Tier 7: The “Oops!… I Did It Again” Tier
You lose all your senses and can’t stop drafting these guys.
101. Michael Wilson WR, ARI (WR43, ▼1)
Michael Wilson came out of nowhere to win the waiver wire league title. From weeks 10-17, Wilson was the second-most-targeted receiver in the league and ranked as the WR4 overall. Much of that production came without Marvin Harrison Jr. on the field and with Jacoby Brissett force-feeding him and Trey McBride. I fear Wilson will be over drafted in 2026 and won’t match the numbers he put up with Brissett if/when someone else takes over at quarterback for the Cards. He’s a fine WR3, but don’t overpay.
102. Tucker Kraft, TE, GB (TE8, no change)
Tucker Kraft was enjoying a career year before being blindsided by a torn ACL, totaling nearly 500 receiving yards and six touchdowns in just eight games. Still just 25 years old, even if he’s unable to start the season, he should fully recover from the injury and pick up right where he left off. Kraft tied Brock Bowers and George Kittle for TE2 on a points-per-game basis.
103. Denzel Boston, WR, CLE (WR44, ▼1)
King Kong ain’t got nothing on Denzel Boston. The 6’4″ receiver can climb the ladder like he’s scaling a skyscraper and comes down with nearly any ball thrown his way. Boston is a red zone monster with a massive catch radius and hands that might as well be covered in stick-um, sporting a 77% contested catch rate. He struggles with the press and doesn’t separate well, but his elite contested catch skills help make up for those flaws. If he lands in an offense that plays to his strengths, preferably one in need of a red zone threat, Boston could be a boom-bust WR2 from day one. He’s been linked to the Steelers, and both sides have shown interest. Boston’s redraft value may vary by landing spot, but it likely settles in the late middle rounds. In dynasty, he’s a mid-first rounder.
UPDATE (5/20): Le sigh. I get why Cleveland took both Concepcion and Boston, but their upsides are nerfed because: 1. It’s the Browns, and 2. There are suddenly a lot of mouths to feed, and this will not be a high-flying offense.
104. KC Concepcion WR, CLE (WR45, no change)
I tend to have a man crush on a rookie wide receiver each season, and that guy in 2026 is shaping up to be KC Concepcion. He’s all the clichés for a short-area middle-of-the-field receiver in the best way possible. Concepcion’s explosive after-the-catch skills and ability to line up all over the field are what earned him the 2026 Paul Hornung Award, given to the most versatile player in college football (the first Aggie to ever do so). He’s struggled with focus at times, and his undersized stature and limited wingspan have led to contested-catch issues. He’s a tier below the Tysons and Tates, but in today’s NFL, if Concepcion can find himself in a West Coast offense, he can have a Cooper Kupp-type role. I would love to see him end up in Tennessee and become new OC Brian Daboll‘s Nashville Wan’Dale Robinson (edit: Wan’Dale Robinson will be Brian Daboll‘s Wan’Dale Robinson). Concepcion should start the season as a FLEX option at best, but someone I’ll be looking to pick up late in redraft leagues. He has WR2 potential. In dynasty, he’s a mid-to-late first-rounder.
UPDATE (5/20): Le sigh. It hurt to see him land in Cleveland. It hurt even more to see the Browns take Denzel Boston with their very next pick, capping the upside of both players. I think Concepcion still has a pretty clear path to fantasy viability, especially in full PPR leagues. His versatile skillset and slot role lend to becoming the most targeted receiver. Don’t reach for him, but don’t fade the man either.
105. Ricky Pearsall WR, SF (WR46, no change)
For a guy who’s been over 10 fantasy points in less than 50% of his career games, Ricky Pearsall sure gets a whole lot of hype. I mean, I get it. He’s shown flashes and profiles as a perfect receiver for the Shanahan system. But he can’t seem to stay on the field (to be fair, the start of last season was in no way, shape, or form his fault), and his knee continues to flare up and linger for multiple games. I think Pearsall has decent upside, but where you have to draft him is buying all the risk, and I’m ok with being wrong if he blows up.
106. Xavier Worthy WR, KC (WR47, no change)
It was a disappointing sophomore season for Xavier Worthy, who failed to have a single 100-yard receiving game and caught only one touchdown. The most disappointing aspect, however, was his inability to take advantage of the Rashee Rice suspension for any significant output. Worthy could find himself with yet another opportunity to do so, however, with Rice once again in legal trouble and his 2026 status uncertain.
