his route running for me to want to trust him for fantasy football but he should see every chance to prove he belongs in his rookie campaign.
136. Ja’Lynn Polk (WR, NE) — The Patriots offense will need to find itself some while it navigates a poor offensive line and a quarterback battle. Polk could emerge in the late season as a solid flex option in PPR leagues.
137. T.J. Hockenson (TE, MIN) — TJ Hockenson isn’t a viable option to start the season but if you wait on tight end he is a great bench stash for the late season or playoff push. When he is on the field he is a special talent at the position. The only question is what will Sam Darnold be able to provide to the Vikings pass catchers.
138. Drake Maye (QB, NE) — Drake Maye may not start the season as the Patriots try to protect their young signal caller from their atrocious offensive line. That being said, he should be able to help fantasy managers who punt the position and look to Maye after Week 10. He can make plays with his arm and with his legs and that is the upside you want in your last-round QB or late-season waiver add.
139. Adonai Mitchell (WR, IND) — Adonai Mitchell is only ahead of Downs right now because of the injury. That being said he is the most versatile receiver on the Colts. He just needs to prove he can string his good performances together at the next level.
140. Zack Moss (RB, CIN) — Zack Moss is falling in my rankings but he may settle in this range for now. Chase Brown has been gaining steam in camp and I would not be surprised to see him dominate touches. That being said Moss could be in line for 120-150 touches for the Bengals.
141. Josh Downs (WR, IND) — Josh Downs needs to be recovered from his high ankle sprain to fully trust but he could be a PPR darling in an offense that could feature him more than people think.
142. Blake Corum (RB, LAR) — Blake Corum is a player I am drafting especially if I have Kyren Williams. I don’t usually like drafting my own handcuff but in the McVay system, stashing Corum could see tremendous returns. The real concern here is if we see the classic rookie in a McVay system slow burn.
143. Luke Musgrave (TE, GB) — Luke Musgrave is young, talented, and tied to Jordan Love. When drafting a late-round tight end there isn’t much more you could want. Still in 12-team or fewer leagues without a tight end premium, you most likely won’t need to draft him.
144. MarShawn Lloyd (RB, GB) — We need clarity on Marshawn Lloyd’s hamstring injury but if he can get himself clear of that injury he is my choice to back up Josh Jacobs in 2024.
145. Jaleel McLaughlin (RB, DEN) — McLaughlin is a small-framed back who fits the satellite back role for the Broncos. The concern is the Broncos offense looks to be in the bottom third of the league this year and he will have plenty of competition between Javonte Williams and Audric Estime.
146. Will Levis (QB, TEN) — Will Levis has a long way to go to be an NFL-caliber quarterback but he will be given all of the opportunities in Tennessee this season. His rushing makes him an outside option in 2QB leagues but in redraft 1QB formats he is off the radar.
147. Nick Chubb (RB, CLE) — Nick Chubb may be too high but it looks like the Browns are going to try to get him on the field. It remains to be seen if he will come close to 100% in 2024 though.
148. Xavier Legette (WR, CAR) — Xavier Legette is a raw prospect who needs to refine his route running. He may benefit from learning from Diontae Johnson but 2024 doesn’t look like the year to be drafting him in redraft formats.
149. Rashid Shaheed (WR, NO) — Rashid Shaheed brings some value as a return man this season as well as the top option if Olave were to miss time. Derek Carr hurts the whole offense but Shaheed has shown flashes when given the chance.
150. Antonio Gibson (RB, NE) — Antonio Gibson could be the third down option in a perfect world for the Patriots. Unfortunately, that should have been the case in Washington as well. I love his physical gifts but unless he stops fumbling the ball his path to fantasy relevance is narrow.
Tier 12
I still love many of the players in this tier, and you should, too. There is a great combination of underrated pass-catchers and running backs on the verge of enormous opportunity. Darnell Mooney is one that you should be drafting confidently. He has shown he can shoulder the load for an offense even if he is better suited to be a WR2 for an offense. The Falcons and Kirk Cousins should absolutely love what he brings to the offense. The talent is there if the offense throws the ball enough in 2024. Outside of Mooney, there are some running backs I like taking shots on in the late rounds, like Roschon Johnson, JK Dobbins, Khalil Herbert, and even Jaylen Wright. You can’t lose your draft with this tier, but there are some potential impact players here you need to have in your draft queues.
