Kickoff: Sunday, November 15th, at 4:05 PM EST
Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Betting Odds: DEN +5, 51.5 total via Oddsshark
Drew Lock (Start, QB2)
Drew Lock is coming off a career-high Week 9 in which he threw for 313 yards, all due in part to 48 pass attempts. This made for a productive fantasy day, and that success could repeat against a Raiders defense that is allowing an average of 267.1 passing yards a game to opposing quarterbacks. Just last week, Justin Herbert had 326 yards through the air and two touchdowns against Las Vegas.
Melvin Gordon III (Start, FLEX), Phillip Lindsay (Sit)
Both Melvin Gordon III and Phillip Lindsay are coming off dud performances against the Falcons, where the game plan quickly abandoned the run. If the Broncos can keep up with the Raiders offense, I would take the chance on flexing Gordon quicker than Lindsay; seeing as Gordon is way more involved in the passing game. However, Lindsay could end up having a decent day himself as well, seeing as Las Vegas’s defense has given up the fourth-most fantasy points to the running back position this season. It’s also worth noting they have given up the most rushing touchdowns in the league to date.
Wide Receivers/Tight End
Jerry Jeudy (Start, WR3 with WR2 upside), Tim Patrick (Start, FLEX), KJ Hamler (Sit), Noah Fant (Start, TE1)
Have a day Jerry Jeudy. The rookie had his best performance to date last week against Atlanta, hauling in seven of his 14 targets for 125 yards and a touchdown. You certainly want him to catch more than half of the targets, but inconsistent QB plays a part in that. It’s also hard to imagine that target volume will be sustainable, and so you’ll want to temper weekly expectations. Tim Patrick returned to action as well off a hamstring injury and had nine targets of his own. He also scored and has FLEX appeal against a Raiders defense that has given up the 16th most fantasy points to his position this season. While KJ Hamler out-targeted Patrick last week, I wouldn’t count on a repeat of that share.
Noah Fant had a disappointing Week 9 versus Atlanta, as he only had three targets in which he caught them all for 45 yards. With Albert Okwuegbunam injured and now out for the season (torn ACL), Fant is the sole keeper of the tight ends in Denver and should bounce back against Las Vegas.
Las Vegas Raiders
Derek Carr (Sit)
Derek Carr is a winner of two in a row but has plated back to back down fantasy performances in that span. He’s failed to throw for over 200 yards in either game and might not have to throw a ton against Denver to get the third straight victory. The Denver defense has given up the 11th most fantasy points to the quarterback this season, but I would look elsewhere over Carr this week.
Josh Jacobs (Start, RB1), Devontae Booker (Sit)
Josh Jacobs is a workhorse in this Vegas backfield, no doubt, but owners still want more of him on the ground and in the passing game. He’s only topped over 100 rush yards once (Week 8), and it’s been an up and down the second year for Jacobs, more so down if we are being honest. Even so, he’ll remain an RB1 with Devontae Booker being nothing more than his backup.
Wide Receivers/Tight End
Nelson Agholor (Sit), Hunter Renfrow (Sit), Henry Ruggs III (Sit), Darren Waller (Start, TE1)
The only Raider I’d be comfortable starting most weeks is Darren Waller. The tight end saw double digit targets last week (10) for the first time since Week 2, where he had 12. Against the Chargers, he caught five of those 10 for 22 yards and a score. His low yardage games are a bit concerning, but he’s still locked in as Carr’s favorite target, so the opportunity for volume and scores remain favorable. Nelson Agholor, Hunter Renfrow, and Henry Ruggs III are just not consistent fantasy options every week.
-Matthew Cava (@cavaM_ Twitter & Reddit)