UPDATE (4/5): The league announced on April 3rd that there would be no discipline for teammate Rashee Rice for offseason allegations, all but crushing any lingering hopes of a Worthy breakout.
107. Travis Hunter WR, JAC (WR48, no change)
Travis Hunter had some ridiculous highlight-reel catches, but that’s about it from a fantasy perspective outside of IDP. With the acquisition and extension of Jakobi Meyers, Hunter is likely to play more defense in 2026, making the chances of him becoming a fantasy force even slimmer. He’s likely someone I’m avoiding unless there’s a massive discount in 2026.
108. Michael Pittman Jr. WR, PIT (WR49, no change)
Michael Pittman Jr. bounced back nicely after a disappointing 2024, but still finished just WR30 on a points-per-game basis. He set a career high with seven touchdowns, but he likely winds up elsewhere as the Colts could shift their focus to keeping Alec Pierce, who leapfrogged Pittman as the team’s WR1. Pittman can be a serviceable WR2 if he lands in the right situation.
UPDATE (5/20): The right situation, he did not land in. Pittman in Pitt, man, is fun to say, but not fun for fantasy. He’ll play second fiddle to DK Metcalf, and it’s still unclear who his quarterback will be. Whether it winds up being Aaron Rodgers, Will Howard, or a current unknown, Pittman likely won’t be on many of my rosters this season.
109. Caleb Williams, QB, CHI (QB9, ▲1)
Caleb Williams had his struggles, but man, when he was on, he was unstoppable. He rarely turns the ball over, but his sub-60 completion percentage is among the worst in the NFL. You could see how he progressed throughout the season, showing that Ben Johnson is working his magic on him. Even through the struggles, Williams finished as QB7 in points per game. He should be among the first quarterbacks off the board in 2026 and possesses QB1 overall upside.
110. Jalen Hurts, QB, PHI (QB10, ▲2)
Jalen Hurts seems like a great guy. He’s a fantastic fantasy quarterback. But he’s not the best passer of the football. There have been rumblings during the offseason about drama in the Philly locker room, driven by the coaching staff and front office failing to criticize Hurts and his shortcomings. There’s even talk that the Eagles could draft or add a quarterback this offseason to motivate him. How much of that is true is hard to say, but often in these situations where there’s smoke, there’s fire. Hurts remains a QB1 in fantasy thanks to his legs, but especially if the Eagles trade AJ Brown, his top-five fantasy days may be over.
UPDATE (4/5): Brown is still an Eagle for now, and new OC Sean Mannion is an easy upgrade over Kevin Patullo. But things aren’t all kittens and rainbows for Hurts. There’s been an awful lot of smoke coming from the Brown outta town fire, enough for me to think it’s just a matter of when, not if. There’s also been word that some in the organization are beginning to sour on Hurts, who pushed back on playing under center more last season. Something Mannion is expected to look for Hurts to do this season. How well Hurts adapts to what Mannion wants to do is an offseason story worth watching, and could be one that leads to his exit from Philly, too.
UPDATE (5/20): As of now, Brown is still an Eagle. But even if he’s not come Week 1, Philly traded up for my WR1 in this class in Makai Lemon, an elite weapon who could eventually usurp everyone as the Eagles’ WR1. I’m much more confident in Hurts as a fantasy asset in May than I was in January.
111. Drake Maye, QB, NE (QB11, ▼4)
Drake “Drake Maye” Maye was the only player in the conversation for MVP alongside Matthew Stafford. The former Tar Heel ended the regular season ranking first in completion percentage, yards per attempt, and passer rating, and threw the third-most touchdowns (behind Stafford and Jared Goff). Maye also has a bit of wiggle, adding 450 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. Depending on the scoring format, Maye finished second to Josh Allen by around 10 points. If any quarterback’s going to knock Allen from the QB1 pedestal, it’s gonna be Maye.
UPDATE (4/5): Maye led the Patriots to the Super Bowl, but it wasn’t pretty. Throughout the postseason, Maye had a 6:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, lost four of seven fumbles, and was sacked a record 21 times. The inequities of the New England offensive line were in plain sight, putting a damper on an otherwise outstanding season. The Pats have swapped out Stefon Diggs for Romeo Doubs, but have been rumored to be in heavy pursuit of AJ Brown as well. As things stand now, I think Maye runs the risk of being severely over drafted in 2026 based on his 2025 numbers.
