Kickoff: Sunday, October 2nd, at 1:00 PM EST
Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Betting Odds: NYJ +4, 41.5 total via Oddsshark
Writer: Matthew Cava (@cavaM_ Twitter & Reddit)
New York Jets
Zach Wilson (Sit)
Zach Wilson has been cleared to return after suffering a meniscus tear and bone bruise in his right knee in the preseason opener. He spoke to reporters on Wednesday and is confident that he is 100%. Recovering from surgery conducted on August 16th, New York needs to instill hope that he can remain under center the rest of the season to truly evaluate whether or not he is the guy. All that being said, the answer is clear – he doesn’t hold any fantasy relevancy, and can be left on the wire until further notice.
Breece Hall (Start, FLEX), Michael Carter (Start if you must, low-end FLEX)
Week 3 was another instance of Joe Flacco throwing 50+ times; 52 to be exact. It’s rather absurd for him to have that many pass attempts, but Breece Hall was certainly a benefactor of it. He had six receptions for 53 yards, but only eight carries for 39 yards on the ground. Michael Carter turned 11 carries into just 39 yards as well, and had just one catch for seven yards. Could this be a turning of the tide for Hall to takeover? Per FantasyData, Carter has out-snapped Hall 131 to 97 through the first three games, but Hall has the higher target share and touch/snaps. Look, both backs are serviceable, but Hall has more homerun-potential, and you probably spent a decent penny on him in your drafts. Time will tell what happens to both backs with Wilson under center, but I would comfortable starting both, with Hall more locked into FLEX consideration over Carter this week. Through the first three weeks, the Steelers have allowed 20.47 fantasy points to running backs, per FantasyData, which ranks them eighth worst in the league this season.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Garrett Wilson (Start, FLEX), Elijah Moore (Sit), Corey Davis (Sit), Tyler Conklin (Start, TE2), C.J. Uzomah (Sit)
It was a down week for Garrett Wilson, relative to his Week 2 performance. Even so, he still tied Elijah Moore for 10 targets on the day, and caught six balls for 60 yards. Moore only caught four for 49 yards. It’s been a disappointing start to the season Moore – which really has not been all his fault – but you can’t start him until he begins to show out. If you are getting a nervous itch about Moore, check out this breakdown by Michael Nanina over at JetsXFactor that should be reassuring in that better days are head for Moore; if you trust Wilson to get him the ball over Flacco. Going back to Garrett Wilson, I can’t see the offense straying away from getting him the ball, so I would consider him a FLEX option yet again.
Corey Davis can be left on your bench/wire, as can tight end C.J. Uzomah, who has not had the best of starts to his Jets career through two games (as he missed Week 2). Tyler Conklin, who will be a popular waiver add this week, is the TE you want to start. Through three games, he’s had no less than seven targets in each, and is playing into a legitimate option at a thin position. It’s worth mentioning that he had built a rapport with Wilson over the summer, and should be relied upon as a safety blanket for a young QB coming off of the injury that he did.
Mitch Trubisky (Sit)
Almost immediately after the loss to Cleveland last Thursday, Mike Tomlin suggested that Mitch Trubisky would still remain the Steelers starting QB, and no potential move to Kenny Pickett was imminent. Week 3 was the first game of the season where Trubisky surpassed 200 passing yards – 207 to be exact – but he continues to be lackluster, and thus impacting his receivers in negative fashion. He’s an easy sit this week, even against the Jets defense that allow QB’s to carve them up at will; they’re allowing an average of 19.56 fantasy points in PPR leagues to the QB position through three games per FantasyData.
Najee Harris (Start, RB2), Jaylen Warren (Sit)
Najee Harris has yet to hit the 100-yard mark on the ground this season, as he only posted 56 yards on 15 carries against the Browns in Week 3. He did find the end zone though, which saved his fantasy day. Harris has been at the mercy of Trubisky as his QB, and FantasyData has him projected to finish with 14.14 points in PPR leagues this week against New York, which would put him on an RB2 pace yet again. The Jets did just hold Joe Mixon in check until he left with an ankle injury, but Samaje Perine filled in and turned nine carries into 47 yards, and a touchdown reception early on. Through the first three games, the Jets have allowed an average of 20.13 fantasy points to RBs.
Jaylen Warren saw another four carries against the Browns, and doubled his yardage on the ground from Week 2 to 30. It didn’t help his cause that he had a fumble, but Warren is worth monitoring in the event of Harris missing any time.
Wide Receivers/Tight End
Diontae Johnson (Start, WR3), Chase Claypool (Sit), George Pickens (Sit), Pat Freiermuth (Start, TE1)
Diontae Johnson once again led the way for the Steelers against Cleveland, catching eight of 11 targets for 84 yards. He didn’t have a touchdown to speak of, but neither did Chase Claypool or George Pickens. You can continue to start Johnson, who will be a viable WR3 this week, though he could very well line up against Sauce Gardner, who pretty much held Ja’Marr Chase in check last week, catching just six of 10 targets for 29 yards and a touchdown that Gardner was not covering him on.
Both Claypool and Pickens are fantasy afterthoughts right now. Claypool is averaging just six targets per game, in comparison to Johnson’s 11. ICYMI, Pickens had one of the greatest catches you’ll ever see – check out our What We Saw team coverage – but he’s working off of an 11.9% share of total team targets through three games.
Tight end Pat Freiermuth was quiet against Cleveland, catching two of four targets for 41 yards. Consider him a low-end TE1 against the Jets, a defense that just held Hayden Hurst to one catch (on two targets) for seven yards. Historically speaking though, the Jets are notorious for not being able to defend the TE position. Dating back to 2021, New York allowed 9.42 fantasy points per game to tight ends, which ranked sixth-worst on the season.
Me likey your sit/starts for each game big time. Mark Borezo