Kickoff: Sunday, November 15th at 4:05 PM ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Betting Odds: BUF +1.5, 55.5 total via Oddsshark
Josh Allen (Start, QB1)
Josh Allen had a pretty lackluster month between weeks five and eight but had a bounce-back game last week with a fantastic 36-point performance. Josh should be in line for another great fantasy outing. Just like last week, Allen finds himself in another match-up that could turn into a shootout. The Bills will need to put up plenty of points if they want to outperform Arizona’s air raid offense. Fantasy managers should steeple their fingers and cackle maniacally while slotting Allen into their starting lineups this week.
Zack Moss (Start, Low-end RB2), Devin Singletary (Sit, Low-end Flex)
It seems Zack Moss has taken over the lead-back duties on this team. Last week, Moss had nine carries to Devin Singletary’s two. The Cardinals are right in the middle of the league when it comes to points allowed to running backs and giving up plenty of ground yards, so there should be enough to work with this week. That said, I’m finding it very difficult to trust Singletary after he only had two carries last week. I’m ranking Devin as a low-end flex but believe Moss should be capable of RB2 numbers this week.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Stefon Diggs (Start, WR1), Cole Beasley (Low-end WR3), John Brown (Sit, Flex), Tyler Kroft (Sit), Dawson Knox (Sit)
Sitting pretty in the overall WR4 slot, it seems Stefon Diggs had no trouble settling in with his new team this year. No other team is allowing as many points to wide receivers as Seahawks this year, so the matchup isn’t quite as juicy as it was for Diggs last week, but there should still be plenty of opportunity against the Cardinals. Arizona has been middle-of-the-road in fantasy points allowed to receivers this year, and this game should be pretty high-scoring. Diggs should be a safe bet for WR1 production again this week.
Cole Beasley could be trusted for at least low-end WR3 production between weeks two and seven but had some pretty lackluster performances the past two weeks. Beasley has averaged just 2.5 targets in each of his last two games. Slightly under seven fantasy points, last week against the worst secondary in the league isn’t very encouraging. I’m ranking Beasley just slightly ahead of Brown this week, but not by much.
Before last week, John Brown had a pretty bad four-week slump where he averaged only 2.8 fantasy points in each game. Despite his bounce-back WR2 performance last week, I’m having a tough time trusting Brown this week. He’s just been too inconsistent this year. The highest I could comfortably rank him this week is a low-end flex play.
Tyler Kroft has put up one or two decent fantasy performances this season, but he is far from trustworthy. The Cardinals have been pretty stingy against tight ends this year, allowing the 11th-fewest points to the position. I believe Dawson Knox was active last week, but he didn’t record any catches. Neither of these tight ends is worth your consideration this week.
Kyler Murray (Start, QB1)
Kyler Murray’s worst fantasy performance of the season was 21.7 points. Murray, fantasy’s current overall QB2, has been electric this year. He should take the overall QB1 spot this week with Mahomes on bye. The Bills are pretty middle-of-the-road in points allowed to fantasy quarterbacks, but the match-up doesn’t matter much when considering someone like Kyler. He should reach QB1 status yet again this week.
Chase Edmonds (RB2 with upside if Drake inactive, Flex if Drake active), Kenyan Drake (RB2 if active)
There were reports on Wednesday indicating that Kenyan Drake made a return to the practice field as a limited participant but is still considered day-to-day. The return of Drake could be the worst-case scenario for fantasy managers with both of the Cards’ running backs on their team. Many fantasy players (under the assumption Drake would be inactive) thought Chase Edmonds would have a solid shot at high-end RB2 production this week based solely upon his expected usage, but all that could change if Drake is in the mix this week.
Assuming Kenyan Drake is inactive, Chase Edmonds is an easy start. Edmonds had a low-end RB2 performance last week against the Dolphins, and his match-up seems to be comparable this week. Week 10’s match-up brings the Bills, who are averaging just about one less fantasy point to opposing running backs this year. Miami and Buffalo are also allowing comparable ground yards this year, so Edmonds’ performance could be similar to Week 9. Edmonds’ workload was impressive last week, but his efficiency was mediocre. His volume (assuming he’s the go-to back this week) should make him a dependable RB2 play with plenty of RB1 upside if his efficiency bounces back.
If Drake is active this week, it will throw a big wrench into most fantasy managers’ plans for Week 10. If Drake is playing, then both backs will likely be in the mix, limiting the ceiling for both. In this situation, Edmonds’ value would take a big hit, lowering him down to more of a flex value. Alternatively, Drake’s value would likely lie somewhere in the mid-RB2 territory, depending upon his usage. Fantasy managers will need to closely monitor the Cardinals’ injury reports as the week goes on.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
DeAndre Hopkins (Start, WR1), Christian Kirk (Start, WR2 with upside), Larry Fitzgerald (Sit), Dan Arnold (Sit), Darrell Daniels (Sit)
We all know he’s one of the best receivers in the game, but DeAndre Hopkins has been a little “boom or bust” this year. He’s scored 11.1 points or fewer in three games and 20.8 points or more in five games this year. Still, it’s not like you’re going to bench Nuk anytime soon, even if the Bills are allowing the seventh-fewest points to receivers this year.
Averaging 22.2 fantasy points per game over his past three, Christian Kirk is looking like a must-start in fantasy football leagues. His past three games were pretty favorable match-ups for receivers, but this week he’s going up against the Bills, a much more capable secondary. Given the match-up, I’m ranking Kirk a smidge lower than he’s been performing the past three weeks, but he’s still a must-start WR2 this week with plenty of upside. This game could quickly turn into a shootout, raising Kirk’s floor and ceiling. Plus, the guy has been a red-zone magnet lately, averaging 1.6 touchdowns per game over his last three.
The ageless wonder, Larry Fitzgerald, hasn’t been consistent enough this year to warrant any fantasy consideration. Similarly, no tight end on this team is getting enough work to slot into fantasy lineups anytime soon. Dan Arnold is averaging one target per game over the Cardinals’ last four match-ups, and Darrell Daniels has averaged just 1.25 targets per game over that same span.
-Ryan Kruse (@ryanpkruse on Twitter)