Kickoff: Sunday, November 13th, at 4:25 PM ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
Betting Odds: DEN -2.5, 44.5 Total on Vegas Insider
Jalen Hurts (Start)
Over the first seven weeks of the season, Jalen Hurts did not finish worse than 11th in fantasy points, while he was averaging 23.1 expected fantasy points per game, per PFF. Since then, though, he’s finished 24th and 12th in fantasy points in Weeks 8 and 9, respectively, averaging just 15.1 expected fantasy points in that span. The major change? An overall difference in the team’s offensive philosophy:
Now, some of this is likely matchup driven, and the Broncos have a top-ten run defense per PFF grades. With just one career game with a finish below 12th, there’s no justification for benching Hurts this week. That’s the beauty of a rushing quarterback; they are the cheat codes of fantasy football.
Jordan Howard (Start, Flex), Boston Scott (Sit), Kenneth Gainwell (Sit)
With Miles Sanders injured, the Eagles appeared to have frustrated us all with a very confusing backfield split over the past two games. Jordan Howard has averaged 11.8 expected fantasy points in this two-game span and is the team’s clear option inside the five-yard line. Thus, he looks like the top running back in this offense, though the game script could lead to Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell seeing more work. It’s really a puzzling situation here, and, as such, you’re best off avoiding it if you can.
Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
DeVonta Smith (Start, Flex), Quez Watkins (Sit), Jalen Reagor (Sit), Dallas Goedert (Start)
Last week, 75% of the Eagles’ targets went to DeVonta Smith or Dallas Goedert. That is the perfect description of where this passing game currently lies. Unfortunately for Smith and Goedert, their high target shares have come with a run-heavy offense, though there is definite upside if the team shifts its approach against Denver this week.
Teddy Bridgewater (Sit)
The Broncos are a slow-paced, run-heavy offense. That doesn’t void well for the fantasy value of Teddy Bridgewater. This isn’t an efficient offense as is, and the lack of overall passing volume has led to Bridgewater ranking just 26th in expected fantasy points per game. Against a defense that ranks in the middle of the pack in passing yards allowed, there isn’t much to suggest this will be a boom game for Bridgewater. Luckily, there are plenty of other quarterbacks who offer streaming value this week!
Melvin Gordon (Start, Flex), Javonte Williams (Start, Flex)
It is now Week 10, and we’re still waiting for Javonte Williams to pull away from Melvin Gordon. At some point, we might have to stop thinking it’s going to happen. That being said, both running backs remain useful Flex starters on a weekly basis. Surprisingly, the Eagles are allowing the third-most points to running backs this year, and both of these running backs have been able to co-exist this year as Top-24 options. Thus, regardless of which running back you have, feel comfortable starting them here.
Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
Jerry Jeudy (Start, Flex), Courtland Sutton (Start, Flex), Tim Patrick (Sit), Noah Fant (Start)
With Jerry Jeudy back in the fold, Courtland Sutton has gone from a borderline WR1 to more of a WR3. He’s finished 64th and 88th in PPR points over the past two weeks, in addition to receiving just six targets. Jeudy, meanwhile, despite playing fewer snaps, has received 12 targets in that span. It’s never clear which of these two receivers will have the edge over the others, and as such, it’s worth utilizing them as Flex starters rather than something better than that. The main intrigue here is if Noah Fant clears COVID-19 protocols. The Eagles are allowing the most fantasy points to tight ends this season, and Fant has been a Top-10 tight end in expected fantasy points and actual fantasy points this year. If he’s cleared, a top-five finish is well within the realm of possibilities.
All Stats via Pro Football Focus