Kickoff: Sunday, November 8th at 1:00 PM ET
Location: Bills Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Betting Odds: SEA -2.5, 55 Total via Oddsshark
Russell Wilson (Start)
Russell Wilson is the leader for the MVP this year and is a set-and-forget QB1. There really isn’t any more analysis needed. He leads the NFL with a whopping 7.4 CPOE (per NextGenStats) and has multiple touchdowns in every game so far. The Bills defense has underperformed so far this year and sits at 22nd in pass defense by DVOA (per Football Outsiders). Keep riding with Wilson.
DeeJay Dallas (Start, RB2), Carlos Hyde (Injury), Chris Carson (Injury)
Starting any of these RBs comes down to health. Any of them would be in a great spot to start due to the explosive offense they are in and the Bills 24th ranked run defense (per Football Outsiders). But as of right now we do not have any updates on Chris Carson or Carlos Hyde, who were both supposedly close to playing last week. DeeJay Dallas then saw a 79% snap share, 18 of 20 rushing attempts, and five targets. Similar usage would put him firmly in the RB2 range this week. Just make sure to keep an eye on the injury report.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
D.K. Metcalf (Start, WR1), Tyler Lockett (Start, WR1)
If this isn’t the best WR duo in the NFL, I am not sure who is. D.K. Metcalf has blossomed into what his strongest supporters saw during his pre-draft process and I am positive every other team is upset they passed on him (most twice) in last year’s draft. Metcalf is sixth in WOPR, second in air yards (both per airyards.com), and 10th in routes run in the NFL (per PFF). He is a runaway freight train when he gets moving in space. Tyler Lockett is 14th in WOPR, 17th in air yards, and 9th in routes run. Not too shabby himself playing alongside a freak. Both of these two are automatic starts every week.
Josh Allen (Start)
Josh Allen opened the season on a tear. It looked like Allen finally turned a corner passing the ball. But in the past few weeks, the old Allen has started to creep back up. Some of last week’s performance can be blamed on the weather conditions, but now Allen is sitting at a 1.3 CPOE (now the middle of the pack per NextGenStats) and he has failed to throw a touchdown in the past two weeks. The good news is that the Seahawks are coming to Buffalo with their 30th ranked pass defense (per Football Outsiders) which should get Allen back on track. Start him with confidence this week.
Devin Singletary (Start, Flex), Zack Moss (Start, Flex)
The Buffalo backfield is now starting to look like an even split. Zack Moss barely out-snapped Devin Singletary last week 31 to 28, but the rushing attempts (14) and targets (1) were dead even. Moss did see three goal-line carries, to Singletary’s zero. Both backs are flex options, but their ceilings are limited as long as both are playing. Seattle’s run defense has also been pretty strong (sixth per Football Outsiders), so both backs may be relying on the passing game for fantasy points this week. Last week Singletary ran eight routes and Moss ran nine.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Stefon Diggs (Start, WR1), Cole Beasley (Start, Flex), John Brown (Start, Flex), Gabriel Davis (Start, Deep Flex)
Stefon Diggs has been having the best season of his career in Buffalo. He is fourth in air yards, fifth in WOPR (both per airyards.com), and seventh in routes run (per PFF). The Seahawks pass defense is ranked 30th (per Football Outsiders), so we are obviously starting Diggs in this smash spot. This is a spot we want to use receivers, high betting total, and terrible pass defense. So, Cole Beasley, John Brown, and even Gabriel Davis are in play. Beasley has been operating as the number two receiver for a few weeks now. He is second on the team in targets, WOPR, air yards, and routes run. Brown was supposed to be the number two but injuries have held him back a bit. It is concerning to see Davis play almost as many snaps as Brown last week though. Brown can be a flex option in this matchup and the future as he gets healthier. Davis is also a deeper flex option and DFS tournament play if you need some real ceiling this week and want to chase the points.
-Frank Costanzo (@FrankQBList on Twitter, Zzzonked92 on Reddit)