Kickoff: Sunday, December 6th at 4:25 PM ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Betting Odds: PHI +7, 48.5 total via Oddsshark
Carson Wentz (Sit, Low-end QB2)
Carson Wentz has been a significant disappointment for fantasy managers this year. His 18 fantasy points last week only came from some garbage-time production. Wentz is averaging 12.6 fantasy points per game over his past four. The Packers are much better against fantasy quarterbacks (eighth-fewest points allowed) than the Seahawks, so there’s no way I’m trusting Wentz and this struggling Eagles offense this week.
Miles Sanders (Start, RB2), Boston Scott (Sit)
Fantasy managers will likely need to take the good with the bad when it comes to Miles Sanders this week. The “bad” is that Sanders is underutilized on a struggling offense. Sanders only saw six rush attempts last week and mostly split backfield duties with Boston Scott (50% and 43.7% snap share, respectively). The “good” is this week’s match-up. The Packers have been awful against running backs, allowing the third-most fantasy points to the position this year. Still, this match-up could be a bit of a double-edged sword. The Packers could pull ahead quickly, which could lead to fewer rushing attempts out of the Eagles’ backfield.
This situation will likely be a nagging headache for fantasy managers this week because they will probably need to go with their gut. When it comes down to how Doug Peterson chooses to split his backfield, your guess is likely as good as mine. Assuming he gets more work than last week (which is no guarantee), I believe the match-up is enough to put Sanders in low-end RB1 territory. If Scott’s snap share continues to rise (as it has over the past three weeks), Sanders’ projection will take a pretty big hit down to low-end RB2/Flex territory.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Jalen Reagor (Sit), Travis Fulgham (Sit), Greg Ward (Sit), Alshon Jeffery (Sit), Dallas Goedert (Start, TE1), Richard Rodgers (Start-able TE2 if Ertz inactive), Zach Ertz (Start-able TE2 if active)
Jalen Reagor still isn’t quite start-able yet. Reagor saw the second-most targets among Eagles’ receivers last week but only logged 11 yards. We probably won’t see Reagor break out at any point this season unless the Eagles start figuring out what is wrong on offense.
Travis Fulgham went from red-hot to ice-cold rather quickly this year. He hasn’t scored more than 3.6 fantasy points since Week 8, and the entire Eagles offense struggling isn’t helping either. Fulgham should ride fantasy benches until he can start producing again.
Greg Ward and Alshon Jeffery are both not doing enough to warrant any fantasy consideration lately. They are likely both drop-able in standard-sized fantasy leagues. Jeffery used to be a solid option, but I’ll need to see some encouraging production in the 2020 season first.
There were some positive reports on Zach Ertz’s injury early last week, but he ended up not playing once again. Luckily, Ertz was activated this week, so he seems to have a good shot at playing. If Ertz is healthy and takes Rodgers’ role this week, he should be a start-able high-end TE2 since the Eagles’ tight ends seem to be the only viable receivers on this team.
Both Dallas Goedert and Richard Rodgers have scored a touchdown in each of their last two games. Goedert has averaged 19.6 fantasy points over the past two while Rodgers has averaged 13.5 over the same span. Both of these guys have been in the TE1 club for the past two weeks straight. Goedert should be a safe bet for TE1 production again this week, even against the Packers, a team allowing the third-fewest points to tight ends this year. Rodgers should be start-able against his old team if Ertz is inactive once again, but I believe TE2 is a bit more realistic this week.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers (Start, QB1)
Aaron Rodgers is the current QB4 and has thrown more touchdowns than any other quarterback so far this year. Allowing the twelfth-fewest points to fantasy QB’s, the Eagles have been fairly capable against opposing quarterbacks. Although Philly has done well against most quarterbacks this year, Aaron Rodgers is doing better. There have been only two games this year where Rodgers failed to score less than 21 fantasy points. Start him with confidence.
Aaron Jones (Start, High-end RB2), Jamaal Williams (Flex consideration in deeper leagues)
Compared to the first month of the season, Aaron Jones‘ fantasy production has slowed considerably over the past four weeks. He only has one touchdown over the last four games and is averaging 13.6 fantasy points per game over that same span. The Eagles are allowing the seventh-fewest fantasy points to running backs this year, but the tenth-most ground yards per game. Jones could return to the RB1 tier, but I believe another RB2 performance is more likely this week.
Last week was the first week this year that Jamaal Williams outscored Aaron Jones. The touchdown certainly helped Williams with that achievement, but it’s undeniable that Jamaal is still a big part of the Green Bay offense. He will likely stay projected around the Flex tier for the rest of the season, but Williams’ production will be tough to predict from week to week.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Davante Adams (Start, WR1), Allen Lazard (Sit), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Sit), Robert Tonyan (Start, TE1)
Davante Adams is the overall WR2 with only nine games played. The next closest wide receiver with only nine games played is A.J. Brown at WR18. Adams has been nothing short of amazing, scoring at least one touchdown in each of his past six games. The Eagles’ secondary has been middling in points allowed to receivers, but Adams is still an elite option and should stay that way for another week. Start with confidence.
Allen Lazard did well last week considering he was still on a pitch count. He had a 46.5 snap percentage last week but still caught four targets and a touchdown. Philadelphia has been pretty good against wide receivers this year, allowing the eighth-fewest passing yards per game in the league. The match-up and pitch count has me shying away from Lazard this week, though he will likely become a better fantasy option if and when he gets back to full strength.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling injured his Achilles in practice last week but was still active last week. His injury must have held him back because Valdes-Scantling finished Week 12 with a disappointing goose egg. With zero points and Lazard back in the mix, MVS should be on fantasy benches for the time being.
There are other tight ends on this team taking a bit of work here and there, but Robert Tonyan is clearly the go-to pass-catching tight end in Green Bay, especially after his back-to-back TE1 performances and touchdowns. The Eagles are allowing the eleventh-most fantasy points to tight ends, so Tonyan has a good shot at TE1 production once again.
-Ryan Kruse (@ryanpkruse)