UPDATE (5/20): Still no A.J. Brown. Romeo Doubs is WR1. Romeo Doubs‘ gigantic helmet is WR2. Mike Vrabel is caught up in a… um… “situation”. Brown is still expected to be a Patriot, but I think it’s no longer a foregone conclusion. I may wind up with zero shares of Maye if he comes off the board as one of the first five or so quarterbacks. It’s a situation I’m avoiding unless things change drastically (which there is still plenty of time to happen). He’s still a QB1, but closer to borderline than he is elite.
112. Dak Prescott, QB, DAL (QB12, ▼1)
It turns out that having two stud receivers and a porous defense is a recipe for fantasy success. Dak Prescott finished as QB9 in points per game, top 10 in yards per attempt, quarterback rating, and just outside the top 10 in completion percentage. George Pickens is a free agent, and should he return, Dak is an easy QB1 who should come at a value. If Pickens leaves, Dak’s upside would be capped.
UPDATE (4/5): Pickens was tagged and will be back. Rinse/repeat from last year.
113. Chris Godwin Jr., WR, TB (WR50, ▲2)
It took Chris Godwin Jr. more than half the season to score 10 or more fantasy points in a game, but that’s not surprising, as he didn’t return until Week 4 from a gruesome ankle injury from last season and missed more time due to additional issues. Godwin will be 30 years old this offseason and is no guarantee to be on the Bucs roster next season with a hefty contract. If he does return, he’s a decent WR3, but not someone I’m looking to draft, as his upside is gone with his age and injury issues.
114. Mark Andrews, TE, BAL (TE9, ▲7)
If Isaiah Likely leaves via free agency, an increase in targets for Mark Andrews could help offset the decline in his skills.
UPDATE (5/20): The seven-spot jump for MANdrews has less to do with the beneficial departure of Likely and more to do with worsening situations for the tight ends around him: Kenyon Sadiq to the Jets (ew), Oronde Gadsden and the terrible, very bad, no good hire of Mike McDaniel, and Harold Fannin Jr. getting target competition from two rookie receivers, just to name a few. I also love the hire of Declan Doyle as the Ravens OC, who’s known for considering tight ends a vital part of the offense.
115. Harold Fannin Jr., TE, CLE (TE10, ▼1)
Harold Fannin Jr. was the only reliable pass-catcher for the Browns for about 99% of the season, which was enough to propel the uber-talented rookie to TE8 on a points-per-game basis. Fannin caught 72 passes and six touchdowns and even ran one in for a score. There’s so much in flux for Cleveland heading into 2026, but one thing is certain. Fannin is here to stay, for real football and fantasy.
UPDATE (5/20): I’m still quite in on Fannin, but with the additions of KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston, he has to be knocked down a few pegs.
116. Dalton Kincaid, TE, BUF (TE11, ▼1)
Dalton Kincaid led the Bills (and all tight ends) in yards per route run and also topped the team in yards per reception, ranking fourth among tight ends. He was the Bills’ most explosive pass catcher, which reflects more on the team’s overall state than on Kincaid’s abilities. Although he struggled to stay healthy, when he is on the field, Kincaid is a borderline TE1. If the Bills don’t acquire any additional weapons this offseason, Kincaid would benefit the most.
UPDATE (4/5): The Bills’ addition of DJ Moore caps Kincaid’s upside, but he should stick around back-end TE1 range.
117. George Kittle, TE, SF (TE12, ▼1)
George Kittle is just one of those guys. Even if you hate the 49ers, it’s impossible to hate him. That’s why it was so tough to see him carted off the field in the first round of the playoffs against the Eagles, ending this season and probably affecting next year as well. The recovery timeline is about 9 to 12 months, but Kittle is about to turn 33. I can speak from experience, as I approach my 40th birthday, that getting older doesn’t help with the speed of recovery from injury. His draftability won’t be known until probably mid-summer at the earliest.
118. RJ Harvey, RB, DEN (RB44, ▼13)
J.K. Dobbins was once again proving people wrong by holding off rookie RJ Harvey and having an excellent season in Denver before a season-ending injury in Week 10. Harvey stepped in and had some success, but he wasn’t particularly efficient or explosive. Dobbins ended the season with 5.05 yards per carry (seventh), 77.2 rushing yards per game (sixth), and a 7.8% explosive run rate (third). Harvey’s stats were, um, something. He had 3.7 yards per carry (42nd), 31.8 rushing yards per game (45th), and a 2.7% explosive run rate (42nd). Dobbins is a free agent, but he could certainly return to Denver; they signed him after drafting Harvey. Depending on what Harvey’s ADP turns out to be, he may be a full fade for me in 2026.
