Kickoff: Sunday, September 18 at 1:00 PM ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Betting Odds: BAL -3.5, 44.5 Total on Oddshark
Writer: Drew DeLuca (@DrewDeLaware on Twitter)
Tua Tagovailoa (Sit)
Only five teams gave up more passing yards than the Baltimore Ravens last week. However, they sat on an early lead, enabling Joe Flacco‘s Jets to rack up significant garbage time yardage. Nevertheless, the Ravens coughed up more passing yards than any other team in the league last year, so the matchup appears favorable enough to consider starting Tua Tagovailoa in larger leagues. However, it’s a near-certainty that fantasy managers in 10 or 12-team leagues have better options available.
Chase Edmonds (Start, Flex), Raheem Mostert (Sit), Myles Gaskin (Sit), Salvon Ahmed (Sit)
Chase Edmonds garnered exactly two-thirds of all running back touches in Week 1, leaving no doubt as to his role as the primary weapon out of the backfield. Edmonds’ 65 total yards were nothing special, but he was targeted four times, third-most on the team, and twice as often as any other running back. Edmonds’ biggest threat from a snap share perspective is Raheem Mostert, who operates best as a change-of-pace back. Gaskin and Ahmed could factor into the mix in the coming weeks, but neither poses much of a threat to Edmonds.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Tyreek Hill (Start, WR1), Jaylen Waddle (Start, WR2), Cedric Wilson (Sit), Trent Sherfield (Sit), Mike Gesicki (Sit)
The Dolphins have one of the most concentrated target share distributions of any team in the league. Tyreek Hill boasted a TPPR (targets per route run) metric of 39% last week, the third-highest mark in the league. This put to bed lingering concerns we had of him being outshined by the incumbent WR1, Jaylen Waddle, who set an NFL record for most receptions by a rookie wide receiver last season (104). Waddle was targeted only five times last week, but caught four of them for 69 yards and a touchdown, adding an eight-yard run for good measure.
Lamar Jackson (Start), Tyler Hundley (Sit)
Lamar Jackson‘s rather low passing yard total (213) wasn’t a surprise, but 17 measly rushing yards? Now that was a stunner. Jackson saved the day for his fantasy managers by throwing three touchdown passes, resulting in a finish of QB8 once Week 1 was said and done. We expect the law of averages to take root from here on out: more rushing production and fewer passing touchdowns should yield plenty of Top 12 finishes, and this week is no exception. Lamar remains a Top 5 option with overall QB1 upside; as such, he should be entrenched in lineups in all leagues.
J.K. D0bbins (Sit), Kenyan Drake (Sit), Mike Davis (Sit), Justice Hill (Sit)
Our approach to J.K. Dobbins remains the same as last week: Even in a best-case scenario in which he suits up, it would be foolish to expect the Ravens to feed the former Ohio State Buckeye a sizeable diet of carries in his first game back. Kenyan Drake has already leapfrogged Mike Davis in the backfield pecking order, so we can see him taking on a larger-than-expected workload this weekend. However, we don’t foresee enough volume to generate fantasy relevance. Oh, and Justice Hill. We almost forgot about him, just like the Ravens did last week. Hill is an afterthought for now, but he’s worth monitoring in larger leagues.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Rashod Bateman (Start, WR3), Devin Duvernay (Sit), James Proche (Sit), Demarcus Robinson (Sit), Tylan Wallace (Sit), Mark Andrews (Start), Isaiah Likely (Sit), Nick Boyle (Sit), Josh Oliver (Sit)
Rashod Bateman should see a lot of Xavien Howard, and his target volume last week (5) was lower than we thought. Granted, he did lead all wide receivers in that category, but his fantasy managers were left wanting more. While he led all Ravens wide receivers with a 66% snap share last week, that number was likewise surprisingly low. We still like him as a starting option this week, in large part due to the emergence of Devin Duvernay on the other side. Duvernay hauled in a pair of touchdowns last week and should command more defensive attention going forward, a situation that benefits Bateman. Demarcus Robinson drew as many targets as Duvernay (4), but we can’t get excited about his prospects going forward. Rinse, repeat for James Proche and Tylan Wallace, who played a total of 11 snaps and drew only one target. We don’t see a seismic shift in usage for any of these three receivers.
Mark Andrews remains a no-brainer Top 3 tight end, and should be starting in every league. The only Ravens who drew more targets than Isaiah Likely last week were Andrews and Bateman. However, it doesn’t look like he’s going to see consistent volume, even in an offense that ran more offensive plays than any other last season. Nick Boyle and Josh Oliver remain non-factors.