Kickoff: Sunday, November 13th, at 1:00 PM ET
Location: Fed Ex Field, Prince George’s County, Maryland
Betting Odds: WSH +9.5 , 51.5 Total on Vegas Insider
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady (Start)
This season, Tom Brady has finished as a Top-5 fantasy quarterback in six of his eight starts. That, folks, is what we call a model of consistency. He currently leads the NFL with 42.9 pass attempts/game, in addition to expected passing touchdowns per game (3.01), per Pro Football Focus. So far this season, the Washington Football Team is allowing the most fantasy points to quarterbacks and has the third-worst PFF coverage grade. If you have Brady on your fantasy team, you should be quite happy with his production in Week 10.
Leonard Fournette (Start, RB1), Ronald Jones (Sit)
Remember when Ronald Jones was expected to be the top running back in Tampa Bay? Those were fun times. Leonard Fournette has established himself as the clear three-down back in this backfield and has become a borderline RB1 as a result. He currently ranks 6th in expected fantasy points per game, per PFF, and could benefit here from a leading game script with more carries. As for Jones, here’s hoping he gets a fresh start next season.
Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
Chris Godwin (Start, WR1), Mike Evans (Start, WR1), Tyler Johnson (Sit), Rob Gronkowski (Start), Cameron Brate (Sit), OJ Howard (Sit)
With Antonio Brown still in a walking boot, per head coach Bruce Arians, it’s clear that Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are poised to produce at an elite level this week. Godwin, who has two straight games with double-digit targets, is my preference over Evans, though you never know when the latter is going to pull off a multi-touchdown game. Tyler Johnson is an interesting potential fill-in as a Flex start, but I’d still look elsewhere in a game where the passing volume could be slightly less. Meanwhile, if Rob Gronkowski is healthy, he’s still someone (12.2 expected fantasy points despite leaving two games early) worth starting. If not, I wouldn’t be rushing to start either of OJ Howard or Cameron Brate, though the former could be a fill-in starter in very deep leagues.
Washington Football Team
Taylor Heinicke (Sit)
Quietly, Taylor Heinicke is tied for seventh in expected fantasy points (21.4) per game this year. However, quarterbacks have control over their efficiency, and he’s averaging just seven yards/attempt this year. He’s definitely had spike weeks due to his scrambling ability (thee top-ten weeks), and the Bucs defense generally face more pass attempts above expectation than any other team in the NFL. Thus, I’d be comfortable calling him an interesting streaming option, though one with a lot of volatility.
Antonio Gibson (Start, RB2), J.D. McKissic (Start, FLEX), Jarret Patterson (Sit)
Coming into the season, we were hoping that Antonio Gibson would have a true three-down role but that hasn’t come to fruition. Now dealing with a calf injury, he took a back seat to undrafted free agent rookie Jarret Patterson in Week 8, though I’d be hoping that he’s ready for a larger workload coming off the bye. However, it’s unlikely Washington runs much against Tampa Bay’s defensive front, leading to more snaps for J.D. McKissic. With three straight Top-30 finishes, McKissic is averaging 11.4 fantasy points per game and ranks third in receiving yards this season. The Bucs are allowing the sixth-most receptions to running backs this season, so this could be a classic spike game for McKissic with a lot of garbage-time production. Hey, all fantasy points count the same!
Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
Terry McLaurin (Start, WR1), DeAndre Carter (Sit), Dyami Brown (Sit), Adam Humphries (Sit), Ricky Seals-Jones (Sit)
As per usual with the Washington offense, it’s Terry McLaurin or bust here. Assuming Curtis Samuel is out once again with a groin injury, there really isn’t another option in the passing game to get excited about, unless third-round rookie Dyami Brown sees a larger role with a typical post-bye week bump for a rookie. Maybe Ricky Seals-Jones, with two Top-12 finishes in Weeks 6 and 7, could offer streaming value if Logan Thomas misses another game due to a hamstring injury, but this isn’t a week where a lot of the top tight ends are on their bye week. Thus, McLaurin truly is the only player you’ll want to start here.
All Stats via Pro Football Focus