UPDATE (4/5): Dobbins is back, and the Broncos traded for Jaylen Waddle. The Felicio full fade of Harvey is on for 2026.
UPDATE (5/20): AAAAAND they drafted Jonah Coleman.
119. Alvin Kamara, RB, NO (RB45, ▲2)
46th in yards per carry, 39th in explosive run rate, and third-lowest yards after the catch per reception among running backs. As much as it hurts, Alvin Kamara is toast, methinks. The Saints offered to trade him, and Kamara told the team he’d rather stay in New Orleans. A man of character, but not helpful for his fantasy value. Kamara could have some PPR FLEX value if he’s able to stay healthy, but he’s someone I’ll be avoiding in fantasy for the foreseeable future.
UPDATE (4/5): His RB1 days are over in fantasy and in NOLA, as Travis Etienne Jr. will lead the Saints after signing a hefty contract. Kamara may have some FLEX appeal, but I don’t envision him on any of my rosters in 2026.
120. Tony Pollard, RB, TEN (RB46, ▼3)
Tony Pollard had the oddest late-season stretch, rushing for 500 of his 1082-yard season total in Weeks 14-18 to help a couple of people who were brave enough to pick him up and start him in the consolation playoffs. He’s still a non-factor for fantasy, and I’m not drafting him anywhere in 2026.
121. Bo Nix, QB, DEN (QB13, no change)
Bo Nix had himself another top-10 season for fantasy purposes, but was much more volatile than you’d like from your QB1. He did have a couple of four-touchdown games, but threw for 1 or fewer touchdowns in 11 games and under 250 yards in 11 games as well. He suffered a broken ankle on the second-to-last play of the Broncos’ victory over the Bills in the playoffs, but will be a full go before training camp.
UPDATE (4/5): The Broncos’ addition of Jaylen Waddle this offseason gives Nix a safer floor to go with his obvious upside. It all depends on how much Sean Payton lets Nix run wild.
122. Daniel Jones, QB, IND (QB14, ▲2)
Danny Dimes…er..Indiana Jones is back with the Colts, and I expect his production to be similar to what we saw most of last year. As of right now, he’s expected to be ready for the start of the season, currently recovering from a torn ACL suffered towards the end of 2025. He’ll have one less weapon with Michael Pittman leaving for Pittsburgh, but still have plenty with the Colts re-signing Alec Pierce and retaining Josh Downs and Tyler Warren.
123. Jared Goff, QB, DET (QB15, ▲2)
Jared Goff didn’t need Ben Johnson after all. Well, at least not to put up fantasy points. Goff brushed off the haters and threw for 34 touchdowns, second only to Matthew Stafford‘s 46. He finished as a QB1 again and enters 2026 as a near must-start, as long as he’s indoors.
UPDATE (4/5): The Lions’ hire of Drew Petzing as OC is a great move for the team, but not so much for Goff’s fantasy ceiling. His balanced but run-first by nature offensive system should keep Goff’s fantasy floor in place, but those “chuck it and pray” days may be over. Goff is a solid fantasy QB, but more likely someone you’d want to pair as the safe option late with a high ceiling pick.
Tier 8: The “Terms & Conditions” Tier
The talent is there, but you’ve gotta read the 50 pages of fine print.
124. Matthew Stafford, QB, LAR (QB16, ▼1)
So we can all agree that Matthew Stafford‘s “back issue” in the preseason was a bunch of hogwash, right? What caused so many of us to fade him (including me) hurts that much more since he’s having arguably his best season and is likely to win the MVP. Stafford led the league in touchdowns and passing yards per game, and if he returns for another season, he’s still a QB1 for fantasy purposes. Considering his age, you run the risk of him falling off the cliff, but in Sean McVay‘s offense, I highly doubt that happens.
UPDATE (4/5): HE’S BACK DOT GIF
125. Tyler Shough, QB, NO (QB17, ▲6)
For a quarterback known for his deep ball, it’s disheartening to see Tyler Shough have the 3rd-worst deep throw completion percentage at 28.6% (min 25 attempts). As of now, it seems the Saints consider Shough their short-term/long-term answer at quarterback. While he was serviceable for fantasy purposes, temper expectations. He threw multiple touchdown passes in just three of 10 starts, posting a 10:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and threw for fewer than 250 yards in 50% of his starts.
