Kickoff: Monday, October 19th at 8:15 PM ET
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Betting Odds: ARI -2.5, 54.5 total via Oddsshark
Kyler Murray (Start, QB1)
With a QB1 performance every week of the 2020 season, Kyler Murray looks like he took a big step up this year. He threw a career-high 380 yards last week. The Cowboys have been pretty mediocre against fantasy quarterbacks, and this game should be pretty high scoring. Murray should be in line for another QB1 performance.
Kenyan Drake (Start, Low-end RB2), Chase Edmonds (Start, Low-end RB2)
This backfield has been pretty frustrating this year, and it will be tough predicting each week. Kenyan Drake still has the lion’s share of the rushing work but has struggled pretty much all year. Meanwhile, Chase Edmonds has commanded most of the passing work, receiving six targets in each of his past two games. It’s worth noting Edmonds had a season-high 45% of offensive snaps last week on his way to an impressive 20-point fantasy performance.
Chase Edmonds could maintain RB2 value in PPR leagues if he keeps up his pass-catching production going forward. It’s not a crazy thought considering the Cards are currently top-10 in passing attempts this year. The Cowboys have been so-so against opposing running backs and are giving up plenty of air yards. I like Edmonds’ chances for RB2 production in Week 6.
Kenyan Drake will be tougher to predict. He has already struggled against some pretty mediocre rush defenses this year, but Dallas is likely his best match-up so far this season. The Cowboys have given up the sixth-most rushing yards in the league. The match-up should be enough to put Drake in low-end RB2 territory, but his floor feels less dependable than Edmonds’ this week.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
DeAndre Hopkins (Start, WR1), Christian Kirk (Flex), Larry Fitzgerald (Sit), Dan Arnold (Sit)
The current 2020 WR leader, DeAndre Hopkins, should be capable of yet another WR1 performance this week. The Cowboys are bottom-12 in passing yards allowed per game and allowing the third-most fantasy points to the position so far this year. Start Nuk with confidence.
Christian Kirk’s targets, receptions, and fantasy points have been slowly trending up over the Cardinals’ past three contests. If you believe his targets will keep going up, Kirk may start flirting with WR2 production. That said, I’m not going to expect that quite yet. I believe Kirk has a pretty safe flex floor this week with some low-end WR3 upside.
Matching his highest target total of the season last week (seven), Larry Fitzgerald still couldn’t reach fantasy relevance. Larry isn’t performing well enough to warrant any start consideration yet. Similarly, Dan Arnold isn’t doing enough to achieve fantasy relevance, either.
Andy Dalton (Start-able QB2)
After a gruesome ankle injury abruptly ended Dak Prescott’s season last week, it’s looking like Andy Dalton will be the Cowboys’ starting quarterback for the foreseeable future. I suspect the Cowboys will keep finding themselves in shootouts, meaning Dalton will need to throw the ball plenty this year. The Cardinals are 11th in the league against fantasy quarterbacks, but this game should be pretty high scoring. Andy has talented receivers and should be throwing plenty. He should be capable of QB2 numbers.
Ezekiel Elliott (Start, RB1), Tony Pollard (Sit)
Sitting pretty at the overall RB3 spot on the 2020 season, Ezekiel Elliott has been incredibly consistent this year. The Cardinals have allowed plenty of fantasy points and ground yards to opposing running backs this year. Zeke should be in line for another RB1 performance.
Tony Pollard is still in the mix here and there, but he isn’t achieving consistent enough results to warrant start consideration. He’s still mainly an insurance policy.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Amari Cooper (Start, WR2), CeeDee Lamb (Start, WR2), Michael Gallup (boom-or-bust WR3), Cedrick Wilson (Sit), Dalton Schultz (TE2)
After totaling the most targets, receptions, and fantasy points of his season in Week 4, Amari Cooper had the fewest passes, receptions, and fantasy points of his season last week. Losing Dak will likely be at least a slight hit to Cooper’s value, but Amari should still be capable of WR2 numbers in a projected shootout.
With more than 20 fantasy points in each of his past two games and 11 targets last week, CeeDee Lamb is looking like an automatic start most weeks. Arizona is top-five in passing yards allowed per game and top-five in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. Still, if Lamb keeps getting such a large target share, he should reach WR2 territory this week.
It should be interesting to see how often Dalton targets Michael Gallup, but the latter will likely continue his “boom or bust” ways. Gallup was instrumental in the Cowboys’ game-winning drive, where he made two great catches, so one would hope Dalton will keep looking his way.
Cedrick Wilson has been too volatile to predict. He isn’t worth any start consideration just yet.
With Dak done for the year, there is a real chance that Dalton Schultz lost some of his TE1 upside. Owners should keep a close eye on this game to see how often Andy Dalton targets his tight end. Until I see some Dalton to Dalton connection, I’m listing Schultz as a TE2 for now.
-Ryan Kruse (@ryanpkruse on Twitter)