151. Bryce Young (QB, CAR)
152. Brandin Cooks (WR, DAL)
153. Taysom Hill (TE, NO)
154. Ty Chandler (RB, MIN)
155. Roschon Johnson (RB, CHI)
156. Cade Otton (TE, TB)
157. Daniel Jones (QB, NYG)
158. Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)
159. Ray Davis (RB, BUF)
160. Mike Williams (WR, NYJ)
161. Rico Dowdle (RB, DAL)
162. Romeo Doubs (WR, GB)
163. Jahan Dotson (WR, WAS)
164. Darnell Mooney (WR, ATL)
165. Khalil Herbert (RB, CHI)
166. Jerry Jeudy (WR, CLE)
167. Hunter Henry (TE, NE)
168. Adam Thielen (WR, CAR)
169. J.K. Dobbins (RB, LAC)
170. Gabe Davis (WR, JAC)
171. Jaylen Wright (RB, MIA)
172. DeMario Douglas (WR, NE)
Tier 13
This tier is chock-full of the top defenses and kickers, likely the end of drafts for most leagues. The skill players that stick out to me, though, are essential as some of my favorite late-round dart throws, depending on your roster construction. Braelon Allen, Javon Baker, and Theo Johnson. Baker and Johnson have a chance to start as early as Week One. They are on some uninspiring offenses but still can provide value as bye-week fill-ins or flex appeal players if they do get that chance. Allen is one that many already have on their radar, as he is one of the top running back handcuffs in the league behind Breece Hall.
173. Bo Nix (QB, DEN)
174. Michael Wilson (WR, ARI)
175. Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE, TEN)
176. Braelon Allen (RB, NYJ)
177. Baltimore Ravens (DST, BAL)
178. San Francisco 49ers (DST, SF)
179. New York Jets (DST, NYJ)
180. Dallas Cowboys (DST, DAL)
181. Pittsburgh Steelers (DST, PIT)
182. Cleveland Browns (DST, CLE)
183. Javon Baker (WR, NE)
184. Kansas City Chiefs (DST, KC)
185. Houston Texans (DST, HOU)
186. Justin Tucker (K, BAL)
187. Philadelphia Eagles (DST, PHI)
188. Dameon Pierce (RB, HOU)
189. Chicago Bears (DST, CHI)
190. Buffalo Bills (DST, BUF)
191. Brandon Aubrey (K, DAL)
192. Harrison Butker (K, KC)
193. Miami Dolphins (DST, MIA)
194. Quentin Johnston (WR, LAC)
195. Jonnu Smith (TE, MIA)
196. Wan’Dale Robinson (WR, NYG)
197. Jake Elliott (K, PHI)
198. Marvin Mims Jr. (WR, DEN)
199. Jason Sanders (K, MIA)
200. Elijah Mitchell (RB, SF)
201. Jermaine Burton (WR, CIN)
202. Theo Johnson (TE, NYG)
203. Troy Franklin (WR, DEN)
204. Demarcus Robinson (WR, LAR)
205. Indianapolis Colts (DST, IND)
Tier 14
This tier is full of players who never quite hit or are quickly heading in that direction. That, or rookie running backs in crowded backfields and day three draft capital or later. The latter group provides some intrigue: Dylan Laube, Audric Estime, and Kimani Vidal. They all have had some ups and downs during camp, but in fantasy football, the late-round running backs always have value. Each of these three players is one thing away from having an opportunity thrust upon them. Laube is one of my favorites for providing sneaky value in PPR leagues. Vidal had some exciting touches in his first preseason experience, but he is on the roster bubble and will be one to monitor as we approach Week One.