UPDATE (5/20): Maybe it’s because I’ve been spending a lot of time with Brett, who’s been comfortably in the driver seat of the “Shough Truck” all offseason. But I’m ready to ride. Maybe not quite shotgun yet, but I’ll jump in the back seat, throw on my seatbelt and pray. NOLA took Jordyn Tyson with the eighth overall pick, giving Shough a very capable trio of weapons in Tyson, Chris Olave, and Travis Etienne Jr. (Yeah, I left out Alvin Kamara. What of it?) I wouldn’t want to rely on Shough as my QB1 by himself or in Superflex, but I’m warming to the idea of drafting him late as an upside play paired with a Jared Goff-type.
126. Jordan Love, QB, GB (QB18, no change)
Jordan Love threw the deep ball at the second-highest rate in the league and completed about the league average of 41%. It didn’t help that he was without one of his top deep threats for most of the season, as Christian Watson and Jayden Reed both missed significant time. But Love had some big games against poor defenses. Love played decently, but with the Packers’ running game and defense, Green Bay didn’t get into many shootouts. Love is a borderline QB1 who’s fine as your starter, but I don’t know if he’ll ever have to pass the ball enough to become an elite option.
127. Brock Purdy, QB, SF (QB19, ▼5)
It’s hard to judge Brock Purdy on a season as broken as his. He didn’t have monster games, but he didn’t have any duds, either. Purdy didn’t push the ball downfield a ton, but he made it count when he did, finishing first in deep throw completion percentage (63.3) and second in yards per deep throw attempt (17.87). His receivers likely look different in 2026, with Jauan Jennings a free agent, George Kittle dealing with a torn ACL, and Brandon Aiyuk lost in the Upside Down. But in Shanny’s system, Purdy is a purdy good (I’m so, so sorry) option if you wait on quarterback.
UPDATE (4/5): Out is Jennings (and probably Aiyuk, those kids in Hawkins are still working on it), but the Niners brought on future hall-of-famer Mike Evans to give Purdy another weapon in one of the most productive touchdown scorers of all time. Evans is in the twilight of his career, but he can put up a Davante Adams-type “goal line WR seasons” and elevate both his and Purdy’s fantasy values.
UPDATE (5/20): The 49ers’ trade-back in the 1st round landed them the 33rd overall pick. John Lynch looked like a genius with names like Denzel Boston, Antonio Williams, and Germie Bernard available. So, naturally, the Niners take… De’Zhaun Stribling?! A good team fit, but a bit of a reach considering he was expected to go in the third round. So Purdy’s pass catchers will consist of a 32-year-old George Kittle, who may be 33 by the time he returns to the field (his birthday is in October), a soon-to-be 33-year-old Mike Evans, third year receiver Ricky Pearsall with 67 career catches, and Christian Kirk on a 1-year “prove it” deal. Oh yeah, I mean, he does have that Christian McCaffrey guy in the backfield. He’s pretty good. But with the receivers in San Fran have a worrisome mix of age and injury concern, enough for me to drop Purdy significantly.
128. Kenyon Sadiq, TE, NYJ (TE13, no change)
Kenyon Sadiq is the type of tight end prospect that gets me a little hot and bothered. A superior athlete that hasn’t just drawn Vernon Davis comparisons — he literally broke Davis’s combine speed record for tight ends set nearly 20 years ago. Sadiq ran the fastest 40 ever for a TE at the combine (4.37), and although he wasn’t used much as a pass catcher downfield at Oregon, he has the skillset to be a vertical threat at the next level. An explosive but raw blocker, he’ll need to bulk up if he wants to reach his full potential at the pro level. Sadiq will be a playmaker from day one, thanks to his elite athleticism, and has all the ingredients to turn into the latest, greatest, elite tight end. I fear that also includes him being the latest first-round tight end to be overdrafted in fantasy in their rookie season. In dynasty, he’ll be a mid-first-rounder in most formats, but a contender for 1.01 in TE premium.
UPDATE (5/20): I would have much preferred to see him go to a team where he could be the top option. I also would have preferred not the Jets. But he remains the top fantasy tight end in this class, although I’m not as interested in his redraft stock as I was a month ago, as the QB situation for the Jets and the competition for targets leave much to be desired.
