Kickoff: Sunday, October 4th at 1:00 PM ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Betting Odds: SEA -6.5, 54.5 total via Oddsshark
Russell Wilson (Start, QB1)
The Dolphins were the second-worst team in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks last year and are currently in the bottom four so far this year. Starting Russell Wilson (fantasy’s current overall QB1 on the season) will likely be the easiest decision you make all week. Start Russ with confidence in what should be a pretty high-scoring game.
Chris Carson (Start if active, RB1), Carlos Hyde (Start if Carson inactive, RB2)
The Seahawks had quite the scare last week when a dirty hit rolled up Chris Carson’s leg in the fourth quarter. MRI tests revealed Carson thankfully only has a minor knee sprain and could even suit up this week against the Packers. Keep an eye on Carson’s practice news this week. Assuming he’s good to go, Carson should be capable of RB1 numbers against a Dolphins defense that allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs last year (and isn’t doing much better in 2020).
If Carson were to sit this week, Carlos Hyde would likely get enough volume to warrant plug-and-play consideration, especially considering the juicy match-up. He only has value this week if Carson is inactive, though.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Tyler Lockett (Start, WR1), D.K. Metcalf (Start, Low-end WR1), Greg Olsen (Sit, TE2), Will Dissly (Sit)
Tyler Lockett had an overall WR1 performance last week and should continue to be Russell Wilson’s trusted target this year. Miami was bottom-six in passing yards allowed in 2019 and is currently bottom-eight in 2020. Lockett is an easy start this week.
With four catches and 19 fantasy points every single week of the 2020 season, DK Metcalf is looking like the picture of consistency. Metcalf would have had a better fantasy performance last week if he didn’t give up just before the goal line on a deep bomb. DK slowed down just enough for the defender to punch the ball out of his hands and through the end zone. Metcalf should be capable of low-end WR1 numbers in a high-scoring game against a bad secondary.
I’m not very high on Greg Olsen this year, but it’s undeniable the guy has been putting up respectable numbers for the most part. Olsen has two TE1 performances over the first three weeks with a goose egg between them. Olsen is still a bit too volatile to be trusted in fantasy lineups, especially against a Dolphins defense that’s been pretty stingy against opposing tight ends since last year. Not to mention, Will Dissly is still in the mix, taking away a couple of potential targets from Olsen each week.
Ryan Fitzpatrick (Startable high-end QB2)
Ryan Fitzpatrick began the season with a disappointing game against the Pats but has looked pretty darn good ever since Week 1 with impressive QB1 fantasy performances against the Bills and Jaguars. The Seahawks were pretty mediocre against opposing fantasy quarterbacks last year and are currently allowing the second-most points to QB’s in 2020. I like Fitzpatrick this week considering the high score projection and the fact that Seattle is allowing plenty of points to quarterbacks lately.
Myles Gaskin (Flex with low-end RB2 upside), Jordan Howard (Sit)
The Seahawks were pretty bad against opposing fantasy running backs last year but are currently top-five in the league heading into Week 4. Gaskin has put up 14 fantasy points each of the past two weeks, but I’m not expecting any more than that from him this week. Myles had dependable numbers against an inferior rush defense last week, but going up against the Seahawks will be a different story. Expecting another 22 carries for Gaskin is probably unrealistic, but he should continue to be a factor in Miami’s passing attack. Gaskin has low-end RB2 upside and warrants flex consideration in PPR leagues.
It seems Jordan Howard has continued his “touchdown vulture” ways even though he’s on a new team. With a short-yardage touchdown each week of the 2020 season, it’s clear the Dolphins will continue trusting Howard in goal-line situations. There is not much you can do as a fantasy owner besides hoping for the best, though. Howard isn’t putting up enough fantasy points to warrant start consideration.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
DeVante Parker (Start, High-end WR3 with upside), Preston Williams (Sit), Mike Gesicki (Start, Low-end TE1)
Seattle is allowing the most points to fantasy receivers so far this year and this game is projected to be pretty high-scoring. After nursing a hamstring all week, DeVante Parker eventually suited up last Thursday and hauled in all five of his targets. The Dolphins will probably need to throw the ball more this week, and given the matchup, Parker should be a lock for WR3 production this week with plenty WR2 upside.
Preston Williams was getting a good amount of targets over the first two weeks, but only saw two targets in Week 3. Williams could see his production increase over the season, but for now, he should probably be riding the bench on your fantasy team.
Mike Gesicki only had one reception last week, but he at least made it count for a short touchdown catch. I believe he had had another target in the end zone, but it wasn’t meant to be. The encouraging news is that Gesicki has seven touchdown catches over the past nine games and continues to receive the vast majority of the target share in Miami (26.8% over the first three weeks). The Seahawks have been stingy against opposing tight ends this year but were in the bottom three last year. Gesicki should be capable of low-end TE1 production based on opportunity alone.
-Ryan Kruse (@ryanpkruse on Twitter)