206. Ka’imi Fairbairn (K, HOU)
207. Elijah Moore (WR, CLE)
208. Tucker Kraft (TE, GB)
209. Rashod Bateman (WR, BAL)
210. Younghoe Koo (K, ATL)
211. New Orleans Saints (DST, NO)
212. Evan McPherson (K, CIN)
213. Russell Wilson (QB, PIT)
214. Jake Moody (K, SF)
215. D’Onta Foreman (RB, CLE)
216. Tyler Bass (K, BUF)
217. Roman Wilson (WR, PIT)
218. Kendre Miller (RB, NO)
219. Detroit Lions (DST, DET)
220. Jalin Hyatt (WR, NYG)
221. Dylan Laube (RB, LV)
222. Darius Slayton (WR, NYG)
223. Tyler Boyd (WR, TEN)
224. Matt Gay (K, IND)
225. Tyler Conklin (TE, NYJ)
226. Zay Jones (WR, ARI)
227. Audric Estime (RB, DEN)
228. Noah Fant (TE, SEA)
229. Kendrick Bourne (WR, NE)
230. Kenneth Gainwell (RB, PHI)
231. Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC)
232. Cameron Dicker (K, LAC)
233. Green Bay Packers (DST, GB)
234. Michael Mayer (TE, LV)
Tier 15
This tier may go largely ignored, but it shouldn’t. There are a few names that I like in deep leagues as stashes, or at the very least, they should be priority watchlist adds. The names that come to mind here are Tank Bigsby, Eric Gray, Ricky Pearsall, and Justin Fields. Bigsby is the top handcuff for Etienne, and even after a rough rookie season, he has the RB2 job locked up. He may not be an RB1 if Etienne goes down, but he should be on your radar. Eric Gray fills a similar role for the Giants and has shown up in the preseason. Don’t expect Devin Singletary to go the full season as the lead ball carrier. When it comes to Ricky Pearsall, he will jump, of course, if Brandon Aiyuk gets traded, but it is important to note he has had no time in the preseason due to injury, a concern he also struggled with in college. Finally, Justin Fields. If Russell Wilson loses the job at any point, Fields immediately becomes a QB1; his rushing is that valuable.
235. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB, KC)
236. Tank Bigsby (RB, JAC)
237. Jalen McMillan (WR, TB)
238. Cairo Santos (K, CHI)
239. Jacob Cowing (WR, SF)
240. Derek Carr (QB, NO)
241. Miles Sanders (RB, CAR)
242. Ricky Pearsall (WR, SF)
243. Malachi Corley (WR, NYJ)
244. Zach Ertz (TE, WAS)
245. Treylon Burks (WR, TEN)
246. Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB, NYG)
247. Minnesota Vikings (DST, MIN)
248. Dustin Hopkins (K, CLE)
249. Eric Gray (RB, NYG)
250. Greg Zuerlein (K, NYJ)
251. Jason Myers (K, SEA)
252. Sam Darnold (QB, MIN)
253. Alexander Mattison (RB, LV)
254. Odell Beckham Jr. (WR, MIA)
255. Deneric Prince (RB, KC)
256. DJ Chark Jr. (WR, LAC)
257. Keaton Mitchell (RB, BAL)
258. Jonathan Mingo (WR, CAR)
259. A.T. Perry (WR, NO)
260. AJ Dillon (RB, GB)
261. Trey Palmer (WR, TB)
262. Devontez Walker (WR, BAL)
263. Alec Pierce (WR, IND)
264. Justice Hill (RB, BAL)
265. Cedric Tillman (WR, CLE)
266. Jamaal Williams (RB, NO)
267. Samaje Perine (RB, DEN)
268. Cincinnati Bengals (DST, CIN)
269. Jacksonville Jaguars (DST, JAC)
270. Daniel Carlson (K, LV)
271. Will Shipley (RB, PHI)
272. Deuce Vaughn (RB, DAL)
273. Justin Fields (QB, PIT)
274. Evan Hull (RB, IND)
275. Jordan Mason (RB, SF)
276. Michael Carter (RB, ARI)
277. Trey Sermon (RB, IND)
278. D’Ernest Johnson (RB, JAC)
279. Jeff Wilson Jr. (RB, MIA)
280. Gardner Minshew II (QB, LV)
281. Isaac Guerendo (RB, SF)
282. Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB, WAS)
283. Cordarrelle Patterson (RB, PIT)
284. Kyle Juszczyk (RB, SF)
285. Pierre Strong Jr. (RB, CLE)
286. Israel Abanikanda (RB, NYJ)
287. Jacoby Brissett (QB, NE)
288. Chase Edmonds (RB, TB)
289. Aidan O’Connell (QB, LV)
290. Emari Demercado (RB, ARI)
291. Isaiah Spiller (RB, LAC)
292. Jerick McKinnon (RB, FA)
293. Kareem Hunt (RB, FA)
294. Blake Grupe (K, NO)
295. Joe Flacco (QB, IND)
296. Sam Howell (QB, SEA)
297. Michael Penix Jr. (QB, ATL)
298. Denver Broncos (DST, DEN)
299. Isaiah Davis (RB, NYJ)
300. Jameis Winston (QB, CLE)
Photos courtesy of Icon Sportswire
Adapted by Kurt Wasemiller (@kurtwasemiller on Twitter / @kurt_player02 on Instagram)