129. Jayden Reed, WR, GB (WR51, ▲4)
Jayden Reed missed most of the season due to a series of injuries, including a broken collarbone, but was able to return in Week 14. He’ll be among the Packers’ top pass-catchers in 2026 and should remain a volatile WR3 for fantasy purposes.
130. Jayden Higgins WR, HOU (WR52, ▲2)
Jayden Higgins had a disappointing rookie season considering the opportunity that presented itself. Nico Collins, Christian Kirk, and Dalton Schultz all missed time, but Higgins was unable to carve out a role, in part due to the deficiencies of the passing offense. If the offense can show some consistency, Higgins has the talent to produce as a WR3 or FLEX option. He’s worth a late-round pick as a flyer.
131. Jake Ferguson, TE, DAL (TE14, no change)
Jake Ferguson had a nice little stretch as the TE1 overall from weeks 2 to 5, but that ended quickly as soon as CeeDee Lamb returned. He finished as the TE11 in points per game and a solid TE1. If George Pickens doesn’t re-sign with Dallas, Fergie would see the biggest benefit.
UPDATE (4/5): Pickens re-signed with Dallas, keeping Ferg’s value suppressed. He should still have some spike weeks, but a borderline TE1 season is the most reasonable prediction.
132. Travis Kelce, TE, KC (TE15, ▲5)
“Say you’ll remember Kelce
facing defense in press,
ready, hut, set, baby
Red jersey and Jordan cleats
Say you’ll draft Kelce again
even if it’s not on your fantasy teams, ah-ah, ha.”
133. Oronde Gadsden II, TE, LAC (TE16, ▼4)
Oronde Gadsden is another of the multiple rookie tight ends who emerged for a stretch this season, scoring 12 or more fantasy points in four straight games in the middle of the season. That includes a 29.4-point performance against the Colts, followed by 18.7 versus the Vikes. It’s hard to take much away from the Chargers’ pass catchers in the second half of the season with Herbert battling a broken hand, but Gadsen should be considered a borderline TE1 with upside for 2026.
UPDATE (5/20): I’ve done a complete 180 on Gadsden this offseason. Early on, he looked like a sneaky breakout target after flashing production in a Chargers offense that completely fell apart around him. But Mike McDaniel becoming OC may actually hurt Gadsden more than anyone else on the roster. McDaniel values blocking from his tight ends, and while Gadsden has improved there, it’s still not a strength of his game. The Chargers also added Charlie Kolar and David Njoku, two much stronger blockers who are going to eat into snaps. Gadsden should still be involved, but his floor and ceiling both feel a lot shakier than they did a few months ago.
134. Juwan Johnson, TE, NO (TE17, no change)
Juwan Johnson tied with Tyler Warren for TE10 with 11.1 fantasy points per game. Johnson set career highs in targets, receptions, and receiving yards, and with Taysom Hill out of the picture, he should see increased involvement in 2026. With rookies added in the rankings fold, he’s a borderline TE1 with limited upside.
UPDATE (5/20): With the additions of Jordyn Tyson, Noah Fant, and Oscar Delp, Johnson’s upside remains, but his target floor is no more.
135. Brenton Strange, TE, JAC (TE18, ▼3)
Strange things are happening in Jacksonville, and that’s a good thing. Brenton Strange scored double-digit fantasy points in 50% of his games and is a solid backup option if you fade tight end early in drafts.
136. C.J. Stroud, QB, HOU (QB20, ▼1)
C.J. Stroud seems like a really good guy, but man, he’s fallen off hard since his rookie season. He missed a few games with a concussion and returned to play shaky football, throwing just eight touchdowns in his final six games. The upside is still there, but he’s more of an upside QB2 than an every-week starter in fantasy.
137. Kyler Murray, QB, MIN (QB21, ▼1)
Kyler Murray‘s once sky-high ceiling has fallen all the way to the ground floor. The expectations that come with being the #1 overall pick are a tall order, and Murray just hasn’t been up to it. He appeared to be head and shoulders above the competition in the first two seasons in the league, but he’s thrown 15 or fewer touchdowns in three of the last four seasons, in part due to injury and also due to this year’s “soft benching”. It would be a knee-high narrative to say his career is finished; his peak may just happen to be at waist-level. Nothing official has been said, but the Cardinals are ready to move on this offseason. Murray is likely wearing another uniform in 2026. He’s also short.
