Kickoff: Sunday, November 27th, 4:05 PM ET
Location: Lumen Field, Seattle
Betting Odds: SEA -3.5, 47.5 total via PFF.com
Writer: Estevão Maximo (@estevao_maximo on Twitter)
Las Vegas Raiders
Derek Carr (Start, QB2)
The Raiders are a disappointment in 2022, there is no question about that, but strictly from a fantasy standpoint, this offense isn’t the black hole like the Denver Broncos (to look at a similarly underwhelming team).
Derek Carr has two passing touchdowns and is averaging over 250 yards per game over his last three, and that includes a pretty formidable game against the stout Broncos D. The Raiders QB doesn’t have the ceiling of other high-profile names but is a pretty stable, safe option as a QB2 from week-to-week.
Josh Jacobs (Start, RB1)
Are you old enough to remember a time in which it felt like everyone was fading the Raiders’ lead back? If you weren’t in that group, you’re probably feeling really good about yourself right now.
Josh Jacobs is on pace for a career-high in yards per carry (5.1), and although he has scored only once in the past four games, he is also coming off a season-high 24 carries against the Broncos and is third in the team in targets on the year with 41.
Seattle’s run D is top 10 in points allowed to opposing running backs, and that is the cherry on top to make the former Alabama back a very nice RB1 play this week.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Davante Adams (Start, WR1), Mack Hollins (Start if Renfrow is out, FLEX), Hunter Renfrow (Sit), Foster Moreau (Start, TE2)
Tyreek Hill has the yardage. Davante Adams has the scores. Those elite wideouts were put in the spotlight, after leaving their hall-of-fame quarterbacks, and although the Raiders haven’t had the success of the Dolphins, and Adams has been more inconsistent than Hill, you can’t ignore nor dismiss the fact he leads all wideouts in touchdowns.
If anything, the Raiders should feed Adams more, as good things tend to happen when Carr looks his way. Adams has been the Mike Williams version of a WR1, producing 925 yards and 10 scores over 10 games, despite virtually disappearing in three (in which he combined for 51 yards) against the Titans, Cardinals, and Saints; though, it should be noted he scored twice in those three.
Mack Hollins has been the guy Carr turns to as a secondary weapon, with no Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow for much of the year. He is certainly not the most exciting FLEX-start, but he’ll get the job done, particularly in a game unlikely to bring a ton of negative game script, as the Raiders are underdogs at Seattle.
Prices will rise, politicians will philander, you’ll get old, and Foster Moreau will catch three balls for 35 yards. The Raiders tight end has been wildly consistent catching thirty or so yards since Waller has been out, and going up against a Seahawks D that’s dead last in points to opposing tight ends, he is a solid TE2 play.
Geno Smith (Start, QB2)
The Seattle Seahawks are fifth in points per game (25.7). The Seattle Seahawks are averaging 6.0 yards per play. Which universe did I step into? Is this the same team that had a QB competition involving Drew Lock before this year?
Geno Smith has a 62.8 completion percentage, 17 touchdowns, 4 picks, and a QBR of 67.3. I’ll resign myself to simply rallying off gaudy numbers and letting you come to terms with the notion that Smith is a high-end QB2 play for the foreseeable future.
Can you explain this? If so please do, because we’re all just flabbergasted here.
Oh, and the Raiders are third worse in points allowed to opposing quarterbacks.
Kenneth Walker (Start, RB2)
Kenneth Walker ran 10 times for 17 yards in Germany. The silver lining is that he salvaged his fantasy day with a level of involvement previously unseen in the passing game, catching six balls on eight targets for 55 yards.
It was one game, and receiving upside was never a part of the equation in Walker’s recent surge, but with a very strong hold on this backfield, and a passing attack that will legitimately scare defenses, Walker should bounce back, and continue as a strong RB2 play.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
DK Metcalf (Start, WR2), Tyler Lockett (Start, WR3), Marquise Goodwin (Sit-Start, FLEX), Will Dissly (Sit)
It wasn’t long ago that DK Metcalf had an injury scare against the Chargers, but the highly durable wideout didn’t miss any time and has been decent if underwhelming since. For now, however, we do stick with him as a WR2, but Tyler Lockett is giving him a run for his money as the primary option for this team.
Even Marquise Goodwin isn’t the worst desperation FLEX play, coming off 138 yards and three scores in his last three games. The speedy former Bill all of a sudden seems to be an accountable part of this offense.
Neither Noah Fant nor Will Dissly has been good enough to stand out as the playable tight end on a weekly basis. It’s a little bit like a shot in the dark, figuring out which one will get the yardage out of that position.