Kickoff: Sunday, November 14th at 1:00 PM ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Betting Odds: NYJ +13, 47.5 total via Oddsshark
Josh Allen (Start, QB1)
Josh Allen hasn’t played great since the team’s bye week in Week 7. Last week was Allen’s lowest fantasy point game since Week 8 of 2020. This week, however, will give Allen, one of fantasies best players, a chance to rebound against a Jets team that has allowed two straight QBs to throw for three touchdowns. Allen should have little trouble carving up this defense on Sunday. He’s an easy QB1 start despite his recent struggles.
Devin Singletary (Start, Flex if Moss out), Zack Moss (Sit)
The Bills backfield has been frustrating fantasy managers all season, with two talented backs with both backs splitting fantasy production. Part of the problem is that the Bills just don’t seem to want to run the ball, regardless of the game script. Zack Moss has not rushed for more than 40 yards or scored in a game since Week 4. He left last week’s game with a concussion, and his status for Sunday is in doubt. Devin Singletary hasn’t been much better, but he is getting a larger share of the passing work. If either misses time, then the other becomes a solid Flex play, and with Moss’s status in doubt, Singletary would be a nice play. If both suit up, neither is a great option.
Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
Stefon Diggs (Start, WR2), Emmanuel Sanders (Start, Flex), Cole Beasley (Start, Flex), Dawson Knox (Start, TE1 if healthy)
With a heavy passing volume, the Bills have been able to maintain production across several receiving options on the season, although they are still searching for the explosive production from last season. Stefon Diggs has been solid, currently the WR22, Diggs has just one game of 20+ fantasy points on the season. Diggs remains the primary option in the passing attack and managers should not consider benching him. Production should come as the long season wears on.
Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley are both solid WR3 options but it will be tough to figure out exactly which will produce on any given week. Beasley has been more consistent, a weekly WR2 or better 50% of his starts and Sanders has dropped off in recent weeks. However, the Bills will continue to pass the ball and both are decent weekly fantasy options.
Dawson Knox is trending to return this week and that bodes well for any fantasy manager who rosters him. Knox was enjoying a breakout season, dominating defenders and scoring touchdowns in four straight weeks. Knox is an easy start this week as a low-end TE1, if healthy.
New York Jets
Mike White (Sit), Zach Wilson (Sit)
Zach Wilson, the second overall pick in 2021, returned to practice this week, and head coach Robert Saleh has a tough decision to make on his starter. Mike White has they well in Wilson’s absence, and the team could give Wilson another week to recover and watch. It would be quite an inditement on the rookie, but not unsurprising. However, neither White nor Wilson will be good fantasy options this week. The Bills have been remarkable defending fantasy quarterbacks, allowing just 12 points per game to the position. Either QB will be in for a long day and belong on your bench.
Michael Carter (Start, Flex), Ty Johnson (Sit)
The Jets have decided that Michael Carter is the lead back in early downs with Ty Johnson operating in two-minute and long down and distance situations. The decision seems opposite from what Carter’s skill set dictates, and Carter has struggled as a rusher. Carter is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry, and isn’t the type of rusher that can sustain offense. However, he is getting plenty of work and the team seems content to keep both players in their roles. Carter’s best performances have been when he gets the lion’s share of the passing game work, and that is a role he seems to thrive in. This week, with the volume Carter is expected to receive, he is a solid low-end Flex play, with some upside. Johnson, who in our opinion should be the lead back, has little value until the team decides to give him that chance.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Corey Davis (Sit), Jamison Crowder (Sit), Elijah Moore (Sit)
The Buffalo Bills are allowing just 14 fantasy points per game to opposing fantasy receivers this season, cementing themselves as one of the very best defenses in the league, allowing just two receiving touchdowns on the season, and none since Week 5. They have not allowed a single receiver more than 85 yards in a single game, and have smothered second and third options. These trends don’t bode well for Corey Davis, Jamison Crowder, or Elijah Moore. It is tough to recommend fantasy managers start any Jets receiver in Week 10, with an implied total of just 17 points. The Bills will likely find a way to shut down all three of these options this week. Managers should look elsewhere.
-Marc Salazar (@oldsnake77)