Kickoff: Sunday, December 12th at 1:00 PM ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, Newark, New Jersey
Betting Odds: NYJ +5, 43 total via Oddsshark
New York Jets
Zach Wilson (Sit)
If you couldn’t tell by looking at him Zach Wilson is a rookie and has played like a rookie this season. He hasn’t been done any favors by having injuries and overall a not great team around him. I don’t expect him to magically be anything different than what he has been all season this week. He faces a middle-of-the-road pass defense who will be looking to pick off the ball when Wilson does throw it. It doesn’t project to be a high-scoring game so the Jets will be running the ball more than passing trying to protect their franchise quarterback. Even on his best day this season which came in week 13, he had 22 fantasy points. Some of that was helped by rushing in a touchdown. I think there are much better options this week. You cant rely on Wilson to get you a win as you hopefully head toward the fantasy playoffs.
Tevin Coleman (Sit), Ty Johnson (Sit, Flex), Austin Walter (Sit)
Tevin Coleman is in concussion protocol so that is something you will want to monitor if you own him or Ty Johnson. I’m going to assume that Coleman is out. If he were to play I would have him as a startable flex play. He played on 39% of the team’s Week 13 snaps and got 11 carries that he turned into 58 yards. He also got 4 targets catching 3 of them for 19 yards. Conversely, Ty Johnson played on 47% of the team snaps and turned that into 1 carry for 1 yard and 4 targets for 2 receptions for 14 yards. Someone for the Jets is going to have to get yards somewhere. I just don’t want to risk playing anyone at this point. We’ve seen relatively unknown Austin Walter get carries in week 12. There just isn’t much fantasy value on the team right now especially if Coleman is out.
Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends
Corey Davis (OUT), Jamison Crowder (Sit, flex), Elijah Moore (Start, WR3), Denzel Mims (Sit), Ryan Griffen (Sit)
With not being excited about anyone in the running game for the Jets you can be mildly excited for rookie Elijah Moore. He has played on over 80% of the team’s snaps over the past 2 weeks and has scored in 4 out of the last 5 games. He has seen plenty of targets so the volume is there for him. I expect a down week for him in a lower scoring game but still worth a start. Jamison Crowder gets a bump with Corey Davis being out with an injury. He saw 6 targets in week 13 which put him second on the team behind Moore. He does lead the team on the year with 11 red-zone targets even with missing the first 3 weeks. He could very easily get a touchdown this week but it’s not something you can count on. I’m avoiding him for better options on teams with better quarterbacks and better matchups. Denzel Mims returned from an injury in week 13 but much like the rest of his career, it didn’t impress anyone. Tight end Ryan Griffen played on 54% of the team’s snaps in week 13 and hauled in a touchdown but that is only his 2nd of the year.
New Orleans Saints
Taysom Hill (Sit, High-end QB2)
Taysom Hill seems to be doing things in reverse. First, he signs a contract that would be big money if he plays quarterback despite the fact he hadn’t gotten the start yet this season. Then he gets the start in week 13 and now is banged up. He does look to start again in week 14 against the Jets even with his injured finger. Outside of the 4 interceptions, Hill had a decent passing game with 2 touchdowns and 264 yards. He gets the benefit of having Alvin Kamara back in the running game and facing CBS’s 17th ranked pass defense. If Hill falters the Saints could go back to Trevor Siemian who started for them weeks 9-12. Hill had a good fantasy week in week 13 due to his rushing ability and stats. He put up 11 rushes for 101 yards. That would be a good day for a running back let alone a quarterback. I don’t expect him to rush as much especially with Kamara back. He is just outside my startable quarterbacks this week so I wouldn’t fault anyone for starting him with his rushing upside. Ian Book continues to be a weekly inactive but that could change if the Saints realize that this year is down the drain.
Alvin Kamara (Start, RB1), Mark Ingram (Out) Ty Montgomery (Sit, Flex)
It looks like the fantasy managers who drafted Alvin Kamara early in drafts and have been holding him through his injury will get a boost right before the fantasy playoffs start. Kamara looks to be playing after missing 4 weeks with a knee injury. On a team with very little talent, Kamara should be the focal point of the offense. What also bodes well for Kamara owners is that Mark Ingram was placed on the Covid list on Wednesday and will miss the Week 14 contest against the Jets. CBS has the J-E-T-S ranked dead L-A-S-T in giving up points to the running back position. All signs point to Kamara having a great day. After Kamara, we could see wide receiver Ty Montgomery worked into the run game. Montgomery doesn’t hold a ton of stand-alone value and will only be useful while Ingram is out which looks to only be one week. There is a chance that Kamara aggravates his knee injury and Montgomery sees more work than expected this week but I wouldn’t be chasing that next week.
Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends
Marquez Callaway (Sit) Tre’Quan Smith (Sit) Lil’Jordan Humphrey (Sit, flex) Deonte Harris (Suspended) Nick Vannett (Sit)
I don’t even know what to write about this wide receiver group. After last week I was excited for what Deonte Harris could be in a Taysom Hill-led offense but he lost his appeal and is now serving a 3 game suspension. Marquez Callaway and Tre’Quan Smith are the top 2 wide receivers yet only played on 69 and 67 percent of the team’s snaps in week 13. They are both tied for 3rd on the team with 7 red-zone targets which are behind Kamara who has missed 3 weeks. The Jets have a middle-of-the-road passing defense and Hill has a mallet finger which could hinder his throwing. Lil’Jordan Humphrey despite having one of the best names in the NFL hasn’t passed 50% of the team’s snaps in the past 2 weeks. He has scored in 2 of the last 3 games but those are something you can count on. I would have started tight end Adam Trautman if he wasn’t on IR and I’m not excited about hybrid player Juwan Johnson or normal tight end Nick Vannett. All signs point to a low-scoring, low-passing day in general so you are trying to guess which player will score a touchdown and that’s not a game I want to play. I think Humphrey has the best chance at disappointing you the least.
-Dustin Ludke (Dunit13dl on Reddit)