Kickoff: Sunday, November 15th, 4:25 PM ET
Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Betting Odds: SEA +1.5, 55.5 total via Oddsshark
Russell Wilson (Start, QB1)
MVP. That’s it, that’s the analysis. I guess I should add a few things…mainly that Russell Wilson wasn’t his MVP-self last time out in the loss to the Bills, throwing 2 horrible interceptions and losing the ball twice on fumbles whilst rushing. He still amassed 24.10 fantasy points in Yahoo! leagues and will no doubt produce again against a tough Rams defense. He will look to lean on his two primary receivers, Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf against a Rams secondary that has shown some vulnerability against receivers in recent weeks in losses to Miami and San Francisco. Set, forget, and “Let Russ Cook!”
Chris Carson (Sit, RB2), DeeJay Dallas (Sit, FLEX), Carlos Hyde (Sit, Injury), Travis Homer (Sit)
Chris Carson has missed the Seahawks’ last two games with a niggling foot injury, yet another injury in Carson’s plagued history. The Rams give up little on the ground with Aaron Donald marshaling an elite unit upfront. If healthy, Carson will likely be passed over in a crucial divisional matchup that both quarterbacks will be slinging to win. Rookie DeeJay Dallas has performed admirably in the last two weeks with both Carson and Carlos Hyde out injured, however, it is worth noting that after the Bills went up big early on last week, Dallas was left on the sidelines playing just 31% of snaps compared to 79% the week before in the blow-out win in Santa Clara.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Tyler Lockett (Start, WR1), D.K. Metcalf (Start, WR1), David Moore (Sit, FLEX), Greg Olsen (Sit)
Tyler Lockett (7 TDs) and D.K. Metcalf (8 TDs) are both in the top 5 in receiving touchdowns so far this year with Metcalf also 2nd in yardage and Lockett in the top 10 for receptions. Which is phenomenal as they have both had their bye week also. They are two complete receivers who complement each other perfectly and currently boast the best 1-2 punch at the position in the league. I imagine Ramsey will square up against Metcalf and that is a battle to behold. This could open up the field for Lockett to dominate as he did back in Week 7 against Arizona, amassing 50+ fantasy points as Patrick Peterson ran with Metcalf. There is room for both to put up WR1 numbers, however. Don’t doubt it.
David Moore is probably a little unlucky to be classed as a sit based upon the matchup. He has a touchdown grab in his last 2 outings, showing versatility and a flair for the end zone. A growing trust is establishing with Wilson and he is one to keep an eye on through the bye weeks. The tight end room is completely devoid of flair, however. Greg Olsen hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1 and is now being overlooked for both Jacob Hollister and Will Dissly. There is nothing that will help you at the TE position, here.
Los Angeles Rams
Jared Goff (Start, QB2)
A popular streaming pick this week at quarterback is Jared Goff, who is now 64% rostered after owners dropped him due to the Rams bye week. The Seahawks have given up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks so far this season and their passing defense is one of the worst in football, ranked 29th in passing defense DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) according to Football Outsiders, so Goff should be given the freedom to air the ball out a little more. He may have to up against Wilson anyway. Goff threw a whopping 61 pass attempts in the surprise loss to the Dolphins in Week 8 after going down big early. If the same happens this week, Goff will likely turn out a 20+ fantasy point game, something he has only done 3 times in 8 starts in 2020.
Darrell Henderson (Start, RB2), Malcolm Brown (Sit), Cam Akers (Sit)
A thigh injury knocked Darrell Henderson out of the Rams’ defeat to the Dolphins in Week 8 but the bye has given the 2nd year back time to recover and Sean McVay has said he will be fine for this matchup. Impressive in this campaign (after hardly featuring in 2019), Henderson is Pro Football Focus’s No. 1 graded RB and despite the Seahawks allowing more than 60 rushing yards to just one back this season (Dalvin Cook in Week 7), he should provide solid RB2 numbers. He’s averaged 13 carries a game in his last 4 games as he has emerged as the No.1 back for the Rams. It would be nice to see him more involved in the passing game.
Both Malcolm Brown and Cam Akers are now officially on the outside looking in – Brown saw 10 carries to Akers 9 after Henderson left the game in Week 8 but Akers will likely cede work with Brown acting as the complementary back once more. Neither are recommended against this Seahawks defensive front.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Robert Woods (Start, WR1), Cooper Kupp (Start, WR2), Josh Reynolds (Start, FLEX), Gerald Everett (Start, TE2), Tyler Higbee (Sit)
It’s plain and simple, the Seahawks simply cannot cover wide receivers. Robert Woods, fresh off a 2 TD outing against the Dolphins remains Goff’s charming man and should have plenty of opportunities to put up his season-best numbers this weekend. Woods has scored in 6 of the Rams’ last 7 games and is a solid WR1 option. Kupp has had similar yardage but far less TD production (with only 2 on the year). Goff targeted him 20 times against the Fins last time out, however, and the slot will be wide open for him to ball out again this week. I am even going out to say that Josh Reynolds is a decent start in your FLEX this week – the former Aggie has 22 targets in his last 3 games, catching 10 passes for 141 yards and 2 TDs. That momentum should rub off well once again this week.
I am staying away from this Rams tight end room. Gerald Everett is basically a WR3 in plenty of McVay’s formations so he gets a start nod as a TE2. It’s a little murkier for Tyler Higbee, who has not recorded more than 3 catches or 4 targets and has been held without a score since his phenomenal 5 catches on 5 targets for 54 yards and 3 TDs in Week 2. Why Fantasy Gods? Why?!
-Benjamin Haller (@benjaminhaller1 on Twitter)