Game Info
Kickoff: Sunday, September 25th, 1:00 PM ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium Miami Gardens, Florida.
Betting Odds: Miami +5.5, 54 total via PFF.com
Network: CBS
Writer: Chuck Steele (@ChuckSteele_T2T on Twitter)
Buffalo Bills
Quarterback
Josh Allen (Start QB1)
This season Josh Allen has set fire to fantasy lineups, averaging 31.58 points per game, good enough for second in QB Rankings. Putting up over 300 yards and four touchdowns, this past Monday night, Allen left a whopping 29.7 points for fantasy owners. That’s not the crazy part, Allen is known for his big games week in and week out. What’s wild for Josh Allen is that he didn’t even play the full game, in a contest that was over by the 3rd quarter. This week should bare no difference, as Josh Allen has been red hot this year, and in the past versus Miami. The Dolphins’ defense ranks 29th vs QBs in fantasy match-ups, and they get their toughest quarterback to play against yet in Allen and Bills. You can expect Allen to play a full game, as Miami has some firepower of their own. With the ability to get points through the air and on the ground, Allen is a must-start QB1 in all formats, against all teams.
Running Backs
Devin Singletary (Start, flex), Zack Moss (Sit) James Cook (Sit)
Devin Singletary is coming into week 3 averaging 33.5 yards per game, on just 14 attempts on the season. With Buffalo deciding to air it out and giving work to rookie James Cook with the last game well wrapped up its been a tough showing for fantasy managers who were hoping for the same results we had towards the end of last season when he scored five rushing touchdowns in the last four games. The 4.8 yards per carrying is encouraging though. Every time he has touched the ball this season, he has shown that he does have the ability to handle the Bills’ RB1 duties. He comes into this week as an RB2/FLEX against the Miami Dolphins who are 17th in the league against the run, allowing 116.5 yards per game. With this game looking to be a high-scoring affair, the Bills might have to rely on others to make some plays. It’ll be a good time for his first score of the year, however, it’ll be Josh Allen’s arm leading the way for the Buffalo Bills. Zack Moss and James Cook are both Sits this week, with both seeing little to no action the season. Both are droppable in all leagues if even on a roster.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Stefon Diggs (Start, WR1), Gabe Davis (Start, Flex/WR2), Isaiah McKenzie (Sit, Flex), Jamison Crowder (Sit), Dawson Knox (Start, TE2/TE1)
Stefon Diggs signed a new contract with the Bills for four years, worth 96 million dollars, and he’s been worth every penny. Diggs comes into week three as fantasy football’s WR1 and should be treated as so. After a week one performance of 122 yards and a touchdown, Diggs decided to outdo himself, exploding for 148 yards and 3 touchdowns on 12 receptions of his 15 targets. Diggs should have no issue finding success against a Miami team that ranks near the bottom in passing yards allowed, giving up 255.5 per game, good for 23rd in the league. Scoring on Miami twice last year, in what’s set to be an exciting game with plenty of talented wideouts, a Diggs score seems like a sure thing. Fire Diggs up as a WR1 on the week.
Gabe Davis is still working back from an ankle issue. He was a walk-through participant in practice this Wednesday, but his status for Sunday is questionable. If Davis is to play, you should feel safe starting him in the Flex, with an upside of a WR2. Davis started the season off with a bang, scoring the first touchdown of the season for the Bills. That’s where he will find his value this season, with his scores. Davis last year only had one game where he went over 100 yards receiving. That’s the only game, outside the other 5 where he scored a touchdown, that he has got over 10 fantasy points in a matchup. The Bills should be set for a high-tempo, fast-paced game, giving Davis a good shot at finding the end zone in Week 3. Isaiah McKenzie comes into this week as a Sit/Flex. If you’re in need of a flex play this week you can dart throw with McKenzie in pure hopes that he can find the endzone like how he did in Week 1. Jake Kumerow can be a flex play only if Gabe Davis misses another week, other than that you can drop him if you have him rostered.
Tight end Dawson Knox can be viewed as a TE2 with TE1 upside. Knox saw more action in Week 2 than he did in Week 1 and hopes to continue that trend this week, as do his fantasy managers. After getting 41 yards on four receptions, Knox plays a Miami team that ranks 31st in fantasy points to tight ends. Knox should be safe for a TE2, with a touchdown on any giving drive giving him that bump to TE1 range.
Miami Dolphins
Quarterbacks
Tua Tagovailoa (Start, QB1/QB2)
Last year Tua Tagovailoa only had four games of 20 points or more. Add Tyreek Hill to pair with the second-year wideout Jaylen Waddle, and we already saw the ceiling of what’s to come with the new-look Dolphins offense. Last week Tua brought the Dolphins back, tossing four touchdown passes in the fourth quarter to overcome a 21-point deficit. Supporting two WR1 last week, can Tua find repeat success against a Bills team that has clamped down the Rams and beat down the Titans? Or will he have or more modest game like against the Patriots? You’ll more than likely get a wide range of outcomes between the two. Buffalo is the number two defense in passing yards allowed, but they face their toughest task yet. Tua will have to keep up with the Bills in what should be a high-scoring division game. With the WR3 in Tyreek Hill, who is accompanied by the WR5 and the NFL’s rookie record reception leader Jaylen Waddle, Tua and accompany are ready for a showdown in Miami, and Tua’s ball security will determine if he’s your QB1 or QB2. Will it be Tua Touchdowns, or Picks from Tua?
Running Backs
Chase Edmonds (Start, Flex), Raheem Mostert (Start, Flex)
The backfield for Miami Dolphins is currently a bit confusing to figure out. One thing that is for sure, anyone outside of Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert can be dropped and forgotten about. Now comes the question, who to start? Maybe a better question is who will start? Week one Chase Edmonds saw the start, but only piled up 25 yards rushing but contributed in the passing game with 40 yards. Raheem Mostert came off the bench for only 16 yards rushing and 16 yards receiving. Queue week two, they flipped it and reversed it, it was Mostert who worked it. Raheem Mostert started off week two as the primary back, taking the first four carries for Miami. Mostert found flex success in the comeback victory against the Ravens, finishing the night with 10.9 points. It’s a toss-up on who will handle the bulk at running back, but both backs should only be considered Flex options this week.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Tyreek Hill (Start, WR1), Jaylen Waddle (Start, WR1), Cedrick Wilson (Sit), Mike Gesicki (Start, TE2)
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have each proven their statuses as every-week starters. Together, the two have accounted for 77% of Miami’s air yards and 60.5% of the team’s targets. The Bills have allowed the 7th-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers so far this year, but you should feel happy to bet on the talent and opportunity these receivers possess.
The concentrated nature of Miami’s offense has rendered Cedrick Wilson and Mike Gesicki difficult to trust. Gesicki managed to finish third on the team in targets in Week 2, and ran 32 routes to fellow tight end Durham Smythe’s 17, but his efforts only rewarded him with four targets. Gesicki is in play as a desperation start due to the shallowness of the tight end position, but it’s worth taking a look at your waiver wire if he’s the best option on your roster.