UPDATE (4/5): I’m also short. Murray is wearing another uniform in 2026, and that’s the purple and gold of the Vikings. Color me intrigued. KOC revived the career of Super Bowl Champion Sam Darnold (you read that right), and got serviceable play out of Joshua Dobbs and Nick Mullens. Murray is still just 28 years old and has shown his upside with multiple top-five fantasy seasons. If his ADP doesn’t get too crazy, Kyler could be a league winner.
138. Cam Ward, QB, TEN (QB22, no change)
After struggling for nearly the entire season, Cam Ward began showing signs of life down the stretch. Ward failed to throw multiple touchdowns in a game until Week 13, but did so in his final four starts and began making flash plays like these.
What a drive for Cam Ward. Dropping dimes down the field. How bout that for deep accuracy!
6/7 for 69 yards and a touchdown on the drive, including completions of 25 and 30 yards. pic.twitter.com/tWPBis8rjE
— Justin Graver (@titansfilmroom) December 21, 2025
The Titans cleaned house and hopefully brought in a staff that will build the offense around Ward and give him time to throw. If you subscribe to the “Late Round QB” draft strategy, Ward could be worth a dart throw in 2026. But he’s not someone you’ll want to depend on.
UPDATE (4/5): The Titans hired Brian Daboll as OC, signed his bae Wan’Dale Robinson, and could still add help at receiver. Don’t rely on him by any means, but Ward has sneaky upside in 2026 and would be the perfect pairing with someone along the lines of Jared Goff.
UPDATE (5/20): Ward was given another weapon when Tennessee took Ohio State wide receiver Carnell Tate with the fourth overall pick. I’m not reaching for Ward anywhere, but if he continues to get faded, there’s plenty of upside to be had in the rebuilt Titans offense.
139. Baker Mayfield, QB, TB (QB23, ▼2)
My fears about Baker Mayfield came to fruition, as touchdown regression pushed him right back to fringe fantasy starter status. Mayfield isn’t afraid to sling the rock, and even with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin potentially out of the picture, he still has plenty of talent at the receiver position. 2024 was an aberration, but he’s still a serviceable starter.
UPDATE (4/5): Mike Evans is gone, another small breach in the chainmayfield armor.
140. Braelon Allen, RB, NYJ (RB47, ▲2)
Braelon Allen entered the season uber-hyped, only to have his season end in Week 4 with an MCL injury. If Breece Hall leaves in free agency and the Jets don’t add a significant piece to the backfield, Allen could be in line to be the Jets’ Week 1 starter. If that’s the case, he’ll offer sneaky significant upside.
UPDATE (4/5): That dream is dead. Just like Allen’s fantasy value.
141. Malik Willis, QB, MIA (QB24, ▲1)
An unrestricted free agent, Malik Willis nearly led the Packers to an overtime victory over Chicago in relief of an injured Jordan Love and totaled 300 yards and three touchdowns in a spot start against the Ravens. Willis played himself into an opportunity to compete for a starting job if he wants it this offseason.
UPDATE (4/5): Willis indeed played himself into a starting job. The problem is that there’s nobody left in Miami. No thanks.
142. Dalton Schultz, TE, HOU (TE19, ▼1)
You know that Japanese takeout place your wife always suggests when you’re trying to figure out where to eat, and every time you complain, “Ugggghhhh. I don’t want that.” But when you inevitably agree and get the food, you realize it’s actually pretty good and have to apologize to your wife for doing it again? That’s Dalton Schultz. Since the 2020 season, he’s finished outside the top 18 just once and has finished as a TE1 four of the six seasons. I’m counting this year because he tied with Hunter Henry and Dalton Kincaid for TE13 in points per game, just .01 behind Juwan Johnson. Close enough for me. Schultz isn’t a guy you’re excited to draft, but if you fade the position, he’ll be a decent option more often than not.
143. Antonio Williams, WR, WAS (WR53, NEW)
Antonio Williams does a lot of things well, just nothing exceptionally well. He’s fast enough, but not a burner. His hands and catch-point ability allow him to come down with contested catches regularly, playing bigger than his frame suggests. His size limits him to the slot, where he’ll rely on timing and precision rather than physicality to win. A nagging injury history — he’s missed games every season since 2023 — is a concern worth monitoring. Another in a long list of receivers in this class with potential to contribute from day one if they land in the right offense. Late-round flyer in redraft and a second-round pick in dynasty.
