Streaming Defenses: Week 4

Mike Miklius (@SIRL0INofBEEF) takes a look at the top defenses to stream in week 4.

(Photo by Jeff Halstead/Zuma Press/Icon Sportswire)

 

We did it! It took three weeks, but we nailed the top defense and they were a streamer. If you started the Colts, you likely had a fun time watching your fantasy team. They started the game with a pick-six off Sam Darnold and they just kept rolling: save for that one Jets touchdown. I guess we can give them one. Our other picks did well too. Tampa Bay, marked as under-owned last week, was second overall. The Titans–our other under-owned team–tied for tenth. The only miss was the Chargers at 4 points scored. Heck, even three of our deeper picks hit the top-10. Here was the whole top-12 list from week 3.

 

Rank Team Fant. Pts. % Owned Sacks Interceptions Fumbles
1 Indianapolis Colts 26 92% 2 3 0
2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18 79% 6 2 0
3 New England Patriots 15 87% 2 0 3
4 Cleveland Browns 14 37% 3 3 2
5 Miami Dolphins 12 1% 4 1 1
6 San Francisco 49ers 12 98% 2 1 2
7 Seattle Seahawks 11 30% 2 2 1
8 Carolina Panthers 11 1% 2 1 3
9 Philadelphia Eagles 8 44% 8 0 0
10 Cincinnati Bengals 7 2% 3 2 0
11 Detroit Lions 7 2% 1 3 0
12 Tennessee Titans 7 48% 2 2 1

 

It’s interesting to see just how much ownership percentages skyrocketed between our last streaming article and the results. Last Tuesday, Indianapolis was 43% owned and 92% owned by game day. Tampa Bay was only 50% owned and now is likely gone at 79% owned. It would seem everyone is catching on to the good teams. We will just have to get better. Here are some other interesting notes from the week:

 

  • Sam Darnold and the Jets give up a league-leading 13 fantasy points per week to opposing defenses. It’s a beautiful mix of no scoring (the Jets score about 12 per game), sacks (2 per game), and turnovers (almost 2 per game). This team will be a great target as long as Adam Gase is the coach.
  • Daniel Jones and the Giants give up close to 11 fantasy points per week to opposing defenses. Jones has personally committed 2 turnovers per game and he has been sacked 3 times per game. While the Jets are the worst offense, Jones is my favorite QB to pick on.
  • Denver and {insert quarterback here} give up close to 12 fantasy points per game. I have no faith in their offense to score points, and they should continue to be an excellent matchup. Did I mention they gave up 13 sacks in the last two weeks combined?
  • The Cincinnati Bengals, while not a complete disaster, have given up almost 5 sacks per game. This provides a safe weekly floor if that’s what you need.
  • Dwayne Haskins is still looking bad, but he only threw his first interception in week 3. To be fair, he threw three of them. Watch Washington as I think they could become a great target for our defenses.
  • And finally, I was wrong about Josh Allen. Allen has been spectacular, and the Buffalo offense is clearly NOT one we can target in 2020.

 

Looking at the standings, our two QB streamers so far combined for 40 points. We are killing it! What’s more, we have plenty of mistake-prone offenses to go after this year. I’m personally watching Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold, the Broncos, Kirk Cousins, the Bengals, Dwayne Haskins, Teddy Bridgewater, and Justin Herbert. That’s a quarter of the league. So who do we like in week 4?

 

Under-owned Teams 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (79%, @ LA Chargers)

 

I love this matchup as a sneaky-good play. The Chargers are now 1-2 with their sole win coming against the winless Bengals. Justin Herbert didn’t look great against Carolina last week, and I love what Tampa Bay has shown on defense. I don’t know how Tampa Bay is still only 79% owned. They have shown well in three straight weeks (real-life performance) and they look legit. If they are still out there, they should be priority number one! If you used Tampa Bay last week, hold on to them and ride them until they cool off. No reason to overthink things.

 

Los Angeles Rams (57%, vs NY Giants)

 

The Rams defense hasn’t exactly been great. They don’t really need to be against a struggling Giants team travelling across the country, playing in a late-game instead of their usually-early fare. With Saquon Barkley out, nothing about the Giants excites me. If LA can out up some early points, and they average almost 30 per game, then this could be a laugher. Grab the Rams if they are available. They rank above every sleeper for me this week.

 

Week 4 Streamers

 

Denver Broncos (37%) @ New York Jets (6%)

 

Probably don’t watch this game. The 0-3 Broncos taking on the 0-3 Jets is not exactly the stuff of headlines. Still, it is an amazing opportunity to pick a streamer–assuming you can guess who is more pathetic. The Broncos are still likely without Drew Lock and they are talking about ‘splitting the snaps.’ That’s not a good thing. Meanwhile, the Jets still employ Adam Gase–one of the worst coaches I have ever seen–and they still have no weapons outside of someone named Braxton Berrios. I could see either team giving up multiple defensive scores, and this one is probably a matter of who blinks first. No one beats Adam Gase in a blinking contest! Grab the Broncos and hope that the Jets, once again, act like the Jets.

 

Seattle Seahawks (31%, @ Miami Dolphins), Stream of the Week

 

Ryan Fitzpatrick is like a poor-mans Jameis Winston. At times, he has everyone cheering when his deep shots happen to connect, and he gets a team to 2-0 on a wing and a prayer. This is the Fitz-magic. At other times, though, we see the bad. Fitzpatrick has 9 games with 3+ turnovers since the start of last year. That’s 9 out of his 16 starts. That’s the Fitz-tragic. So what should we expect Sunday? I expect the Seahawks to score fast and furiously. I expect Miami to be forced to throw, and for the Seattle defense to feast against a one-dimensional Dolphins attack. For that reason, Seattle is my stream of the week.

 

Dallas Cowboys (22%, vs Cleveland Browns)

 

Dallas looks like a good team, despite their 1-2 record. Cleveland looks like a mediocre or bad team, despite their 2-1 record. Dallas is desperate for a win, and they are coming off a performance where they sacked Russell Wilson 4 times. Cleveland is coming off wins over Cincinnati and Washington–two bad teams. I think Dallas comes out swinging in this one after a close loss to Seattle, and I would not want to be Baker Mayfield if the Browns fall behind by a couple of scores. Grab Dallas if no one else was available, and enjoy the irony of those Baker Mayfield commercials as you watch him get smashed into the ground. If Cleveland’s running game wasn’t looking so good, this would have been my stream of the week.

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