UPDATE (5/20): I absolutely LOVE the landing spot, as the Commanders are in dire need of weapons for Jayden Daniels outside of Terry McLaurin. Washington didn’t add any other significant pass catcher (unless you count Chig Okonkwo), so Williams has the inside track to become Daniels’ #2 in a hurry.
144. Tre Tucker WR, LV (WR54, ▲4)
This guy put up a 40-burger in week three, which made the Raiders comfortable enough to trade Jakobi Meyers. He’s at best a complementary receiver who could offer some FLEX value with the soon-to-be Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza.
UPDATE (5/20): A sneaky post-draft winner. The Raiders didn’t add anybody of note at receiver, giving Tucker a clear path to fantasy relevancy.
145. Khalil Shakir WR, BUF (WR55, ▼4)
Khalil Shakir is the most Romeo Doubs receiver that ever James Jonesed. He has no business operating as the top option for Josh Allen, but that’s what he did once again in 2025. Shakir ranked first in yards after contact per reception with 3.61, but he profiles more as a complementary receiver. Despite the attention brought to Allen’s lack of weapons and the heartbreaking divisional-round loss, I expect Buffalo to bring in some help. Shakir should be seen as a solid but boring WR3.
UPDATE (4/5): Buffalo indeed brought in help in DJ Moore, and Shakir remains a solid but boring WR3. If they bring in more, Shakir could become undraftable.
146. Parker Washington WR, JAC (WR56, ▲1)
One of the most underrated receivers in the league resides in Jacksonville, and his name is Parker Washington. Despite a crowded receiver room that included Travis Hunter and, after Hunter’s injury, Jakobi Meyers, Washington was the WR20 from Weeks 9-17. He finished tenth in yards per route run, eighth in yards per reception, and fifth in yards per target over expectation (with a minimum of 25 targets). Often, in situations like these (multiple receivers in a good offense), I tend to target the least expensive option. Why pay for the brand-name peanut butter when the Wal-Mart Brand is ¼ of the price, and you throw it out if it’s gross? I suspect I’ll have many sandwiches shares of PB&Washington next season.
147. Sam Darnold, QB, SEA (QB25, ▲1)
Sam Darnold proved his Minnesota resurgence wasn’t a fluke, finishing as QB14 in total points and leading the Seahawks to the #1 seed in the NFC. My gripe with Darnold from a fantasy perspective is that he’s not very good when he faces pressure, which is still true. But the Seahawks’ rebuilt offensive line made major strides and more often than not kept Darnold upright. Darnold faced pressure on just 31.7% of his dropbacks, fourth lowest among quarterbacks who played at least 10 games. Darnold had some low-volume games that keep him from being a consistent starter, but he’s a borderline QB1 who’s perfect to pair with another quarterback to mix and match based on opponent.
148. Jauan Jennings, WR, MIN (WR57, ▼4)
Jauan Jennings wound up being the 49ers’ top receiver by default, which is good timing for him, considering he’s heading into free agency. He’s had back-to-back WR3 seasons, but at age 29 in July, I’m unsure what teams will be willing to pay him a significant amount for a major role. I’ll be taking a wait-and-see approach with him.
UPDATE (5/20): Jennings winds up in Minnesota, and honestly, I don’t value him much differently than the past few seasons. The offense should be close to as potent as the Niners (at the very least, it’ll be better without #Nine), but Jennings has a cloudier path to targets.
149. Stefon Diggs WR, FA (WR58, ▲1)
Stefon Diggs played 60% of offensive snaps in just three games this season but bounced back in New England to finish as WR2. Diggs finished inside the top 10 in yards per route run and had 1,000 receiving yards for the seventh time in his career. But at age 33 at the start of the season, the upside is nonexistent. He’s a fine WR3 but not much more.
UPDATE (4/5): Released by New England, his value greatly depends on where he lands and what type of role he’ll play.
UPDATE (5/20): With no new home just yet, Diggs lives outside WR3 ranges for now.
150. Jerry Jeudy, WR, CLE (WR59, ▲2)
Outside of a random week with a touchdown, Jerry Jeudy was a complete non-factor for fantasy purposes and will continue to be until the Browns get their quarterback situation figured out.
UPDATE (5/20): The additions of KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston make Jeudy even more non-factor-er.